Cause of death

死亡原因
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在这项工作中,首次采用电膜提取法(EME)分离乌头碱(AC),中乌头碱(Mes-AC)和次乌头碱(Hyp-AC)来自生物样品和中草药。用1-乙基-2-硝基苯(ENB)溶剂从不同的样品基质中获得了极性和高分子量乌头碱生物碱的有效EME。在最优EME条件下,EME为所有目标提供了72%-74%的回收率,全血为85%-103%和92%-94%,尿液和水样。拟议的EME系统结合LC-MS/MS和HPLC-UV使用不同的样品基质进行评估,这些方法表现出令人满意的分析特性,包括可忽略的基体效应。AC的LOD和LOQ,Mes-AC,通过EME-LC-MS/MS测得的Hyp-AC分别在0.002-0.068ng/mL和0.005-0.228ng/mL范围内。AC的LOD和LOQ,Mes-AC,通过EME-HPLC-UV测得Hyp-AC的范围为0.06-0.26μg/mL和0.20-0.86μg/mL,分别。决定系数,所有病例的R2值≥0.9926,线性范围的准确度在91%-111%之间。最后,该方法已成功应用于实际法医学案例的全血和中药渣样品中AC和Mes-AC的定性和定量分析,乌头生物碱中毒被确定为死亡原因。因此,我们相信EME可能是识别中毒的有力工具,并且EME在有效分离极性和高分子量物质方面具有巨大的潜力。这些在法医学领域非常重要,但不仅限于法医学,中医和诊所。
    In this work, electromembrane extraction (EME) was used for the first time to separate aconitine (AC), mesaconitine (Mes-AC) and hypaconitine (Hyp-AC) from biological samples and Chinese herbal medicines. Efficient EME of polar and high molecular weight aconitine alkaloids from different sample matrices was achieved with the solvent of 1-ethyl-2-nitrobenzene (ENB). Under the optimal EME conditions, EME provided recoveries for all targets in the range of 72%-74 %, 85%-103 % and 92%-94 % for whole blood, urine and aqueous samples. The proposed EME systems combined with LC-MS/MS and HPLC-UV were evaluated using different sample matrices, and the methods displayed satisfactory analytical characteristic including negligible matrix effect. The LOD and LOQ of AC, Mes-AC, and Hyp-AC by EME-LC-MS/MS were in the range of 0.002-0.068 ng/mL and 0.005-0.228 ng/mL respectively. The LOD and LOQ of AC, Mes-AC, and Hyp-AC by EME-HPLC-UV were in the range of 0.06-0.26 μg/mL and 0.20-0.86 μg/mL, respectively. The coefficient of determination, R2-value was ≥0.9926 for all cases, and the accuracy in the linear ranges was in the range of 91%-111 %. Finally, the method was successfully applied for the qualitative and quantitative analysis of AC and Mes-AC in the whole blood and herbal medicine dreg samples from an actual forensic case, and poisoning by aconitum alkaloids was identified as the cause of death. Therefore, we believe that EME could be a powerful tool to identify poisoning, and EME has great potential for efficient separation of polar and high molecular weight substances. These are of great importance in the fields of but not limited to forensic science, Traditional Chinese Medicine and clinics.
