Case finding

案件调查
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:随着国家沙眼计划加大努力,以减轻沙眼倒车灯(TT)的负担,TT病例发现和转诊是关键的公共卫生计划组成部分。我们的研究旨在探索最有效和最有效的方法来寻找,引用,和管理TT案件。
    方法:这是一项前瞻性描述性研究,利用常规程序数据和主要数据收集。这项研究比较了在卡诺州三个不同的地方政府区域(LGA)中发现TT病例的四种不同方法,尼日利亚。每个研究LGA被分为四个子单元以适应四种不同的方法。
    结果:在四种病例发现方法中,外展参与者的数量为4795人,这变化很大,在仅采用逐户查找案件的设置中,数量和比例最小(403,0.26%),而使用城镇哭泣者的数量和比例最大(1901,0.99%)。那就是说,当使用逐户查找病例时,在外展中出现TT病例的比例最高(32.5%),当使用城镇哭泣者时最低(10.3%)。与男性病例相比,发现更多的女性TT患者(53-70%)并进行了手术(79-85%),在所有方法中。查找一个TT案例的平均项目支出与包括逐户查找案例的方法相似(5.4-6.3美元),而使用城镇crier时,这一数字高出3.5倍(发现每个TT病例21.5美元)。
    结论:这项研究发现,挨家挨户的TT病例发现方法是最有效的方法,TT病例的产量最高。包括其他眼睛状况和/或视力测试产生类似的结果,但需要更多的人员和成本。
    BACKGROUND: As national trachoma programmes increase efforts to reduce the burden of trachomatous trichiasis (TT), TT case finding and referral are critical public health programme components. Our research aimed to explore the most effective and efficient approaches to finding, referring, and managing TT cases.
    METHODS: This was a prospective descriptive study, utilizing both routine programme data and primary data collection. This study compared four different approaches to finding TT cases across three different local government areas (LGAs) in Kano State, Nigeria. Each of the study LGAs was divided into four sub-units to accommodate the four different approaches.
    RESULTS: The number of outreach attendees was 4795 across the four case finding approaches, and this varied hugely, with the smallest number and proportion (403, 0.26%) in settings only employing house-to-house case finding and the largest number and proportion (1901, 0.99%) when town criers were used. That said, the proportion of TT cases among people presenting at outreach was highest (32.5%) when house-to-house case finding was used and lowest (10.3%) when town criers were used. More female TT patients were found (53-70%) and had surgery (79-85%) compared to male cases, across all approaches. The average project expenditure for finding one TT case was similar for approaches that included house-to-house case finding (USD 5.4-6.3), while it was 3.5 times higher (USD 21.5 per TT case found) when town criers were used.
    CONCLUSIONS: This study found that the house-to-house TT case finding approaches were the most efficient method with the highest yield of TT cases. Including other eye condition and/or vision testing yielded similar results but required more personnel and cost.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:世界卫生组织建议进行逐户病例搜索,以证明是否已经消除了沙眼倒霉(TT)。我们试图确定沙眼流行国家和地区的数量,这些国家和地区需要记录在案的全地理覆盖(DFGC)或仅TT调查。
    方法:我们对沙眼图集的数据进行了二次分析,以确定需要挨家挨户进行病例搜索或仅进行TT调查的评估单位(EU),以证明消除TT的成就。
    结果:在所有沙眼流行国家中,有1710例患者的TT高于消除患病率目标。在这些欧盟中,852(49.8%)没有计划未来的调查,因此可能必须通过DFGC或仅TT调查来证明是否已达到TT的消除患病率目标。
    结论:在大量需要TT相关活动的欧盟中,其中近一半将需要证据表明,欧盟的每个家庭都有一个病例发现者访问过,所有确诊病例都得到了管理。鉴于这是一种相对较新的证据消除方法,各国面临着不同的社会政治挑战,跨国学习和改进指导是支持全球消除的关键。
    BACKGROUND: The World Health Organization recommends house-to-house case searches as an option to evidence whether the elimination of trachomatous trichiasis (TT) has been reached. We sought to determine the number of trachoma-endemic countries and districts that will require either documented full geographic coverage (DFGC) or TT-only surveys.
