LASSO regression

LASSO 回归
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本研究旨在开发子宫切除术后手术部位感染(SSI)的预测工具,并提出预防和控制策略。我们在浙江省某三级妇幼专科医院进行了回顾性分析,重点关注2018年1月至2023年12月因妇科恶性肿瘤或生殖系统良性疾病对药物治疗耐药而接受子宫切除术的患者.使用LASSO回归分析以2018年至2022年的数据作为训练集,确定与子宫切除术后手术部位感染(SSI)相关的危险因素。然后使用独立的危险因素来开发列线图。使用2023年的数据作为验证集对模型进行了验证。使用接受者工作特征曲线下面积(ROC)评估模型性能,而校正曲线用于衡量模型的准确性。此外,通过临床决策曲线分析(DCA)和临床影响曲线分析(CIC)评估临床效用,提供对列线图的实际应用的见解。多因素分析确定了与子宫切除术后SSI发展相关的六个独立危险因素:BMI≥24kg/m2(OR:2.58;95%CI1.14-6.19;P<0.05)。低蛋白血症诊断(OR:4.99;95%CI1.95-13.02;P<0.05),术后抗生素使用≥3天(OR:49.53;95%CI9.73-91.01;P<0.05),既往腹部手术史(OR:7.46;95%CI2.93-20.01;P<0.05),住院时间≥10天(OR:9.67;95%CI2.06-76.46;P<0.05),恶性病理类型(OR:4.62;95%CI1.78~12.76;P<0.05)。使用这些变量构建了列线图模型。ROC和校准曲线在训练集和验证集中均显示出良好的模型校准和辨别。DCA和CIC的分析证实了列线图的临床实用性。子宫切除术后SSI的个性化列线图能够早期识别高危患者,促进及时干预,以降低术后SSI发生率。
    This study aimed to develop a predictive tool for surgical site infections (SSI) following hysterectomy and propose strategies for their prevention and control. We conducted a retrospective analysis at a tertiary maternity and child specialist hospital in Zhejiang Province, focusing on patients who underwent hysterectomy between January 2018 and December 2023 for gynecological malignancies or benign reproductive system diseases resistant to medical treatment. Risk factors associated with surgical site infections (SSI) following hysterectomy were identified using LASSO regression analysis on data from 2018 to 2022 as the training set. Independent risk factors were then used to develop a nomogram. The model was validated using data from 2023 as the validation set. Model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), while calibration curves were employed to gauge model accuracy. Furthermore, clinical utility was evaluated through clinical decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact curve analysis (CIC), providing insights into the practical application of the nomogram. Multivariate analysis identified six independent risk factors associated with SSI development after hysterectomy: BMI ≥ 24 kg/m2 (OR: 2.58; 95% CI 1.14-6.19; P < 0.05), hypoproteinaemia diagnosis (OR: 4.99; 95% CI 1.95-13.02; P < 0.05), postoperative antibiotic use for ≥ 3 days (OR: 49.53; 95% CI 9.73-91.01; P < 0.05), history of previous abdominal surgery (OR: 7.46; 95% CI 2.93-20.01; P < 0.05), hospital stay ≥ 10 days (OR: 9.67; 95% CI 2.06-76.46; P < 0.05), and malignant pathological type (OR: 4.62; 95% CI 1.78-12.76; P < 0.05). A nomogram model was constructed using these variables. ROC and calibration curves demonstrated good model calibration and discrimination in both training and validation sets. Analysis with DCA and CIC confirmed the clinical utility of the nomogram. Personalized nomogram mapping for SSI after hysterectomy enables early identification of high-risk patients, facilitating timely interventions to reduce SSI incidence post-surgery.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:虚弱是一种多因素综合征;通过这项研究,我们的目的是调查生理,心理,以及与社区居住老年人的虚弱和虚弱恶化相关的社会因素。