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  • 文章类型: Case Reports
    近年来,法医实践共同标准的改进受到了关注,以推广一种明确和更高质量的法医调查方法。尽管大多数死亡都归因于自杀,案件偶尔发生由于事故或凶杀。从调查的角度来看,绞死通常很简单,但是异常情况可能会引起犯罪的怀疑。这包括复杂的自杀,这是受害者用两种或多种不同的致命方法追求的罕见事件,可以分为有计划的或无计划的,取决于方法是同时应用还是顺序应用。检测到的多种伤害往往会导致误解,因此,多学科方法极为重要。
    一个44岁的男人,在请求执法后,而是在距离他自己的财产几公里的一个无人居住的花园中被发现,用铁丝悬挂在横梁上;铁丝在他的后脑勺上形成了一个绞索,他的手放在脖子上,并发现了刺伤。
    犯罪现场调查,亲戚的采访,尸检,组织学和毒理学检查,GAP导致确定死亡是自杀。这种全面的方法强调了在法医案件中进行细致调查和分析以得出准确结论的重要性。
    UNASSIGNED: In recent years, the improvement of common standards of forensic practice has received attention to promote an unambiguous and better-quality forensic investigation method. Although most hanging deaths are attributed to suicides, cases occasionally occur due to accidents or homicides. From an investigative point of view, hanging deaths are usually straightforward, but unusual circumstances may raise suspicions of crime. This includes complex suicides, which are rare events pursued by victims with two or more different fatal methods and can be classified as planned or unplanned, depends on whether the methods are applied simultaneously or sequentially. The multiplicity of injuries detected can often lead to misinterpretations, thus making a multidisciplinary approach extremely important.
    UNASSIGNED: A 44-year-old man, after requesting law enforcement, has been instead found inside a garden of an uninhabited property located a few kilometers away from his own property, suspended from a beam with wire; the wire created a noose at the back of his head, his hands were placed at his neck, and stab wounds were found.
    UNASSIGNED: The crime scene investigation, interview of relatives, autopsy, histological and toxicological examinations, and GAP led to the determination that the death was suicide. This comprehensive approach emphasizes the importance of meticulous investigation and analysis to reach accurate conclusions in forensic cases.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    气候变化对人口健康构成了越来越大的挑战。这项研究的目的是评估苏州市环境温度与特定原因死亡率之间的关系。根据苏州市2008-2022年收集的非意外死亡率数据,中国,本研究采用个体水平的病例交叉设计来评估体温与特定原因死亡率的相关性.我们应用了最大滞后为14天的分布式滞后非线性模型来解释滞后效应。分析了由于极端寒冷(<2.5百分位数)和极端高温(>97.5百分位数)导致的死亡风险。在这项研究中,共分析了634,530例非意外死亡。在环境温度和非意外死亡率之间观察到逆J形暴露-反应关系,最低死亡率温度(MMT)为29.1℃。与极端寒冷(2.5百分位数)相关的死亡率相对风险(RR)为1.37[95%置信区间(CI):1.30,1.44],相对于MMT,极热(97.5百分位数)高于1.09(95CI:1.07,1.11)的估计值。热效应持续2-3天,而寒冷的影响可能会持续近14天。与总死亡相比,心肺死亡的死亡率风险估计更高。组间差异具有统计学意义。因此,这项研究提供了有关环境温度与各种原因导致的死亡风险之间关联的第一手证据,这可以帮助地方政府和政策制定者设计针对气候变化威胁的有针对性的战略和公共卫生措施。
    The changing climate poses a growing challenge to the population health. The objective of this study was to assess the association between ambient temperature and cause-specific mortality in Suzhou. Based on the non-accidental mortality data collected during 2008-2022 in Suzhou, China, this study utilized an individual-level case-crossover design to evaluate the associations of temperature with cause-specific mortality. We applied a distributed lag nonlinear model with a maximum lag of 14 days to account for lag effects. Mortality risk due to extreme cold (<2.5th percentile) and extreme heat (>97.5th percentile) was analyzed. A total of 634,530 non-accidental deaths were analyzed in this study. An inverse J-shaped exposure-response relationship was observed between ambient temperature and non-accidental mortality, with the minimum mortality temperature (MMT) at 29.1℃. The relative risk (RR) of mortality associated with extreme cold (2.5th percentile) was 1.37 [95 % confidence interval (CI): 1.30, 1.44], higher than estimate of 1.09 (95 %CI: 1.07, 1.11) for extreme heat (97.5th percentile) relative to the MMT. Heat effect lasted for 2-3 days, while cold effect could persist for almost 14 days. Higher mortality risk estimates were observed for cardiorespiratory deaths compared to total deaths, with statistically significant between-group differences. Consequently, this study provides first-hand evidence on the associations between ambient temperatures and mortality risks from various causes, which could help local government and policy-makers in designing targeted strategies and public health measures against the menace of climate change.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:肝移植是治疗终末期肝病的金标准。本研究通过在巢式病例对照研究中量化标准化死亡率来评估与普通人群相比的移植后存活率。