    METHODS: We conducted a secondary analysis of data from the Trachoma Atlas to identify evaluation units (EUs) that require house-to-house case searches or TT-only surveys to demonstrate achievement of the elimination of TT.
    RESULTS: There were 1710 EUs with TT above the elimination prevalence target in all trachoma-endemic countries. Of those EUs, 852 (49.8%) do not have a future survey planned and will therefore potentially have to evidence through DFGC or TT-only surveys whether the elimination prevalence target for TT has been reached.
    CONCLUSIONS: Of the large number of EUs that require TT-related activities, nearly half of them will need to evidence that every household in the EU has been visited by a case finder and all confirmed cases managed. Given that this is a relatively new way to evidence elimination, and countries face different sociopolitical challenges, cross-country learning and improved guidance is key to support global elimination.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    一半围产期患有抑郁症的女性在常规护理中没有被发现,漏发的病例反映了产妇护理其他领域的不平等。孕妇抑郁症的病例发现(筛查)可能是一种具有成本效益的策略,以提高识别,有针对性的案例查找将有限的资源用于最大的需求。我们比较了三种病例发现策略的成本效益:无病例发现,普遍(所有孕妇),并有针对性(仅具有产前抑郁症危险因素的孕妇,即焦虑/抑郁史,年龄<20岁,和不良生活事件)。开发了决策树模型来表示病例发现(在妊娠约20周)和随后的产前抑郁症治疗(妊娠长达40周)。费用包括病例发现和治疗。健康益处以质量调整生命年(QALY)来衡量。通过对孕妇的队列研究,估计了病例发现工具的敏感性和特异性以及产前抑郁症的患病率和严重程度。其他模型参数来自已发表的文献和专家咨询。最具成本效益的病例发现策略是两阶段策略,包括Whooley问题,然后是PHQ-9。平均费用为52英镑(普遍),£61(无案件发现),和£62(有针对性的病例发现)。与没有病例发现相比,两种病例发现策略都可以改善健康状况。通用案例查找可以节省成本。与有针对性的病例发现相关的成本类似于没有病例发现,随着更大的健康收益,尽管与普遍病例发现相比,有针对性的病例发现不具成本效益。与没有病例发现相比,产前抑郁症的普遍病例发现可以节省成本,并且比目标病例发现更具成本效益。
    Half of women with depression in the perinatal period are not identified in routine care, and missed cases reflect inequalities in other areas of maternity care. Case finding (screening) for depression in pregnant women may be a cost-effective strategy to improve identification, and targeted case finding directs finite resources towards the greatest need. We compared the cost-effectiveness of three case-finding strategies: no case finding, universal (all pregnant women), and targeted (only pregnant women with risk factors for antenatal depression, i.e. history of anxiety/depression, age < 20 years, and adverse life events). A decision tree model was developed to represent case finding (at around 20 weeks gestation) and subsequent treatment for antenatal depression (up to 40 weeks gestation). Costs include case finding and treatment. Health benefits are measured as quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). The sensitivity and specificity of case-finding instruments and prevalence and severity of antenatal depression were estimated from a cohort study of pregnant women. Other model parameters were derived from published literature and expert consultation. The most cost-effective case-finding strategy was a two-stage strategy comprising the Whooley questions followed by the PHQ-9. The mean costs were £52 (universal), £61 (no case finding), and £62 (targeted case finding). Both case-finding strategies improve health compared with no case finding. Universal case finding is cost-saving. Costs associated with targeted case finding are similar to no case finding, with greater health gains, although targeted case finding is not cost-effective compared with universal case finding. Universal case finding for antenatal depression is cost-saving compared to no case finding and more cost-effective than targeted case finding.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    皮肤利什曼病(CL)是一种严重的寄生虫病,主要在不发达国家。作为人畜共患感染,CL的年发病率取决于几个参数,如人口统计学,流行病学,和环境因素以及预防和控制措施。SARS-冠状病毒-2大流行等流行病的突然爆发,可能会影响其他疾病的发病率或报告,尤其是传染病,以各种方式,例如对卫生系统的压力,提供卫生服务及其组成部分,封锁和改变人们的生活习惯。