    方法:我们使用来自“社区授权与福祉和健康长期护理:来自队列研究(CEC)的证据”的数据进行了横向和纵向研究。“重点是日本65岁及以上的社区居民。横断面研究的样本来自2014年进行的CEC研究,共有673名参与者。在排除基线评估(2014年)和3年随访(2017年)期间体弱者后,该研究包括373名参与者.脆弱评估是从Kihon清单中提取的,而社会关系使用社会互动指数(ISI)进行评估。使用最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)回归进行变量选择,并测试其预测能力。通过应用于贝叶斯网络(BNs)的最大最小爬升算法确定了与虚弱状态和恶化相关的因素。
    结果:在基线时,14.1%(673人中有95人)的参与者身体虚弱,24.1%(373人中有90人)的参与者在3年随访时出现虚弱恶化.LASSO回归确定了脆弱的关键变量。对于脆弱识别(横截面),LASSO模型的AUC为0.943(95CI0.913-0.974),表明良好的歧视,Hosmer-Lemeshow(H-L)检验p=0.395。对于虚弱恶化(纵向),LASSO模型的AUC为0.722(95CI0.656-0.788),表明适度的歧视,H-L检验p=0.26。BN发现年龄,多浊度,功能状态,社会关系是与脆弱直接相关的父节点。它揭示了75岁或以上有身体功能障碍的人有85%的虚弱概率,多药,和低ISI分数;然而,如果他们的社会关系和多重用药状况得到改善,概率降低到50.0%。在纵向水平脆弱恶化模型中,75岁或以上的人的身体素质和ISI评分下降,其身体虚弱恶化的概率为75%;然而,如果身体功能和ISI改善,概率下降到25.0%。
    结论:脆弱及其进展在社区居住的老年人中普遍存在,并受各种因素的影响,包括年龄,物理功能,和社会关系。神经网络有助于识别这些变量之间的相互关系,量化关键因素的影响。然而,需要进一步的研究来验证所提出的模型。
    BACKGROUND: Frailty is a multifactorial syndrome; through this study, we aimed to investigate the physiological, psychological, and social factors associated with frailty and frailty worsening in community-dwelling older adults.
    METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional and longitudinal study using data from the \"Community Empowerment and Well-Being and Healthy Long-term Care: Evidence from a Cohort Study (CEC),\" which focuses on community dwellers aged 65 and above in Japan. The sample of the cross-sectional study was drawn from a CEC study conducted in 2014 with a total of 673 participants. After excluding those who were frail during the baseline assessment (2014) and at the 3-year follow-up (2017), the study included 373 participants. Frailty assessment was extracted from the Kihon Checklist, while social relationships were assessed using the Social Interaction Index (ISI). Variable selection was performed using Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression and their predictive abilities were tested. Factors associated with frailty status and worsening were identified through the Maximum-min Hillclimb algorithm applied to Bayesian networks (BNs).
    RESULTS: At baseline, 14.1% (95 out of 673) participants were frail, and 24.1% (90 out of 373) participants experienced frailty worsening at the 3-years follow up. LASSO regression identified key variables for frailty. For frailty identification (cross-sectional), the LASSO model\'s AUC was 0.943 (95%CI 0.913-0.974), indicating good discrimination, with Hosmer-Lemeshow (H-L) test p = 0.395. For frailty worsening (longitudinal), the LASSO model\'s AUC was 0.722 (95%CI 0.656-0.788), indicating moderate discrimination, with H-L test p = 0.26. The BNs found that age, multimorbidity, function status, and social relationships were parent nodes directly related to frailty. It revealed an 85% probability of frailty in individuals aged 75 or older with physical dysfunction, polypharmacy, and low ISI scores; however, if their social relationships and polypharmacy status improve, the probability reduces to 50.0%. In the longitudinal-level frailty worsening model, a 75% probability of frailty worsening in individuals aged 75 or older with declined physical function and ISI scores was noted; however, if physical function and ISI improve, the probability decreases to 25.0%.