    方法:对照来自国家纵向死亡率研究的非制度化美国居民。从1990年到2007年,通过器官采购和移植网络数据库确定了接受肝移植的病例。倾向匹配(5:1,最近邻,卡尺0.1)根据年龄确定的控制,性别,种族,和国家。主要终点是10年生存率。
    结果:62,788例与313,381例对照匹配。总体标准化死亡率为2.46(95%CI=2.44-2.48)。男性的标准化死亡率较高(2.59vs.2.25)和西班牙裔患者(4.80)。年轻患者和早期移植患者(1990-1995年)的标准化死亡率较高。
    结论:肝脏受者的标准化死亡率比一般人群高2.46倍。长期死亡率随着时间的推移而下降。
    BACKGROUND: Liver transplantation is the gold standard treatment for end-stage liver disease. This study evaluates post-transplantation survival compared with the general population by quantifying standardized mortality ratios in a nested case-control study.
    METHODS: Controls were noninstitutionalized United States inhabitants from the National Longitudinal Mortality Study. Cases underwent liver transplantation from 1990 to 2007 identified through the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network database. Propensity matching (5:1, nearest neighbor, caliper 0.1) identified controls based on age, sex, race, and state. The primary endpoint was 10-year survival.
    RESULTS: 62,788 cases were matched to 313,381 controls. The overall standardized mortality ratio was 2.46 (95% CI ​= ​2.44-2.48). The standardized mortality ratio was higher for males (2.59 vs. 2.25) and Hispanic patients (4.80). Younger patients and those transplanted earlier (1990-1995) had higher standardized mortality ratios.
    CONCLUSIONS: Liver recipients have a standardized mortality ratio 2.46 times higher than the general population. Long-term mortality has declined over time.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    强奸和谋杀儿童和青少年是目前最严重的犯罪之一。暴力犯罪受害者的尸体解剖可以为调查过程和追求正义提供基本结果。这项研究对1998年至2021年间智利因强奸而死亡的27例儿童和青少年的尸检中最重要的发现进行了描述性分析(n=27),以及从这些案件的司法裁决中收集与肇事者有关的信息。结果发现,这一罪行的受害者大多是平均年龄10岁的女孩,而作案者主要是平均29岁的单身男子,他们中的大多数人还没有读完高中。发现案发地点与死因及性接触迹象有重大关系,犯罪者的婚姻状况和死亡原因,犯罪者的年龄和性接触的迹象,受害者和犯罪者之间的关系以及性接触的迹象。
    Rape followed by murder against children and adolescents is one of the most serious existing crimes. The autopsies of victims of violent crimes can provide fundamental findings for the investigative process and the pursuit of justice. This research conducts a descriptive analysis of the most important findings from the autopsies of 27 cases of children and adolescents who died in Chile between 1998 and 2021 as a result of rape followed by homicide (n = 27), as well as from the judiciary rulings of these cases to gather information related to the perpetrators. It was found that the victims of this crime are mostly girls with an average age of 10, while the perpetrators are primarily single men aged 29 on average, most of whom have not finished high school. A significant relationship was found between the location of the crime and the cause of death and signs of sexual contact, the marital status of the perpetrator and the cause of death, the age of the perpetrator and signs of sexual contact, and the relationship between victim and perpetrator and signs of sexual contact.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    随着全球气候变化,寒冷天气对健康的影响和PM2.5造成的空气污染日益加重,特别是在高海拔地区,特别敏感。探索它们的相互作用对公共卫生至关重要。
    我们收集了气象学的时间序列数据,空气污染,以及西宁市各种死亡原因。这项研究采用了时间分层的案例交叉设计和条件逻辑回归模型来探索冷法术之间的关联,PM2.5暴露,以及各种死亡原因,并评估他们的互动。我们使用相互作用的相对超额几率(REOI)定量分析了相互作用,归因于互动的可归属比例(AP),和协同指数(S)。此外,我们按平均海拔高度进行了分层分析,性别,年龄,和教育水平,以确定潜在的弱势群体。