    本研究旨在评估COVID-19对伊朗伊兰省CL发病率和其他流行病学方面的影响以及控制措施。
    从2014年至2021年在Ilam的CL注册系统中提取了所需的数据,以证明在COVID-19大流行之前和之后CL发病率的趋势。
    根据我们的结果,观察到CL发病率的下降模式,伴随着伊朗和伊拉姆省病毒大流行的到来和加剧。虽然,这种下降模式并非在所有领域都是不可或缺的,甚至在某些地区强调了CL检测的增加。
    可以推断,COVID-19大流行可能会破坏CL病例的治疗方案,啮齿动物的巢破坏,和媒介昆虫战斗。
    UNASSIGNED: Cutaneous leishmaniasis (CL) is a severe parasitic disease affecting people, mostly in underdeveloped nations. As a zoonotic infection yearly incidence of CL depends on several parameters such as demographic, epidemiological, and environmental factors as well as prevention and control measures. The sudden outbreak of pandemics such as SARS-Corona-Virus-2 pandemic, can probably affect the incidence or reporting of other diseases, especially infectious diseases, in various ways such as pressure on health systems, providing sanitary services and its components, lockdowns and changes in people\'s living habits.
    UNASSIGNED: This study aimed to evaluate the COVID-19 impact on the incidence and other epidemiological aspects as well as control measures of CL in Ilam Province-Iran.
    UNASSIGNED: Required data was extracted from the CL registration system in Ilam from 2014 to 2021 to demonstrate the trend of CL incidence before and after COVID-19 pandemic.
    UNASSIGNED: Based on our results, a declining pattern of CL incidence was observed, accompanied by the advent and intensification of the viral pandemic in Iran and Ilam province. Although, this decreasing pattern was not integral in all areas, and even increase in CL detection was emphasized in some regions.
    UNASSIGNED: It may be inferred that the COVID-19 pandemic may disrupt treatment programs of CL cases, rodent nest destruction, and fighting vector insects.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    肺活量测定的使用不足阻碍了初级保健中COPD的诊断。使用经过验证的症状和健康状况问卷进行病例发现,和简单的手持设备在高危人群可以提高诊断。本研究旨在确定在初级保健环境中优化COPD诊断的最佳措施组合。
    我们招募了335名当前或戒烟者,包括那些从一般实践中确诊为COPD的患者。使用手持式肺活量测定装置(COPD-6®)测量参与者的FEV1和FEV6。每个人都完成了COPD评估测试(CAT),改良的医学研究理事会(mMRC)呼吸困难量表,圣乔治呼吸问卷(SGRQ)和吸烟史问卷。根据这些数据,我们计算了肺活量测定确认的COPD诊断的预测有效性。接收器工作特性曲线下面积(AUROC),灵敏度,特异性,阳性和阴性预测值(PPV,分别计算NPV)。Kappa系数用于测量固定比率(FR)和正常下限(LLN)肺活量测定标准在诊断COPD中的一致性。
    单独使用FEV1/FEV6<0.70与COPD诊断显著相关(p<0.0001),预测准确性好(AUROC=0.725)。然而,结合SGRQ后没有发现进一步的改善,CAT和mMRC与FEV1/FEV6。使用COPD-6®手持设备的FEV1/FEV6<0.70具有中等灵敏度(65.7%)和高PPV(90.1%),高特异性(79.3%)和净现值(44.8%)。FR和LLN定义之间有很好的一致性(κ=0.70)。
    手持式微量肺活量计可以帮助吸烟者和参加全科治疗的戒烟者发现COPD的病例。COPD-X指南目前推荐的固定比率标准提供了在澳大利亚初级保健中诊断COPD的最简单方法。
    Diagnosis of COPD in primary care is hindered by underuse of spirometry. Case finding using validated symptom and health status questionnaires, and simple handheld devices in high-risk populations may improve diagnosis. This study aimed to determine the best combination of measures to optimise COPD diagnosis in the primary care setting.