    CONCLUSIONS: Frailty and its progression are prevalent among community-dwelling older adults and are influenced by various factors, including age, physical function, and social relationships. BNs facilitate the identification of interrelationships among these variables, quantify the influence of key factors. However, further research is required to validate the proposed model.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:尽管有证据表明炎症与子宫内膜癌(EC)风险之间存在联系,关于遗传相关性的调查和调查对长期结局影响的队列研究还有待完善.我们旨在解决炎症因素对发病机制的影响,EC的进展和后果。
    方法:对于遗传相关性分析,我们采用孟德尔随机化(MR)研究的两个样本,从GWAS数据库中调查与子宫内膜癌相关的炎症相关单核苷酸多态性.观察性回顾性研究包括2010年1月至2020年10月在汕头大学医学院肿瘤医院接受手术的连续诊断为EC(I至IV期)的患者。
    结果:2个样本的MR调查显示炎性细胞因子与子宫内膜癌之间没有因果关系。780例(中位年龄,55.0年)诊断为EC的患者被纳入队列,平均随访6.8年。基线炎症参数增加与较高的FIGO分期和侵袭性EC风险相关(比值比[OR]1.01至4.20)。多因素Cox回归分析显示,多个炎症指标与总生存期(OS)和无进展生存期(PFS)显著相关(P<0.05)。基于炎症风险和临床因素,开发了OS和PFS的列线图模型,C指数分别为0.811和0.789。LASSO回归验证支持炎症和临床因素对EC长期结局的预测功效。
    结论:尽管基因调查没有显示炎性细胞因子对子宫内膜癌风险的有害影响,我们的队列研究提示炎症水平与EC的进展和长期结局相关.这些证据可能有助于在EC治疗期间降低炎症水平的新策略。
    BACKGROUND: Despite evidence showing a connection between inflammation and endometrial cancer (EC) risk, the surveys on genetic correlation and cohort studies investigating the impact on long-term outcomes have yet to be refined. We aimed to address the impact of inflammation factors on the pathogenesis, progression and consequences of EC.
    METHODS: For the genetic correlation analyses, a two-sample of Mendelian randomization (MR) study was applied to investigate inflammation-related single-nucleotide polymorphisms involved with endometrial cancer from GWAS databases. The observational retrospective study included consecutive patients diagnosed with EC (stage I to IV) with surgeries between January 2010 and October 2020 at the Cancer Hospital of Shantou University Medical College.
    RESULTS: The 2-sample MR surveys indicated no causal relationship between inflammatory cytokines and endometrial cancer. 780 cases (median age, 55.0 years ) diagnosed with EC were included in the cohort and followed up for an average of 6.8 years. Increased inflammatory parameters at baseline were associated with a higher FIGO stage and invasive EC risk (odds ratios [OR] 1.01 to 4.20). Multivariate-cox regression suggested that multiple inflammatory indicators were significantly associated with overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) (P < 0.05). Nomogram models based on inflammatory risk and clinical factors were developed for OS and PFS with C-index of 0.811 and 0.789, respectively. LASSO regression for the validation supported the predictive efficacy of inflammatory and clinical factors on the long-term outcomes of EC.
    CONCLUSIONS: Despite the fact that the genetic surveys did not show a detrimental impact of inflammatory cytokines on the endometrial cancer risk, our cohort study suggested that inflammatory level was associated with the progression and long-term outcomes of EC. This evidence may contribute to new strategies targeted at decreasing inflammation levels during EC therapy.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    人们普遍认为,孤独与健康问题有关,但是对孤独的预测因素知之甚少。在这项研究中,我们构建了一个模型来预测个体成年后的孤独感风险。数据来自基于人群的前瞻性FinHealth队列研究,该研究有3444名参与者(平均年龄55.5岁,53.4%的女性)对81项自我管理的问卷做出了回应,并报告在2017年的基线时并不孤单。结果是在2020年的随访中自我报告的孤独感。使用引导增强的LASSO回归(bolasso)构建预测模型。最终模型的C指数包括来自最佳bolasso模型的11个预测因子,在0.65(95%CI0.61至0.70)和0.71(95%CI0.67至0.75)之间变化,合并的C指数为0.68(95%CI0.61至0.75)。尽管基于调查的个性化孤独感预测模型实现了合理的C指数,其预测价值有限.高检出率与高假阳性率相关,而较低的假阳性率与低检出率相关。这些发现表明,在成年期会发生孤独感。用标准调查数据可能很难预测。
