UNASSIGNED: The guidelines regarding the management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) all have slightly different surgical indications for high-risk lesions. We aim to retrospectively compare the accuracy of four guidelines in recommending surgery for high-risk IPMNs, and assess the accuracy of elevated CA-19-9 levels and imaging characteristics of IPMNs considered high-risk in predicting malignancy or high-grade dysplasia (HGD).
UNASSIGNED: The final histopathological diagnosis of surgically resected high-risk IPMNs during 2013-2020 were compared to preoperative surgical indications, as enumerated in four guidelines: the 2015 American Gastroenterological Association (AGA), 2017 International Consensus, 2018 European Study Group, and 2018 American College of Gastroenterology (ACG). Surgery was considered \"justified\" if histopathology of the surgical specimen showed HGD/malignancy, or there was postoperative symptomatic improvement.
UNASSIGNED: Surgery was postoperatively justified in 26/65 (40.0%) cases. All IPMNs with HGD/malignancy were detected by the 2018 ACG and the combined (absolute and relative criteria) 2018 European guidelines. The combined (\"high-risk stigmata\" and \"worrisome features\") 2017 International guideline missed 1/19 (5.3%) IPMNs with HGD/malignancy. The 2015 AGA guideline missed the most cases (11/19, 57.9%) of IPMNs with HGD/malignancy. We found the features most-associated with HGD/malignancy were pancreatic ductal dilation, and elevated CA-19-9 levels.
UNASSIGNED: Following the 2015 AGA guideline results in the highest rate of missed HGD/malignancy, but the lowest rate of operating on IPMNs without these features; meanwhile, the 2018 ACG and the combined (absolute and relative criteria) 2018 European guidelines result in more operations for IPMNs without HGD/malignancy, but the lowest rates of missed HGD/malignancy in IPMNs.

OBJECTIVE: To perform a comparative analysis of surgically resected mucinous cystic neoplasm (MCN) of pancreas and branch-duct type intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMN) considering clinico-radiological high-risk predictors for malignant tumors using the current management guidelines.
METHODS: 224 patients who underwent surgical resection and had histopathologically confirmed MCNs (benign 73; malignant 17) or BD-IPMNs (benign 110; malignant 24) and had pre-operative CT or MRI were retrospectively reviewed. Tumors classified as either high-grade dysplasia or invasive carcinoma were considered malignant, whereas those with low-grade dysplasia were considered benign. Imaging features were analyzed by two radiologists based on selected high-risk stigmata or worrisome features proposed by prevalent guidelines except tumors with main pancreatic duct dilatation (> 5 mm) were excluded.
RESULTS: MCNs and BD-IPMNs showed significant differences in aspects like tumor size, location, the presence and size of enhancing mural nodules, the presence of wall or septal thickening, and multiplicity. Multivariate analyses revealed tumor size (OR, 1.336; 95% CI, 1.124-1.660, p = 0.002) and the presence of enhancing mural nodules (OR, 67.383; 95% CI, 4.490-1011.299, p = 0.002) as significant predictors of malignant MCNs. The optimal tumor size differentiating benign from malignant tumor was 8.95 cm, with a 70.6% sensitivity, 89% specificity, PPV of 27.6%, and NPV of 96.9%, demonstrating superior specificity than the guideline-suggested threshold of 4.0 cm. For malignant BD-IPMNs, the presence of enhancing mural nodules (OR, 15.804; 95% CI, 4.439-56.274, p < 0.001) and CA 19 - 9 elevation (OR, 19.089; 95%CI, 2.868-127.068, p = 0.002) as malignant predictors, with a size of enhancing mural nodule threshold of 5.5 mm providing the best malignancy differentiation.
CONCLUSIONS: While current guidelines may be appropriate for managing BD-IPMNs, our results showed a notably larger optimal threshold size for malignant MCNs than that suggested by current guidelines. This warrants reconsidering existing guideline thresholds for initial risk stratification and management of MCNs.