    We recruited 335 current or ex-smokers, including those with an established diagnosis of COPD from general practices. Participants\' FEV1 and FEV6 were measured using a handheld spirometry device (COPD-6®). Each completed the COPD assessment test (CAT), a modified Medical Research Council (mMRC) dyspnoea scale, St George\'s Respiratory Questionnaire (SGRQ) and smoking history questionnaire. From these data we calculated the predictive validity for spirometry-confirmed diagnosis of COPD. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values (PPV, NPV) were calculated for each. Kappa coefficient was used to measure the agreement between the Fixed-Ratio (FR) and Lower Limit of Normal (LLN) spirometric criteria in diagnosing COPD.
    FEV1/FEV6 <0.70 alone showed significant association (p<0.0001) with COPD diagnosis and good predictive accuracy (AUROC=0.725). However, no further improvement was found after combining SGRQ, CAT and mMRC with FEV1/FEV6. FEV1/FEV6 <0.70 using the COPD-6® handheld device had moderate sensitivity (65.7%) and high PPV (90.1%), high specificity (79.3%) and NPV (44.8%). There was good agreement between FR and LLN definitions (κ=0.70).
    Handheld micro-spirometers can facilitate case finding of COPD in smokers and ex-smokers attending general practice. The fixed ratio criterion currently recommended by COPD-X guidelines offers the simplest method for diagnosing COPD in Australian primary care.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    公私混合(PPM)方法是一项战略举措,涉及所有私营和公共医疗保健提供者使用国际医疗保健标准与结核病作斗争。为了控制尼泊尔的结核病,PPM方法可能是一个里程碑。本研究旨在探讨尼泊尔结核病病例管理中公私混合方法的障碍。
    我们对20名参与者进行了重要的线人访谈,其中14人来自私人诊所,多诊所,以及使用PPM方法的医院,两个来自政府医院,四个来自政策制定者。所有数据都是录音的,转录,翻译成英文.采访的笔录是手工整理的,和主题产生并分类为1。TB病例检测,2.与患者相关的障碍,and3.与卫生系统相关的障碍。
    共有20名受访者参与了这项研究。PPM的障碍被确定为以下三个主题:(1)与结核病例检测相关的障碍,(2)与患者有关的障碍,(3)与卫生保健系统有关的障碍。PPM的实施受到以下子主题的挑战,包括工作人员更替,私营部门参与讲习班的比例低,缺乏培训,糟糕的记录和报告,联合监测和监督不足,经济利益差,缺乏协调和协作,以及非支持性结核病相关政策和战略。
    政府利益相关者可以通过在监测和监督中与私人合作发挥积极作用而受益匪浅。然后,与私营部门的共同努力可以使所有利益相关者遵循政府政策,案例发现中的实践和协议,持有和其他预防措施。未来的研究对于探索如何优化PPM至关重要。
    The Public-Private Mix (PPM) approach is a strategic initiative that involves engaging all private and public health care providers in the fight against tuberculosis using international health care standards. For tuberculosis control in Nepal, the PPM approach could be a milestone. This study aimed to explore the barriers to a public-private mix approach in the management of tuberculosis cases in Nepal.
    We conducted key informant interviews with 20 participants, 14 of whom were from private clinics, polyclinics, and hospitals where the PPM approach was used, two from government hospitals, and four from policymakers. All data were audio-recorded, transcribed, and translated into English. The transcripts of the interviews were manually organized, and themes were generated and categorized into 1. TB case detection, 2. patient-related barriers, and 3. health-system-related barriers.
    A total of 20 respondents participated in the study. Barriers to PPM were identified into following three themes: (1) Obstacles related to TB case detection, (2) Obstacles related to patients, and (3) Obstacles related to health-care system. PPM implementation was challenged by following sub-themes that included staff turnover, low private sector participation in workshops, a lack of trainings, poor recording and reporting, insufficient joint monitoring and supervision, poor financial benefit, lack of coordination and collaboration, and non-supportive TB-related policies and strategies.