    It is widely accepted that loneliness is associated with health problems, but less is known about the predictors of loneliness. In this study, we constructed a model to predict individual risk of loneliness during adulthood. Data were from the prospective population-based FinHealth cohort study with 3444 participants (mean age 55.5 years, 53.4% women) who responded to a 81-item self-administered questionnaire and reported not to be lonely at baseline in 2017. The outcome was self-reported loneliness at follow-up in 2020. Predictive models were constructed using bootstrap enhanced LASSO regression (bolasso). The C-index from the final model including 11 predictors from the best bolasso -models varied between 0.65 (95% CI 0.61 to 0.70) and 0.71 (95% CI 0.67 to 0.75) the pooled C -index being 0.68 (95% CI 0.61 to 0.75). Although survey-based individualised prediction models for loneliness achieved a reasonable C-index, their predictive value was limited. High detection rates were associated with high false positive rates, while lower false positive rates were associated with low detection rates. These findings suggest that incident loneliness during adulthood. may be difficult to predict with standard survey data.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:早期识别顺铂诱导的肾毒性(CIN)高危个体对于避免CIN和改善预后至关重要。在这项研究中,我们基于一般临床数据开发并验证了aCIN预测模型,实验室适应症,肺癌患者化疗前的遗传特征。
    方法:我们回顾性纳入了2019年6月至2021年6月使用铂类化疗方案的696例肺癌患者作为使用绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)回归构建预测模型的追踪集,交叉验证,和Akaike的信息准则(AIC)来选择重要变量。我们前瞻性选择了2021年7月至2022年12月的283名独立肺癌患者作为测试集,以评估模型的性能。
    结果:预测模型显示出良好的判别和校准,AUC分别为0.9217和0.8288,灵敏度分别为79.89%和45.07%,特异性为94.48%和94.81%,分别在训练集和测试集中。临床决策曲线分析表明,当风险阈值在0.1和0.9之间时,该模型具有临床应用价值。以0.5到0.75的召回间隔显示的精度-召回(PR)曲线:随着召回的增加,精度逐渐下降,到0.9。
    结论:基于实验室和人口统计学变量的预测模型可以作为识别CIN高危人群的有益补充工具。
    BACKGROUND: Early identification of high-risk individuals with cisplatin-induced nephrotoxicity (CIN) is crucial for avoiding CIN and improving prognosis. In this study, we developed and validated a CIN prediction model based on general clinical data, laboratory indications, and genetic features of lung cancer patients before chemotherapy.
    METHODS: We retrospectively included 696 lung cancer patients using platinum chemotherapy regimens from June 2019 to June 2021 as the traing set to construct a predictive model using Absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression, cross validation, and Akaike\'s information criterion (AIC) to select important variables. We prospectively selected 283 independent lung cancer patients from July 2021 to December 2022 as the test set to evaluate the model\'s performance.
    RESULTS: The prediction model showed good discrimination and calibration, with AUCs of 0.9217 and 0.8288, sensitivity of 79.89% and 45.07%, specificity of 94.48% and 94.81%, in the training and test sets respectively. Clinical decision curve analysis suggested that the model has value for clinical use when the risk threshold ranges between 0.1 and 0.9. Precision-Recall (PR) curve shown in recall interval from 0.5 to 0.75: precision gradually declines with increasing Recall, up to 0.9.
    CONCLUSIONS: Predictive models based on laboratory and demographic variables can serve as a beneficial complementary tool for identifying high-risk populations with CIN.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    静脉血栓栓塞(VTE),包括深静脉血栓形成(DVT)和继发性肺栓塞(PE),代表老年人髋部骨折后的严重并发症。它是VTE相关并发症的常见原因,住院时间延长,和死亡率。本研究旨在探讨全身免疫炎症指数(SII)作为老年髋部骨折患者VTE预测指标的潜力。
    这项研究是观察性的,分析,回顾性队列分析。共纳入346例诊断为髋部骨折的老年患者。我们回顾性地整理了这些患者的临床和实验室数据。使用引导方法,患者按7∶3的比例分为训练队列(DVT组=170例;无DVT组=72例)和内部验证队列(DVT组=81例;无DVT组=23例).在训练组中,最初使用单变量分析确定相关指标.随后,采用最小绝对收缩率和选择操作者logistic分析确定显著的潜在独立危险因素(P<0.05).开发了动态在线诊断列线图,使用受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC)评估其辨别能力。使用校准图进一步评估了列线图的准确性。通过决策曲线分析(DCA)评估列线图的临床实用性,并通过训练集中的内部验证进行证实。
    SII是根据训练队列的多变量逻辑分析确定的唯一独立危险因素,并被纳入老年髋部骨折患者的VTE诊断列线图。列线图显示训练队列中的AUC值为0.648,内部测试队列中的AUC值为0.545。校正曲线证实了列线图的预测结果与理想曲线的紧密一致,表明预测结果和实际结果之间的一致性。DCA曲线表明所有患者都可以从该模型中获益。这些发现也在验证队列中得到了验证。
    全身免疫炎症指数是老年患者髋部骨折后静脉血栓栓塞的可靠预测指标,强调其作为临床实践中有价值的工具的潜力。
    UNASSIGNED: Venous thromboembolism (VTE), encompassing deep vein thrombosis (DVT) and secondary pulmonary embolism (PE), represents a significant complication post-hip fracture in the elderly. It is a prevalent cause of VTE-related complications, prolonged hospitalization, and mortality. This study aimed to investigate the potential of the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) as a predictive marker for VTE in older patients following hip fracture.