This study group aimed to revise the 2017 international consensus guidelines for the management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) of the pancreas, and mainly focused on five topics; the revision of high-risk stigmata (HRS) and worrisome features (WF), surveillance of non-resected IPMN, surveillance after resection of IPMN, revision of pathological aspects, and investigation of molecular markers in cyst fluid. A new development from the prior guidelines is that systematic reviews were performed for each one of these topics, and published separately to provide evidence-based recommendations. One of the highlights of these new \"evidence-based guidelines\" is to propose a new management algorithm, and one major revision is to include into the assessment of HRS and WF the imaging findings from endoscopic ultrasound (EUS) and the results of cytological analysis from EUS-guided fine needle aspiration technique, when this is performed. Another key element of the current guidelines is to clarify whether lifetime surveillance for small IPMNs is required, and recommends two options, \"stop surveillance\" or \"continue surveillance for possible development of concomitant pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma\", for small unchanged BD-IPMN after 5 years surveillance. Several other points are also discussed, including identifying high-risk features for recurrence in patients who underwent resection of non-invasive IPMN with negative surgical margin, summaries of the recent observations in the pathology of IPMN. In addition, the emerging role of cyst fluid markers that can aid in distinguishing IPMN from other pancreatic cysts and identify those IPMNs that harbor high-grade dysplasia or invasive carcinoma is discussed.

BACKGROUND: Identifying malignant transformation in pancreatic branch-duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMNs) remains challenging, but the standardized uptake value (SUV) obtained from 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose-positron emission tomography (FDG-PET)/CT has the potential to become a valuable parameter for differentiation. This study aimed to assess the effectiveness of SUV of FDG-PET/CT in distinguishing low-grade dysplasia (LGD), high-grade dysplasia (HGD), and intraductal papillary mucinous carcinoma (IPMC) within BD-IPMNs.
METHODS: We assessed 58 patients with confirmed BD-IPMN undergoing surgery between 2008 and 2022. Receiver operating characteristic curves were plotted using the tumor-to-blood pool ratio (TBR) of FDG-PET/CT in two scenarios: one considering HGD + IPMC as positive and the other considering only IPMC as positive.
RESULTS: In the cohort of 58 cases, there were 39 females, and the median age was 71 years. The median TBR value was 1.45 (range, 0.35-25.44). The TBRs exhibited a significant correlation with each histopathology (p < 0.001). Furthermore, in the multivariate analysis, TBR was independently significant in both scenarios, with HGD + IPMC defined as malignant (p = 0.001) and with only IPMC defined as malignant (p = 0.024).
CONCLUSIONS: TBR might have the potential to serve as a valuable parameter for indicating malignant transformation in pancreatic BD-IPMNs.

Pancreatic cystic lesions are often asymptomatic, incidentally detected and include a range of entities with varying degrees of concern for malignancy. Among these, intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) are considered premalignant pancreatic lesions, with a broad pathological spectrum ranging from lesions without dysplasia, which can be managed conservatively, to malignant lesions that require surgical resection. The increasing use of CT and MRI has led to increased recognition of this entity incidentally, with branch-duct IPMN representing the most common subtype and the most challenging lesions in terms of patient management. The main imaging modality involved in diagnosis and surveillance of IPMN is MRI. Radiologists play an important role in the management of patients with IPMN, including lesion detection, characterization, follow-up and prognostication, allowing early MRI identification of features that are concerning for malignancy. The main aim of this pictorial review is to illustrate MRI features of IPMN and to discuss risk stratification scores based on different guidelines, with a main focus on branch-duct IPMN. The secondary aims include the presentation of common and uncommon imaging evolution of BD-IPMN as well as the discussion on current controversies on the appropriate management of IPMN.

BACKGROUND: Intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN) are cystic neoplasms of the pancreatic ductal system. These incidental cystic lesions are increasingly found on radiological imaging and screened for malignant transformation. The Fukuoka consensus guidelines recommend screening with computed tomography, magnetic resonance imaging or endoscopic ultrasound. Branch duct IPMN (BD-IPMN) have significantly lower malignancy and mortality rates compared to main duct IPMN. Our aim was to assess the cost-effectiveness of guideline\'s recommendations for BD-IPMN screening of cysts between 2 and 3 cm in an Australian context.
METHODS: Markov model decision analysis was used to calculate the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of screening. The ICER was compared to a willingness to pay (WTP) threshold of $50 000. We performed scenario analysis to examine the effect of cyst size and non-linearity of malignancy rate on ICER. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses (PSA) were performed on our input parameters.