    Government stakeholders can significantly benefit by applying a proactive role working with the private in monitoring and supervision. The joint efforts with private sector can then enable all stakeholders to follow the government policy, practice and protocols in case finding, holding and other preventive approaches. Future research are essential in exploring how PPM could be optimized.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目标:指南推荐对10岁以上超重/肥胖的成年人或青少年的血糖异常(前驱糖尿病和2型糖尿病[T2D])进行病例发现,但在某些西班牙裔人群中,肥胖增加与血糖异常无关.这项研究旨在使用与BMI和年龄无关的简化标准来确定该人群中血糖异常的患病率,以要求进行口服葡萄糖耐量测试(OGTT)。
    方法:对智利一家临床中心(2000-2007)的病历进行横断面回顾性分析。OGTT来自任何具有一个心脏代谢危险因素(CMRF)的患者,与年龄和BMI无关。
    结果:总计,包括4,969名成年人(平均年龄±SD)45.7±15.9岁和509名年轻人16.6±3.0岁。患病率(%,95CI)的糖尿病前期是青少年T2D的两倍(14.1%,1.4-17.4vs.6.3%,4.5-8.7),并在成年人中增加了两倍(36.0%,34.7-37.4vs.10.7%,9.8-11.5)。在体重不足和体重正常的成年人中,22%(12.0-36.7)和29.2%(26.4-32.1)患有糖尿病前期,4.9%(1.3-16.1)和8.8%(7.2-10.7)患有T2D,分别。在体重正常的年轻人中,10.5%(6.7-15.9)和2.9%(1.2-6.6)患有糖尿病前期和T2D,分别。在成年人中,但不是在年轻人,大多数血糖异常类别与超重/肥胖有关.
    结论:这项研究支持一项公共卫生政策,通过在至少有一个CMRF的6岁以上体重正常的患者中使用OGTT实施经修订的血糖异常病例发现方案,来识别更多的心血管疾病风险人群。有必要对其他人群中心脏代谢风险的病例发现方案进行重新分析。
    OBJECTIVE: Guidelines recommend case finding for dysglycemia (prediabetes and type 2 diabetes [T2D]) in adults or youth older than 10 years with overweight/obesity, but increased adiposity has not been associated with dysglycemia in some Hispanic populations. This study aims to determine the prevalence of dysglycemia in this population using simplified criteria independent of body mass index and age to request an oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT).
    METHODS: Cross-sectional retrospective analysis of medical records from a clinical center in Chile (2000-2007). OGTT was obtained from any patient with 1 cardiometabolic risk factor (CMRF) independent of age and body mass index.
    RESULTS: In total, 4969 adults (mean age ± SD) 45.7 ± 15.9 years and 509 youths 16.6 ± 3.0 years were included. The prevalence (%, 95% CI) of prediabetes doubled that of T2D in youths (14.1%, 1.4-17.4 vs 6.3%, 4.5-8.7) and tripled it in adults (36.0%, 34.7-37.4 vs 10.7%, 9.8-11.5). In underweight and normal-weight adults, 22% (12.0-36.7) and 29.2% (26.4-32.1) had prediabetes, whereas 4.9% (1.3-16.1) and 8.8% (7.2-10.7) had T2D, respectively. In normal weight youths, 10.5% (6.7-15.9) and 2.9% (1.2-6.6) had prediabetes and T2D, respectively. In adults, but not in youths, most dysglycemia categories were related to overweight/obesity.