    我们发现了寒冷法术之间的显著关联,PM2.5和各种死亡原因,对呼吸系统疾病死亡率和COPD死亡率有显著影响。我们确定了寒冷天气和PM2.5对各种死亡原因的显着协同作用(REOI>0,AP>0,S>1)。通常会随着更严格的冷法术定义和更长的持续时间而减弱。据估计,高达9.56%的非意外死亡可归因于同时暴露于寒冷天气和高水平PM2.5。高海拔地区,男性,老年人,受教育程度较低的人更敏感。互动主要因年龄组而异,表明显著的影响和增加死亡风险的协同作用。
    我们的研究发现,在高海拔地区,暴露于寒冷天气和PM2.5会显著增加老年人因特定疾病的死亡风险,男性,那些教育水平较低的人,寒冷天气和PM2.5之间存在相互作用。结果强调了减少这些暴露对保护公众健康的重要性。
    UNASSIGNED: With global climate change, the health impacts of cold spells and air pollution caused by PM2.5 are increasingly aggravated, especially in high-altitude areas, which are particularly sensitive. Exploring their interactions is crucial for public health.
    UNASSIGNED: We collected time-series data on meteorology, air pollution, and various causes of death in Xining. This study employed a time-stratified case-crossover design and conditional logistic regression models to explore the association between cold spells, PM2.5 exposure, and various causes of death, and to assess their interaction. We quantitatively analyzed the interaction using the relative excess odds due to interaction (REOI), attributable proportion due to interaction (AP), and synergy index (S). Moreover, we conducted stratified analyses by average altitude, sex, age, and educational level to identify potential vulnerable groups.
    UNASSIGNED: We found significant associations between cold spells, PM2.5, and various causes of death, with noticeable effects on respiratory disease mortality and COPD mortality. We identified significant synergistic effects (REOI>0, AP > 0, S > 1) between cold spells and PM2.5 on various causes of death, which generally weakened with a stricter definition of cold spells and longer duration. It was estimated that up to 9.56% of non-accidental deaths could be attributed to concurrent exposure to cold spells and high-level PM2.5. High-altitude areas, males, the older adults, and individuals with lower educational levels were more sensitive. The interaction mainly varied among age groups, indicating significant impacts and a synergistic action that increased mortality risk.
    UNASSIGNED: Our study found that in high-altitude areas, exposure to cold spells and PM2.5 significantly increased the mortality risk from specific diseases among the older adults, males, and those with lower educational levels, and there was an interaction between cold spells and PM2.5. The results underscore the importance of reducing these exposures to protect public health.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:尸检是明确确定死亡原因和评估死前临床诊断准确性的最可靠方法。识别诊断差异对于了解死前临床诊断中的常见差距和修改死前诊断方法以提高临床诊断的准确性至关重要。这项研究的目的是确定在死前临床诊断和死后尸检之间对肺部病理的诊断差异的频率,并了解埃塞俄比亚儿童健康和死亡率预防监测(CHAMPS)中病例中诊断差异的原因。
    方法:在2019年10月至2022年4月期间,在埃塞俄比亚的三个地点进行了CHAMPS研究中五岁以下儿童死亡的临床病例系列研究。比较了每个病例的死前临床诊断和死后肺病理诊断。两位资深医生评估了同意和不同意的发现。McNemar检验用于评估死前和死后诊断之间的统计学显着差异。
    结果:共75例(男性占73.3%)。超过一半(54.7%)在生命的第一天和第七天之间死亡。脓毒症(66.7%),肺炎(6.7%),胎粪吸入综合征(5.0%)是最常见的直接死亡原因。一半(52%)的病例在死前被正确诊断。诊断差异的幅度为35%(95%CI:20-47%)。导致诊断差异的最常见因素是知识差距(22/75,35.5%)和咨询和团队合作问题(22/75,35.5%)。
    结论:误诊常见于肺部病理阳性死亡的幼儿。需要开展在职教育举措和多学科合作,以减轻幼儿的高诊断差异率,从而有可能预防未来的死亡。
    BACKGROUND: Diagnostic autopsy is the most reliable approach to definitively ascertain the cause of death and evaluate the accuracy of antemortem clinical diagnoses. Identifying diagnostic discrepancies is vital to understanding common gaps in antemortem clinical diagnoses and modifying antemortem diagnostic approaches to increase the accuracy of clinical diagnosis. The objective of this study was to determine the frequency of diagnostic discrepancies between antemortem clinical diagnoses and postmortem autopsies on lung pathologies and to understand the reasons for diagnostic discrepancies among cases included in Child Health and Mortality Prevention Surveillance (CHAMPS) in Ethiopia.