RESULTS: Screening resulted in 586 quality adjusted life years gained and a net present value of $20 379 939, resulting in a base-case ICER of $34 758. After scenario analysis for non-linearity of malignancy rate the ICER increases to $64 555, which is above the WTP threshold. PSA indicates that ICER is most susceptible to the pre-test malignancy rate.
CONCLUSIONS: This cost analysis demonstrates that screening of 2-3 cm BD-IPMN according to current guidelines is unlikely to be cost-effective in an Australian context. To determine the true ICER, a cost analysis on real-world data is required.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate a CT-based radiomics model for identifying malignant pancreatic intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) and compare its performance with the 2017 international consensus guidelines (ICGs).
METHODS: We retrospectively included 194 consecutive patients who underwent surgical resection of pancreatic IPMNs between January 2008 and December 2020. Surgical histopathology was the reference standard for diagnosing malignancy. Using radiomics features from preoperative contrast-enhanced CT, a radiomics model was built with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator by a five-fold cross-validation. CT and MR images were independently reviewed based on the 2017 ICGs by two abdominal radiologists, and the performances of the 2017 ICGs and radiomics model were compared. The areas under the curve (AUCs) were compared using the DeLong method.
RESULTS: A total of 194 patients with pancreatic IPMNs (benign, 83 [43%]; malignant, 111 [57%]) were chronologically divided into training (n = 141; age, 65 ± 8.6 years; 88 males) and validation sets (n = 53; age, 66 ± 9.7 years; 31 males). There was no statistically significant difference in the diagnostic performance of the 2017 ICGs between CT and MRI (AUC, 0.71 vs. 0.71; p = 0.93) with excellent intermodality agreement (k = 0.86). In the validation set, the CT radiomics model had higher AUC (0.85 vs. 0.71; p = 0.038), specificity (84.6% vs. 61.5%; p = 0.041), and positive predictive value (84.0% vs. 66.7%; p = 0.044) than the 2017 ICGs.
CONCLUSIONS: The CT radiomics model exhibited better diagnostic performance than the 2017 ICGs in classifying malignant IPMNs.
CONCLUSIONS: Compared with the radiologists\' evaluation based on the 2017 international consensus guidelines, the CT radiomics model exhibited better diagnostic performance in classifying malignant intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms.
CONCLUSIONS: • There is a paucity of comparisons between the 2017 international consensus guidelines (ICGs) and radiomics models for malignant intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs). • The CT radiomics model developed in this study exhibited better diagnostic performance than the 2017 ICGs in classifying malignant IPMNs. • The radiomics model may serve as a valuable complementary tool to the 2017 ICGs, potentially allowing a more quantitative assessment of IPMNs.

BACKGROUND: Follow-up in patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) aims to detect advanced neoplasia (high-grade dysplasia/cancer) in an early stage. The 2015 American Gastroenterological Association (AGA), 2017 International Association of Pancreatology (IAP), and the 2018 European Study Group on Cystic tumours of the Pancreas (European) guidelines differ in their recommendations on indications for surgery. However, it remains unclear which guideline is most accurate in predicting advanced neoplasia in IPMN.
METHODS: Patients who underwent surgery were extracted from a prospective database (January 2006-January 2021). In patients with IPMN, final pathology was compared with the indication for surgery according to the guidelines. ROC-curves were calculated to determine the diagnostic accuracy for each guideline.
RESULTS: Overall, 247 patients underwent surgery for cystic lesions. In 145 patients with IPMN, 52 had advanced neoplasia, of which the AGA guideline would have advised surgery in 14 (27%), the IAP and European guideline in 49 (94%) and 50 (96%). In 93 patients without advanced neoplasia, the AGA, IAP, and European guidelines would incorrectly have advised surgery in 8 (8.6%), 77 (83%) and 71 (76%).
CONCLUSIONS: The European and IAP guidelines are clearly superior in detecting advanced neoplasia in IPMN as compared to the AGA, albeit at the cost of a higher rate of unnecessary surgery. To harmonize care and to avoid confusion caused by conflicting statements, a global evidence-based guideline for PCN in collaboration with the various guidelines groups is required once the current guidelines require an update.