    UNASSIGNED: The study was structured as an observational, analytical, retrospective cohort analysis. A total of 346 elderly patients diagnosed with hip fracture were included. We retrospectively collated clinical and laboratory data for these patients. Using the bootstrap method, the patients were divided in a 7:3 ratio into a training cohort (DVT group = 170 patients; no-DVT group = 72 patients) and an internal validation cohort (DVT group = 81 patients; no-DVT group = 23 patients). In the training cohort, relevant indices were initially identified using univariate analysis. Subsequently, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic analysis was employed to determine significant potential independent risk factors (P < 0.05). A dynamic online diagnostic nomogram was developed, with its discriminative ability assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The nomogram\'s accuracy was further appraised using calibration plots. The clinical utility of the nomogram was evaluated through decision curve analysis (DCA) and corroborated by internal validation within the training set.
    UNASSIGNED: SII emerged as the sole independent risk factor identified from the multivariate logistic analysis of the training cohort and was incorporated into the VTE diagnostic nomogram for older patients\' post-hip fracture. The nomogram demonstrated AUC values of 0.648 in the training cohort and 0.545 in the internal testing cohort. Calibration curves corroborated the close alignment of the nomogram\'s predicted outcomes with the ideal curve, indicating consistency between predicted and actual outcomes. The DCA curve suggested that all patients could derive benefit from this model. These findings were also validated in the validation cohort.
    UNASSIGNED: The systemic immune-inflammation index is a robust predictor of venous thromboembolism in elderly patients following hip fracture, underscoring its potential as a valuable tool in clinical practice.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    中国膳食炎症指数(DII)的地理分布尚未得到全面评估,中国中老年人群中DII与高血压之间的关联证据不足。
    探讨中国中老年人DII的地域差异及其与高血压的关系。
    数据来自中国成人慢性病和营养监测(CACDNS2015)中老年参与者。通过3天24小时饮食回忆访谈和食物频率问卷的组合来确定每位参与者的DII。采用空间分析方法研究了中国DII的地理分布。使用限制性三次样条模型和二元逻辑回归分析来评估DII与高血压之间的关系。最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)回归用于确定关键的高血压相关因素,然后将其纳入风险预测列线图模型的建立中,建立受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线和决策曲线分析(DCA)以评估其对高血压的判别能力。
    共有52,087名中年和老年参与者被纳入研究,其中36.6%患有高血压。它揭示了DII分数的全国分布有明显的空间相关性(MoranI:0.252,p=0.001),较高的DII分数集中在西北地区,较低的DII分数集中在东南地区。与没有高血压的参与者相比,高血压参与者的DII评分更高(OR:1.507vs.1.447,p=0.003)。限制性三次样条模型和二元逻辑回归分析显示,在调整潜在混杂因素后,DII与高血压之间呈正相关。随着DII评分的增加,高血压个体的比例有显著增加的趋势(趋势p=0.004)。列线图模型,使用通过LASSO回归确定的关键因素构建,表现出强大的判别能力,曲线下面积(AUC)为73.2%(95%CI,72.4-74.0%)。决策曲线分析证实了列线图模型的可靠性和有效性。在45岁以下的亚群中进行的敏感性分析得出的结果与主要分析一致。
    在中国中老年人中,饮食炎症潜力的地理差异是显著的,中国东南沿海地区的水平较低,西北地区的水平较高。同时,饮食的炎症潜能与高血压之间存在正相关.需要进一步的研究来调查饮食炎症潜力的区域差异,并确定与较低炎症相关的特定饮食模式。
    UNASSIGNED: Geographic distribution of dietary inflammatory index (DII) in China has not been thoroughly evaluated and evidence on the association between DII and hypertension among Chinese middle-aged and older population was inadequate.