    METHODS: A clinical case series study of deaths among children under-five in the CHAMPS study at three sites in Ethiopia between October 2019 and April 2022 was conducted. The antemortem clinical diagnoses and postmortem pathological diagnoses of the lung were compared for each case. Two senior physicians assessed the findings for both agreement and disagreement. McNemar\'s test was used to assess for statistically significant differences between antemortem and postmortem diagnoses.
    RESULTS: Seventy-five cases were included (73.3% male). Over half (54.7%) died between the 1st and 7th day of life. Sepsis (66.7%), pneumonia (6.7%), and meconium aspiration syndrome (5.0%) were the most common immediate causes of death. Half (52%) of cases were correctly diagnosed antemortem. The magnitude of diagnostic discrepancy was 35% (95% CI: 20-47%). The most common contributing factors to diagnostic discrepancy were gaps in knowledge (22/75, 35.5%) and problems in consultation and teamwork (22/75, 35.5%).
    CONCLUSIONS: Misdiagnoses were common among young children who died with positive lung pathology findings. In-service education initiatives and multidisciplinary collaboration are needed to mitigate high rates of diagnostic discrepancies among young children to potentially prevent future deaths.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:探讨其发生情况,人口统计,以及医生杀人的情况。
    方法:作者询问了国家暴力死亡报告系统(NVDRS),疾病控制和预防中心的监测系统追踪2003年至2018年间的暴力死亡,该系统整合了执法和验尸官/体检医师报告的数据。作者确定了以医生为职业的凶杀死者的案例,外科医生,或者精神病医生.收集的数据包括死者的人口统计学和死亡情况。
    结果:数据由7-41个州提供,参与州随时间增加。据报道有56起凶杀案,大多数是男性(73.2%)和白人(76.8%)。据报道,大多数(67.9%)确定的袭击者知道死者:23.2%是由伴侣/前伴侣犯下的;10.7%是由患者/患者\'家庭成员。死亡主要是枪伤(44.6%),刺伤(16.1%),和钝器外伤(16.1%)。在受害者家中发生的凶杀案(58.9%)多于工作(16.1%)。
    结论:医生杀人相对罕见,发生率低于普通人群。与患者相比,医生被伴侣或前伴侣杀死的频率更高。大多数凶杀案发生在远离工作场所的地方。需要更广泛的努力来促进整个美国暴力社会的干预措施,以减少家庭/伴侣暴力和枪支暴力。
    OBJECTIVE: To explore the occurrence, demographics, and circumstances of homicides of physicians.
    METHODS: Authors interrogated the National Violent Death Reporting System (NVDRS), the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention\'s surveillance system tracking violent deaths between 2003 and 2018 which integrates data from law enforcement and coroner/medical examiner reports. Authors identified cases of homicide decedents whose profession was physician, surgeon, or psychiatrist. Data collected included decedents\' demographics as well as circumstances of death.
