空气污染,由于运输车队的不断增加,泰国各省对健康的不利影响正在增加。该研究估计,到2030年,泰国纳空拉特恰玛省的车队规模将增长到200万辆,到2021年为136万辆。在NR中,在2019-2021年,PM2.5和PM10浓度已经超过世卫组织和NAAQS指南。使用污染控制部门(PCD)批准的EMEP/EEA一级和二级方法,这项研究估计,排气管排放总负荷将为1039吨PM2.5,16630吨NO2,20,623吨CO,195吨NH,2030年NR中的SO2为249吨。排放负荷将增加到1752吨PM2.5、21,126吨NO2、25,559吨CO、如果考虑上游排放,2030年将有361吨NH3和9344吨SO2。这项研究根据PCD的指令制定了五种控制方案,以减轻车辆导致的空气污染对NR和2024-2030年实施的不利健康。根据研究,将在2024-2030年期间实施不同的控制方案,将能够控制NR中车辆的车队规模。结果表明,控制方案将在2030年将PM2.5的年排气管排放量保持在604吨,比2030年的常规情景(BAU)减少42%。在实施不同的控制方案的情况下,由于尾气和上游排放导致的2030年BAU情景下,NR的健康损害范围为6941至11,625个残疾调整寿命年(DALYs),可以减少到4162-7318个DALYs。通过减少DALYs和相关成本,控制方案还将在2024-2030年期间提供从4465到6.18亿泰铢的巨大经济效益。
Air pollution, owing to the ever-increasing transport vehicle fleet, and adverse health effects are increasing in provinces of Thailand. The study estimated that the vehicle fleet size of Nakhon Ratchasima (NR) province of Thailand will grow to 2 million vehicles by 2030, which was 1.36 million in 2021. In NR, the PM2.5 and PM10 concentrations already surpassed both WHO and NAAQS guidelines in 2019-2021. Using Pollution Control Department (PCD) approved Tier I and II Methodology of EMEP/EEA, this research estimated that the total tailpipe emission load will be 1039 tons of PM2.5, 16,630 tons of NO₂, 20,623 tons of CO, 195 tons NH₃, and 249 tons of SO₂ in NR during 2030. The emission load will increase to 1752 tons of PM2.5, 21,126 tons of NO2, 25,559 tons of CO, 361 tons of NH3 and 9344 tons of SO₂ during 2030 if upstream emissions are considered. This study has developed five control scenarios in line with the directives of PCD to mitigate the adverse health from vehicle-led air pollution in NR and implementation during 2024-2030. According to the study, different control scenarios to be implemented during 2024-2030, will be able to keep the fleet size of vehicles in the NR under control. The results show that the control scenarios will keep the annual tailpipe emission of PM2.5 at 604 tons in 2030, a 42 % reduction over the 2030 Business-As-Usual scenario (BAU). The health damage in the range of 6941 to 11,625 disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) under the 2030 BAU scenario in NR due to tailpipe and upstream emissions can be reduced to 4162-7318 DALYs with the implementation of different control scenarios. The control scenarios will also provide significant economic benefits ranging from 4465 to 6718 million THB during 2024-2030 through reduced DALYs and associated costs.