    UNASSIGNED: To investigate the geographic disparities of DII and its association with hypertension among Chinese middle-aged and elders.
    UNASSIGNED: Data was from the China Adults Chronic Diseases and Nutrition Surveillance (CACDNS 2015) for middle-aged and older participants. The DII for each participant was determined through a combination of 3 days 24 h dietary recall interviews and a food frequency questionnaire. Spatial analysis was employed to investigate the geographic distribution of DII in China. Restricted cubic spline models and binary logistic regression analysis were used to assess the relationship between DII and hypertension. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was applied for identifying key hypertension-related factors, which was then included in the establishment of a risk prediction nomogram model, with the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and decision curve analysis (DCA) being built to evaluate its discriminatory power for hypertension.
    UNASSIGNED: A total of 52,087 middle-aged and older participants were included in the study, among whom 36.6% had hypertension. it revealed that a clear spatial correlation in the national distribution of DII scores (Moran I: 0.252, p = 0.001), with higher DII scores concentrated in the northwest region and lower DII scores concentrated in the southeast region. Hypertensive participants had higher DII scores compared to those without hypertension (OR: 1.507 vs. 1.447, p = 0.003). Restricted cubic spline models and binary logistic regression analysis demonstrated a positive association between DII and hypertension after adjusting for potential confounding factors. There was a significant increasing trend in the proportion of hypertensive individuals as DII scores increase (p for trend = 0.004). The nomogram model, constructed using key factors identified through LASSO regression, demonstrated a robust discriminative capacity, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 73.2% (95% CI, 72.4-74.0%). Decision curve analysis confirmed the reliability and effectiveness of the nomogram model. Sensitivity analysis conducted within the subpopulation aged under 45 years yielded results consistent with the primary analysis.
    UNASSIGNED: In Chinese adults middle-aged and older, geographic disparities in dietary inflammatory potential are notable, with lower levels observed in the southeastern coastal regions of China and higher levels in the northwestern regions. Meanwhile, there is a positive association between the inflammatory potential of the diet and hypertension. Additional research is needed to investigate regional disparities in dietary inflammatory potential and pinpoint specific dietary patterns associated with lower inflammation.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究的主要目的是使用数据驱动的方法分析饮食模式,并探索肾结石疾病(KSD)的预防或危险饮食因素。在上海郊区的成年人(n=6396)中进行了病例对照匹配研究。食物频率问卷被用来评估各类食物的消费量,用B超鉴别肾结石。采用主成分分析和回归方法生成膳食模式,并进一步探讨膳食模式与KSD的关系。使用LASSO回归和选择后推断来识别与KSD最相关的食物组。在男性中,“平衡但不含糖的饮料模式”(OR=0.78,p<0.05)和“坚果和泡菜模式”(OR=0.84,p<0.05)是保护性饮食模式。在女性中,“高蔬菜和低糖饮料模式”(OR=0.83,p<0.05)和“高甲壳类和低蔬菜模式”(OR=0.79,p<0.05)是保护性饮食模式,而“偏爱肉类的综合模式”(OR=1.06,p<0.05)和“含糖饮料模式”(OR=1.16,p<0.05)是风险饮食模式。我们进一步推断含糖饮料(p<0.05)是危险因素,咸菜(p<0.05)和甲壳类动物(p<0.05)是保护因素。