    RESULTS: Data were provided by 7-41 states as participating states increased over time. Fifty-six homicides were reported, most were male (73.2%) and white (76.8%). Most (67.9%) identified assailants reportedly knew decedents: 23.2% were perpetrated by partners/ex-partners; 10.7% by patients/patients\' family members. Deaths were mainly due to gunshot wounds (44.6%), stabbing (16.1%), and blunt force trauma (16.1%). More (58.9%) homicides occurred at victims\' homes than work (16.1%).
    CONCLUSIONS: Physician homicides are relatively rare and occur at lower rates than in the general population. Physicians were more frequently killed by partners or ex-partners than by patients. Most homicides occurred away from the workplace. Broader efforts are needed to promote interventions throughout America\'s violent society to reduce domestic/partner violence and gun violence.
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  • DOI:
    文章类型: Journal Article
    世卫组织将孕产妇死亡率定义为妇女在怀孕期间或终止妊娠后42天内或分娩后的任何死亡。我们的目的是研究2020年至2022年间喀麦隆西部地区孕产妇死亡发生的相关因素。这是一项病例对照研究。病例包括在研究期间发生的孕产妇死亡。对照组由通常在与病例相同的医疗机构分娩的妇女组成。唯一的暴露标准是死亡状况。对我们调查有用的数据分别与调查表一起收集,审计报告,并通过与发生孕产妇死亡的医疗机构负责人的访谈,以期大大减少信息偏见。使用IBM-SPSS25和RStudio2023.03.0进行分析。喀麦隆西部地区在2020年至2022年期间记录了161例孕产妇死亡。其中67%是家庭主妇。最常见的原因是出血(前,产后和产后),紧随其后的是并发症和败血症,分别为42.2%,12.4%和10.6%。10个孩子中有一个以上的孩子表现异常。近50%的人工作时间很短(不到10小时),38%的女性使用了Partograph,其中50.1%的人实施了GATP。胎儿的异常表现(aOR=2.7(95%CI:1.4-5.1),p=0.002),未能使用Partograph(AOR=4.4(95%CI:2.6-7.4),p<0.001),没有经济活动的事实(aOR=1.7(95%CI:1.0-2.7),p=0.033),服用少于2剂增值税的事实(aOR=2.8(95%CI:1.8-4.4),p<0.001)和缺乏GATP的实践(aOR=1.6(CI95%:1.0-2.6),p=0.040)被确定为明显有利于孕产妇死亡发生的因素。有几个因素对西部地区孕产妇死亡的发生产生负面影响。持续培训产科病房工作人员等运作策略,应建立系统的孕产妇死亡审核和审查会议,以减少和控制这些风险因素。
    WHO defines maternal mortality as any death of a woman occurring during pregnancy or within 42 days of its termination or after delivery. Our aim was to study the factors associated with the occurrence of maternal deaths in the West Region of Cameroon between 2020 and 2022. This was a case-control study. Cases consisted of maternal deaths that occurred during the study period. The controls for their part were made up of women who normally gave birth in the same health facilities from which the cases came and during the same period as the cases. The only exposure criterion being the status of death. The data useful for our investigation were collected respectively with the investigation sheets, audit reports and via interviews with the heads of the health facilities where the maternal deaths occurred with a view to considerably reducing information bias. Analysis were done with IBM-SPSS 25 and RStudio 2023.03.0. The West Region of Cameroon recorded 161 maternal deaths between 2020 and 2022. 67% of them were housewives. The most frequently identified causes were haemorrhage (ante-, per- and post-partum), followed far behind by complications and sepsis, with respective 42.2%, 12.4% and 10.6%. Slightly more than one child out of 10 had an abnormal presentation. Nearly 50% had a short labor (less than 10 hours), the partograph was used in 38% of the women, and the GATP practiced in 50.1% of them. Abnormal presentation of the fetus (aOR = 2.7 (95% CI: 1.4 - 5.1), p=0.002), failure to use the partograph (aOR = 4.4 (95% CI: 2 .6 - 7.4), p<0.001), the fact of not having an economic activity (aOR = 1.7 (95% CI: 1.0 - 2.7), p = 0.033), the fact of having taken less than 2 doses of VAT ( aOR = 2.8 (95% CI: 1.8 - 4.4), p<0.001) and the absence of practice of GATP (aOR = 1.6 (CI 95%: 1.0 - 2.6), p=0.040) were identified as factors that significantly favored the occurrence of maternal deaths. Several factors negatively influence the occurrence of maternal deaths in the West Region. Operational strategies such as continuous training of maternity ward staff, and the establishment of systematic maternal death audits and review meetings should be implemented to reduce and control these risk factors.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:洪水是最常见的与天气有关的灾难,对全球健康造成重大影响。有限的研究已经检查了洪水暴露的长期后果。
    方法:洪水数据从达特茅斯洪水观察站检索,并与499,487名英国生物库参与者的健康数据相关联。要计算年度累积洪水暴露量,我们将每次洪水事件的持续时间和严重程度相乘,然后将每年的这些值求和。我们进行了嵌套病例对照分析,以评估洪水暴露对全因死亡率和特定原因死亡率的长期影响。每个病例与8个对照相匹配。使用分布式滞后非线性模型对洪水暴露进行建模,以捕获其非线性和滞后影响。
    结果:在控制了混杂因素后,洪水指数每增加一个单位,全因死亡的风险就会增加6.7%(比值比(OR):1.067,95%置信区间(CI):1.063-1.071)。今年神经和精神疾病的死亡风险可以忽略不计,但在滞后的第3年和第4年最强。相比之下,自杀死亡风险在本年度最强(OR:1.018,95%CI:1.008-1.028),并衰减到滞后5年。受教育程度和家庭收入较高的参与者估计死于大多数原因的风险较高,而肥胖的参与者自杀相关死亡的风险较高。家庭收入较低,从事较少的体力活动,是非中度酒精消费者,以及那些生活在更贫困地区的人。
    结论:长期暴露于洪水与死亡风险增加相关。事件发生后的不同时期,洪水暴露对健康的影响会有所不同,针对不同的死亡原因确定了不同的脆弱人群。这些发现有助于更好地了解洪水暴露的长期影响。
    BACKGROUND: Floods are the most frequent weather-related disaster, causing significant health impacts worldwide. Limited studies have examined the long-term consequences of flooding exposure.
    METHODS: Flood data were retrieved from the Dartmouth Flood Observatory and linked with health data from 499,487 UK Biobank participants. To calculate the annual cumulative flooding exposure, we multiplied the duration and severity of each flood event and then summed these values for each year. We conducted a nested case-control analysis to evaluate the long-term effect of flooding exposure on all-cause and cause-specific mortality. Each case was matched with eight controls. Flooding exposure was modelled using a distributed lag non-linear model to capture its nonlinear and lagged effects.
    RESULTS: The risk of all-cause mortality increased by 6.7% (odds ratio (OR): 1.067, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.063-1.071) for every unit increase in flood index after confounders had been controlled for. The mortality risk from neurological and mental diseases was negligible in the current year, but strongest in the lag years 3 and 4. By contrast, the risk of mortality from suicide was the strongest in the current year (OR: 1.018, 95% CI: 1.008-1.028), and attenuated to lag year 5. Participants with higher levels of education and household income had a higher estimated risk of death from most causes whereas the risk of suicide-related mortality was higher among participants who were obese, had lower household income, engaged in less physical activity, were non-moderate alcohol consumers, and those living in more deprived areas.
    CONCLUSIONS: Long-term exposure to floods is associated with an increased risk of mortality. The health consequences of flooding exposure would vary across different periods after the event, with different profiles of vulnerable populations identified for different causes of death. These findings contribute to a better understanding of the long-term impacts of flooding exposure.
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