    CONCLUSIONS: This study supports a public health policy to identify more people at risk for cardiovascular disease by implementing a revised case finding protocol for dysglycemia using OGTT in even normal weight patients over 6 years of age when there is at least 1 CMRF. Reanalysis of case finding protocols for cardiometabolic risk in other populations is warranted.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:了解非药物干预措施控制COVID-19大流行和减少疾病负担的总体有效性对于未来的大流行规划至关重要。然而,量化具体控制措施的有效性和错过感染的程度,在缺乏早期大规模血清学调查或随机社区检测的情况下,仍然具有挑战性。
    方法:将新加坡已知和未知感染源的本地COVID-19病例的数据与分支过程模型相结合,我们重建了野生型SARS-CoV-2和Delta变异体传播早期漏诊感染的发生率.然后我们估计了边境管制措施的相对有效性,当人群中没有疫苗覆盖率或疫苗覆盖率较低时,进行病例发现和接触者追踪。我们比较了通知病例和所有感染中野生型SARS-CoV-2和Delta变体之间ICU入院和死亡的风险。
    结果:我们估计严格的边境控制措施与0.2(95%可信间隔,CrI0.04-0.8)在2020年7月至12月期间,每个通报病例错过了进口感染,而在大流行的早期阶段,每个通报病例约有1例错过了进口感染。据估计,在2020年4月部分封锁之前,接触者追踪确定了78%(95%CrI62-93%)的二次感染,但在封锁期间下降到63%(95%CrI56-71%),在2020年7月重新开放期间反弹到78%(95%CrI58-94%)。接触者追踪对整体疫情控制的贡献还取决于发现感染源未知病例的能力:42%(95%CrI12-84%)的此类病例是在封锁之前发现的;锁定期间为10%(95%CrI7-15%);重新开放期间为47%(95%CrI17-85%),由于测试能力和寻求健康的行为增加。我们估计,在2020年期间未检测到约63%(95%CrI49-78%)的野生型SARS-CoV-2感染,在2021年未检测到约70%(95%CrI49-91%)的Delta变体。
    结论:将模型与病例关联数据相结合,可以评估疫情控制措施的不同组成部分的有效性,并在错过某些情况时提供更可靠的态势感知。使用这种方法尽早确定遏制工作中最薄弱的环节,可以帮助决策者更好地重新调整有限的资源,以加强疫情控制。
    Understanding the overall effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions to control the COVID-19 pandemic and reduce the burden of disease is crucial for future pandemic planning. However, quantifying the effectiveness of specific control measures and the extent of missed infections, in the absence of early large-scale serological surveys or random community testing, has remained challenging.
    Combining data on notified local COVID-19 cases with known and unknown sources of infections in Singapore with a branching process model, we reconstructed the incidence of missed infections during the early phase of the wild-type SARS-CoV-2 and Delta variant transmission. We then estimated the relative effectiveness of border control measures, case finding and contact tracing when there was no or low vaccine coverage in the population. We compared the risk of ICU admission and death between the wild-type SARS-CoV-2 and the Delta variant in notified cases and all infections.
    We estimated strict border control measures were associated with 0.2 (95% credible intervals, CrI 0.04-0.8) missed imported infections per notified case between July and December 2020, a decline from around 1 missed imported infection per notified case in the early phases of the pandemic. Contact tracing was estimated to identify 78% (95% CrI 62-93%) of the secondary infections generated by notified cases before the partial lockdown in Apr 2020, but this declined to 63% (95% CrI 56-71%) during the lockdown and rebounded to 78% (95% CrI 58-94%) during reopening in Jul 2020. The contribution of contact tracing towards overall outbreak control also hinges on ability to find cases with unknown sources of infection: 42% (95% CrI 12-84%) of such cases were found prior to the lockdown; 10% (95% CrI 7-15%) during the lockdown; 47% (95% CrI 17-85%) during reopening, due to increased testing capacity and health-seeking behaviour. We estimated around 63% (95% CrI 49-78%) of the wild-type SARS-CoV-2 infections were undetected during 2020 and around 70% (95% CrI 49-91%) for the Delta variant in 2021.
