BACKGROUND: Response to lithium (Li) is highly variable in bipolar disorders (BD). Despite decades of research, no clinical predictor(s) of response to Li prophylaxis have been consistently identified. Recently, we developed epigenetic Methylation Specific High-Resolution Melting (MS-HRM) assays able to discriminate good responders (GR) from non-responders (NR) to Li in individuals with BD type 1 (BD-I). This study examined whether a combination of clinical and epigenetic markers can distinguish NR from other types of Li responders.
METHODS: We recorded clinical variables that are potentially associated with Li response in 64 individuals with BD-I. MS-HRM assays were performed on DNA isolated from peripheral blood. We used backward stepwise logistic regression analyses, followed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to estimate the performance of the clinical variables, alone then in combination with the epigenetic biomarkers, to identify GR and partial responders (PaR) vs NR.
RESULTS: Polarity at onset, psychotic symptoms at onset and family history of BD classified correctly 70% of individuals according to their Li response (PaR + GR = 86%; NR = 35%). When combined with the epigenetic biomarkers, these three clinical variables plus alcohol misuse (and one DMR: Differentially Methylated Region) correctly classified 86% of individuals, improving the prediction of PaR + GR (93%) and of NR (70%). The ROC analysis demonstrated an improvement in the area under the curve from 0.75 (clinical variables alone) to 0.87 (combination of clinical and epigenetic markers).
CONCLUSIONS: Combining clinical predictors and DNA methylation markers of Li response may have greater utility in clinical practice than relying on clinical characteristics alone.

Response to lithium (Li) is highly variable in bipolar disorders (BD) and no clinical or biological predictors of long-term response have been validated to date. Using a genome-wide methylomic approach (SeqCapEpi), we previously identified seven differentially methylated regions (DMRs) that discriminated good from non-responders (prophylactic response phenotype defined using the \"Alda\" scale). This study is a proof of transferability from bench to bedside of this epigenetic signature. For this purpose, we used Methylation Specific High-Resolution Melting (MS-HRM), a PCR based method that can be implemented in any medical laboratory at low cost and with minimal equipment. In 23 individuals with BD, MS-HRM measures of three out of seven DMRs were technically feasible and consistencies between SeqCapEpi and MS-HRM-measures were moderate to high. In an extended sample of individuals with BD (n = 70), the three MS-HRM-measured DMRs mainly predicted nonresponse, with AUC between 0.70-0.80 according to different definitions of the phenotype (Alda- or machine-learning-based definitions). Classification tree analyses further suggested that the MS-HRM-measured DMRs correctly classified up to 84% of individuals as good or non-responders. This study suggested that epigenetic biomarkers, identified in a retrospective sample, accurately discriminate non-responders from responders to Li and may be transferrable to routine practice.