Objective: To evaluate the performance of the European Evidence-based Guidelines on Pancreatic Cystic Neoplasms (EEGPCN)(2018) and International Association of Pancreatology(IAP) Guideline(Version 2017) in predicting high grade dysplasia/invasive carcinoma-intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm(HGD/INV-IPMN). Methods: A retrospective analysis of 363 patients,who underwent surgical resection in Changhai Hospital affiliated to Navy Medical University from January 2012 to December 2018 and were pathologically identified as (intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm, IPMN),was performed. The patients,including 230 males and 133 females,aging (61.7±10.1) years(range:19 to 83 years). The proportion of HGD/INV-IPMN who met with the absolute indication(AI) of EEGPCN and high risk stigma(HRS) of IAP were compared. The binary Logistic regression analysis was used to find the independent risk factors of HGD/INV-IPMN.Eight combinations of risk factors derived from relative indication/worrisome feature or risk factors in this study,were made to evaluate the diagnostic efficacy. The area under curve(AUC) of receiver operating characteristics was used to evaluate the the cutoff value of risk factors(①CA19-9≥37 U/ml,②diameter of main pancreatic duct 5.0-9.9 mm,③enhancing mural nodule<5 mm,④(acute) pancreatiti,⑤acyst diameter ≥40 mm,⑤bcyst diameter ≥30 mm, ⑥thickened or enhancing cyst walls,⑦neutrophile granulocyte to lymphocyte ratio(NLR)≥2, ⑧cyst located in head, uncinate or neck,⑨carcinoembryonic antigen(CEA) ≥5 μg/L) number for predicting HGD/INV-IPMN.The accuracy,sensitivity,specificity,positive predictive value,negative predictive value,true positive,true negative,false positive,false negative,positive likelihood ratio,negative likelihood ratio,Youden index and F1 score were calculated. Results: Ninety-two patients(49.5%) of 186 ones who met AI and 85 patients(48.3%) of 176 ones who met HRS were respectively confirmed as HGD/INV-IPMN. In those patients who were not met AI,tumor location,thickened/enhancing cyst wall,CA19-9 elevated,NLR≥2 and CEA elevated were significantly (P<0.05) correlated with HGD/INV-IPMN. And tumor location(head/uncinate/neck vs. body/tail,OR=3.284,95%CI:1.268-8.503,P=0.014),thickened/enhancement cyst wall (with vs.without,OR=2.713,95%CI:1.177-6.252,P=0.019),CA19-9(≥37 U/L vs.<37 U/L, OR=5.086,95%CI:2.05-12.62,P<0.01) and NLR(≥2 vs.<2,OR=2.380,95%CI:1.043-5.434,P=0.039) were the independent risk factors of HGD/INV-IPMN. Patients with ≥4 risk factors of 9 in combination Ⅷ(①②③④⑤b⑥⑦⑧⑨) were diagnosed as HGD/INV-IPMN with the moderate accuracy(71.0%),moderate sensitivity (62.0%) and moderate specificity (73.0%). Patients with ≥4 risk factors of 9 in Combination Ⅶ(①②③④⑤a⑥⑦⑧⑨) were diagnosed as HGD/INV-IPMN with the highest specificity(83.0%) and patients with ≥3 risk factors of 8 in combination Ⅵ(①②③④⑤b⑥⑧⑨) were diagnosed as HGD/INV-IPMN with the highest sensitivity(74.0%). The AUC for diagnosis of HGD/INV-IPMN in combination Ⅵ,Ⅶ and Ⅷ were 0.72,0.75 and 0.75,respectively. Older patients and younger patients could respectively refer to combination Ⅶ and combination Ⅵ to improve the management of IPMN. Conclusions: Patients who meet AI of EEGPCN should undertake resection, otherwise the method we explored is recommended. The method of improvement for diagnosis of HGD/INV-IPMN is relatively applicable and efficient for decision-making of surgery, especially for younger patients with decreasing of missed diagnosis and elder patients with decreasing of misdiagnosis.