    The main objective of this study was to analyze dietary patterns using data-driven approaches and to explore preventive or risk dietary factors for kidney stone disease (KSD). A case-control matching study was conducted in adults (n = 6396) from a suburb of Shanghai. A food frequency questionnaire was used to assess the consumption of various types of food, and B-ultrasound was used to identify kidney stones. Principal component analysis and regression were used to generate dietary patterns and further explore the relationship between dietary patterns and KSD. LASSO regression and post-selection inference were used to identify food groups most associated with KSD. Among males, the \"balanced but no-sugary-beverages pattern\" (OR = 0.78, p < 0.05) and the \"nuts and pickles pattern\" (OR = 0.84, p < 0.05) were protective dietary patterns. Among females, \"high vegetables and low-sugary-beverages pattern\" (OR = 0.83, p < 0.05) and \"high-crustaceans and low-vegetables pattern\" (OR = 0.79, p < 0.05) were protective dietary patterns, while the \"comprehensive pattern with a preference for meat\" (OR = 1.06, p < 0.05) and \"sugary beverages pattern\" (OR = 1.16, p < 0.05) were risk dietary patterns. We further inferred that sugary beverages (p < 0.05) were risk factors and pickles (p < 0.05) and crustaceans (p < 0.05) were protective factors.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    发展性阅读障碍(DD)在最近几十年被普遍认为是一种多因素心理障碍。然而,阅读和学习环境研究,影响中国发展性阅读障碍(DD)的社会和人口因素仍然很少。本研究旨在探讨与出生前后DD相关的多维家庭影响因素。
    汕头共招募了60名阅读障碍学生和252名2-5级的正常小学生,中国。使用最小绝对收缩和选择算子(LASSO)回归模型进行社会和人口统计学变量筛选。通过多变量逻辑回归模型估计DD与相关因素之间关联的几率(OR)和95%置信区间(CI)。
    通过LASSO回归,我们最终确定了13个关键变量,包括产妇教育水平和家庭月收入,在其他人中。Logistic回归分析显示,母亲受教育程度较低的儿童发生DD的风险较高。与一致的父母教养方式相反,不同的父母教养方式可能是发展DD的风险因素(OR=4.93,95CI:1.11-21.91)。母亲在怀孕期间营养不良的儿童更容易发生DD(OR=10.31,95CI:1.84-37.86),以及每天在家中接触二手烟(OR=5.33,95CI:1.52-18.66)。有趣的是,儿童的主动阅读(OR=0.26,95CI:0.08-0.84;OR=0.17,95CI:0.04-0.76表示“有时”和“经常”与无相比,分别),有课外阅读童话书的孩子(OR=0.37,95CI:0.15-0.90),和有课外阅读作文书籍的儿童(OR=0.25,95CI:0.09-0.69)是DD的显着保护因素。
    家庭阅读环境,几个教育,社会计量和人口统计学因素可能会影响阅读障碍的发展。我们应该注意这些因素对阅读障碍的发展,从而提供良好的社会和家庭环境,以确保儿童的健康发展。
    UNASSIGNED: Developmental dyslexia (DD) has been generally recognized as a multifactorial psychological disorder in recent decades. However, studies on reading and learning environment, social and demographic factors affecting Chinese developmental dyslexia (DD) are still scarce in China. This study aims to explore multidimensional home influencing factors associated with DD before and after birth.
    UNASSIGNED: A total of 60 dyslexic and 252 normal elementary school students graded 2-5 were recruited in Shantou, China. The Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression model was used for the social and demographic variables screening. Odds ratios (ORs) with 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) for associations between DD and related factors were estimated by multivariate logistic regression models.
    UNASSIGNED: Through LASSO regression, we ultimately identified 13 key variables, including maternal education level and family monthly income, among others. The logistic regression analyses showed that the risk of DD was higher in children with lower maternal education levels. Divergent parenting styles may be a risk factor for developing DD as opposed to consistent parenting styles (OR = 4.93, 95%CI: 1.11-21.91). Children whose mothers suffered from malnutrition during pregnancy were more likely to develop DD (OR = 10.31, 95%CI: 1.84-37.86), as well as exposure to second-hand smoking at home every day (OR = 5.33, 95%CI: 1.52-18.66). Interestingly, children\'s active reading (OR = 0.26, 95%CI: 0.08-0.84; OR = 0.17, 95%CI: 0.04-0.76 for \"sometimes\" and \"often\" compared to none, respectively), children having extracurricular reading fairy tale books (OR = 0.37, 95%CI: 0.15-0.90), and children having extracurricular reading composition books (OR = 0.25, 95%CI: 0.09-0.69) were significant protective factors for DD.