    Combining models with case linkage data enables evaluation of the effectiveness of different components of outbreak control measures, and provides more reliable situational awareness when some cases are missed. Using such approaches for early identification of the weakest link in containment efforts could help policy makers to better redirect limited resources to strengthen outbreak control.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:未诊断的结核病(TB)病例是尼日利亚结核病控制的主要挑战。早期预警爆发识别系统(EWORS)是主要用于检测传染病爆发的系统;该系统可以用作基于案例的地理空间工具,用于实时识别具有结核病患者集群的热点区域。针对此类热点的TB筛查应比针对非热点的筛查产生更多的TB病例。
    目的:我们的目的是证明EWORS作为检测尼日利亚高结核病负担州中结核病病例产量增加区域的工具的结核病热点图谱的有效性。
    方法:尼日利亚KNCV结核病基金会向尼日利亚14个高负担州部署了EWORS。该系统使用先进的监测机制来识别结核病患者的集群,使其能够预测疾病传播增加的地区(即,热点)在病房级别。在同一社区中选择的121个热点病房和213个非热点病房,使用世界卫生组织4症状筛查方法进行了结核病筛查外展。使用GeneXpert仪器或胸部X射线对确定的推定病例进行TB评估。来自这两个地区的确诊结核病病例与治疗有关。本研究对热点和非热点病房的数据进行了回顾性分析。
    结果:在16个月的干预期间,共有1,962,042人(n=734,384,男性37.4%,n=1,227,658,62.6%女性)和2,025,286人(n=701,103,34.6%男性,n=1,324,183,女性占65.4%)参加热点地区和非热点地区的社区结核病筛查外展,分别。所有筛查患者中的推定病例为268,264例(N=3,987,328,6.7%),确诊的TB病例为22,618例(N=222,270,10.1%)。在热点地区和非热点地区诊断结核病病例所需的筛查人数分别为每万人146人和193人,分别。
    结论:在尼日利亚14个高负担州中,在EWORS映射的热点地区发现的活动性结核病病例比非热点地区产生的结核病病例更高。随着EWORS的应用,在推定病例中诊断结核病的准确率从0.077上升至0.103,诊断结核病病例所需的推定病例数从14.047下降至10.255/10,000人.
    Undiagnosed tuberculosis (TB) cases are the major challenge to TB control in Nigeria. An early warning outbreak recognition system (EWORS) is a system that is primarily used to detect infectious disease outbreaks; this system can be used as a case-based geospatial tool for the real-time identification of hot spot areas with clusters of TB patients. TB screening targeted at such hot spots should yield more TB cases than screening targeted at non-hot spots.
    We aimed to demonstrate the effectiveness of an EWORS for TB hot spot mapping as a tool for detecting areas with increased TB case yields in high TB-burden states of Nigeria.
    KNCV Tuberculosis Foundation Nigeria deployed an EWORS to 14 high-burden states in Nigeria. The system used an advanced surveillance mechanism to identify TB patients\' residences in clusters, enabling it to predict areas with elevated disease spread (ie, hot spots) at the ward level. TB screening outreach using the World Health Organization 4-symptom screening method was conducted in 121 hot spot wards and 213 non-hot spot wards selected from the same communities. Presumptive cases identified were evaluated for TB using the GeneXpert instrument or chest X-ray. Confirmed TB cases from both areas were linked to treatment. Data from the hot spot and non-hot spot wards were analyzed retrospectively for this study.
    During the 16-month intervention, a total of 1,962,042 persons (n=734,384, 37.4% male, n=1,227,658, 62.6% female) and 2,025,286 persons (n=701,103, 34.6% male, n=1,324,183, 65.4% female) participated in the community TB screening outreaches in the hot spot and non-hot spot areas, respectively. Presumptive cases among all patients screened were 268,264 (N=3,987,328, 6.7%) and confirmed TB cases were 22,618 (N=222,270, 10.1%). The number needed to screen to diagnose a TB case in the hot spot and non-hot spot areas was 146 and 193 per 10,000 people, respectively.
    Active TB case finding in EWORS-mapped hot spot areas yielded higher TB cases than the non-hot spot areas in the 14 high-burden states of Nigeria. With the application of EWORS, the precision of diagnosing TB among presumptive cases increased from 0.077 to 0.103, and the number of presumptive cases needed to diagnose a TB case decreased from 14.047 to 10.255 per 10,000 people.
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