目的： 探讨不同指南推荐方法诊断胰腺导管内乳头状黏液瘤（IPMN）伴高级别异型增生（HGD）或浸润癌（INV）的效能。 方法： 回顾性分析2012年1月至2018年12月于海军军医大学长海医院肝胆胰外科行胰腺切除术且术后病理学检查诊断为IPMN的363例患者资料。男性230例，女性133例，年龄（61.7±10.1）岁（范围：19~83岁）。低级别异型增生（LGD）-IPMN 228例，HGD/INV-IPMN 135例。比较欧洲胰腺囊性肿瘤循证指南（EEGPCN）绝对手术指征（AI）和国际胰腺病协会（IAP）指南高危特征（HRS）的诊断效能。采用Logistic回归分析法分析HGD/INV-IPMN的独立相关因素。结合EEGPCN相对手术指征（RI）或IAP指南令人焦虑特征（WF）及HGD/INV-IPMN相关危险因素，利用受试者工作特征（ROC）曲线的曲线下面积（AUC）评价8 种组合（组合Ⅰ~Ⅷ）（（1）CA19-9≥37 U/ml；（2）主胰管最大径5.0~9.9 mm；（3）强化附壁结节<5 mm；（4）病变相关的急性胰腺炎；（5）a病变最大径≥40 mm；（5）b病变最大径≥30 mm；（6）病变囊壁增厚或强化；（7）中性粒细胞和淋巴细胞比值（NLR）≥2；（8）肿瘤位于胰头颈钩突部；（9）血清癌胚抗原≥5 μg/L）诊断HGD/INV-IPMN的效能。评价诊断效能的参数还包括准确率、灵敏度、特异度等。 结果： 可纳入AI或HRS的HGD/INV-IPMN 患者比例分别为49.5%（92/186）和48.3%（85/176）。未纳入AI的患者，肿瘤部位、囊壁增厚或强化、CA19-9升高、NLR≥2及癌胚抗原升高与HGD/INV-IPMN相关（P值均<0.05），其中肿瘤部位（胰头颈钩突部比胰体尾，OR=3.284，95%CI：1.268~8.503，P=0.014）、囊壁增厚或强化（有比无，OR=2.713，95%CI：1.177~6.252，P=0.019）、CA19-9（≥37 U/L比<37 U/L，OR=5.086，95%CI：2.05~12.62，P<0.01）和NLR（≥2比<2，OR=2.380，95%CI：1.043~5.434，P=0.039）是HGD/INV-IPMN的独立相关因素。综合评价诊断效能，危险因素组合Ⅷ（（1）（2）（3）（4）（5）b（6）（7）（8）（9）≥4/9）的准确率最高（71.0%），特异度（73.0%）和灵敏度（62.0%）适中，AUC为0.75；组合Ⅶ（（1）（2）（3）（4）（5）a（6）（7）（8）（9）≥4/9）的特异度最高（83.0%），AUC为0.75；组合Ⅵ（（1）（2）（3）（4）（5）b（6）（8）（9）≥3/8）的灵敏度最高（74.0%），AUC为0.72。 结论： 符合EEGPCN AI的IPMN患者，建议积极手术治疗，否则建议采用本研究不同危险因素组合诊断HGD/INV-IPMN，以相对准确且简单地帮助外科医师判断不同年龄段患者的手术时机，避免LGD-IPMN患者接受过度治疗和降低HGD/INV-IPMN的漏诊率。.

BACKGROUND: Objectives: Pancreatic cysts are frequently detected in high-risk individuals (HRI) undergoing surveillance for pancreatic cancer. The International Cancer of the Pancreas Screening (CAPS) Consortium developed consensus recommendations for surgical resection of pancreatic cysts in HRI that are similar to the Fukuoka guidelines used for the management of sporadic cysts. We compared the performance characteristics of CAPS criteria for pancreatic cyst management in HRI with the Fukuoka guidelines originally designed for the management of cysts in non-HRI.
METHODS: Using prospectively collected data from CAPS studies, we determined for each patient with resected screen-detected cyst(s) whether Fukuoka guidelines or CAPS consensus statements would have recommended surgery. We compared sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and Receiver Operator Characteristics (ROC) curves of these guidelines at predicting the presence of high-grade dysplasia or invasive cancer in pancreatic cysts.
RESULTS: 356/732 HRI had ≥ one pancreatic cyst detected; 24 had surgery for concerning cystic lesions. The sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV for the Fukuoka criteria were 40%, 85%, 40%, and 85%, while those of the CAPS criteria were 60%, 85%, 50%, 89%, respectively. ROC curve analyses showed no significant difference between the Fukuoka and CAPS criteria.
CONCLUSIONS: In HRI, the CAPS and Fukuoka criteria are moderately specific, but not sufficiently sensitive for detecting advanced neoplasia in cystic lesions. New approaches are needed to guide the surgical management of cystic lesions in HRI.