    UNASSIGNED: Home reading environment, several educational, sociometric and demographic factors may influence the development of dyslexia. We should pay attention to these factors on the development of dyslexia, so as to provide the well social and familial environment to ensure the healthy development of children.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    胰腺癌(PC)患者预后不良。放射治疗(RT)是临床实践中的标准姑息治疗方法,目前尚无有效的临床预测模型来预测接受放疗的PC患者的预后。本研究旨在分析PC的临床特征,找出影响PC患者预后的因素,并构建视觉列线图来预测总生存期(OS)。
    SEER*Stat软件用于从监测中收集临床数据,流行病学,和3570例接受RT治疗的患者的最终结果(SEER)数据库。同时,收集郑州大学附属肿瘤医院115例患者的相关临床资料。SEER数据库数据以7:3的比例随机分为训练和内部验证队列,以郑州大学附属肿瘤医院所有患者为外部验证队列。套索回归用于筛选相关变量。所有非零变量都包括在多变量分析中。多因素Cox比例风险回归分析确定独立预后因素。Kaplan-Meier(K-M)方法用于绘制不同治疗方法(手术,RT,化疗,和联合治疗)并计算中位OS。列线图用于预测1年、3年和5年的生存率。并用计算曲线绘制了随时间变化的受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)。计算曲线下面积(AUC),Bootstrap方法用于绘制校准曲线,采用决策曲线分析(DCA)评价预测模型的临床疗效。
    手术联合放化疗(SCRT)的中位OS分别为25.0、18.0、11.0和4.0个月,手术联合放疗,放化疗(CRT),和RT单独队列,分别。多因素Cox回归分析显示,年龄,N级,M阶段,化疗,手术,淋巴结手术,和分级是患者的独立预后因素。构建列线图模型来预测患者的OS。1-,3-,绘制了5年随时间变化的ROC曲线,并计算AUC值。结果表明,训练队列的AUC分别为0.77、0.79和0.79,内部验证队列的0.79、0.82和0.81,外部验证队列为0.73、0.93和0.88。校正曲线表明,模型预测概率与实际观测概率高度吻合,DCA曲线显示了较高的净收益。
    SCRT显着改善了PC患者的操作系统。我们开发并验证了Nomogram来预测接受RT的PC患者的操作系统。
    Patients with pancreatic cancer (PC) have a poor prognosis. Radiotherapy (RT) is a standard palliative treatment in clinical practice, and there is no effective clinical prediction model to predict the prognosis of PC patients receiving radiotherapy. This study aimed to analyze PC\'s clinical characteristics, find the factors affecting PC patients\' prognosis, and construct a visual Nomogram to predict overall survival (OS).
    SEER*Stat software was used to collect clinical data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database of 3570 patients treated with RT. At the same time, the relevant clinical data of 115 patients were collected from the Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University. The SEER database data were randomly divided into the training and internal validation cohorts in a 7:3 ratio, with all patients at The Affiliated Cancer Hospital of Zhengzhou University as the external validation cohort. The lasso regression was used to screen the relevant variables. All non-zero variables were included in the multivariate analysis. Multivariate Cox proportional risk regression analysis was used to determine the independent prognostic factors. The Kaplan-Meier(K-M) method was used to plot the survival curves for different treatments (surgery, RT, chemotherapy, and combination therapy) and calculate the median OS. The Nomogram was constructed to predict the survival rates at 1, 3, and 5 years, and the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC) were plotted with the calculated curves. Calculate the area under the curve (AUC), the Bootstrap method was used to plot the calibration curve, and the clinical efficacy of the prediction model was evaluated using decision curve analysis (DCA).
    The median OS was 25.0, 18.0, 11.0, and 4.0 months in the surgery combined with chemoradiotherapy (SCRT), surgery combined with radiotherapy, chemoradiotherapy (CRT), and RT alone cohorts, respectively. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that age, N stage, M stage, chemotherapy, surgery, lymph node surgery, and Grade were independent prognostic factors for patients. Nomogram models were constructed to predict patients\' OS. 1-, 3-, and 5-year Time-dependent ROC curves were plotted, and AUC values were calculated. The results suggested that the AUCs were 0.77, 0.79, and 0.79 for the training cohort, 0.79, 0.82, and 0.81 for the internal validation cohort, and 0.73, 0.93, and 0.88 for the external validation cohort. The calibration curves Show that the model prediction probability is in high agreement with the actual observation probability, and the DCA curve shows a high net return.
    SCRT significantly improves the OS of PC patients. We developed and validated a Nomogram to predict the OS of PC patients receiving RT.
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