Africa

Africa
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    BACKGROUND: Climate change increasingly impacts health, particularly of rural populations in sub-Saharan Africa due to their limited resources for adaptation. Understanding these impacts remains a challenge, as continuous monitoring of vital signs in such populations is limited. Wearable devices (wearables) present a viable approach to studying these impacts on human health in real time.
    OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to assess the feasibility and effectiveness of consumer-grade wearables in measuring the health impacts of weather exposure on physiological responses (including activity, heart rate, body shell temperature, and sleep) of rural populations in western Kenya and to identify the health impacts associated with the weather exposures.
    METHODS: We conducted an observational case study in western Kenya by utilizing wearables over a 3-week period to continuously monitor various health metrics such as step count, sleep patterns, heart rate, and body shell temperature. Additionally, a local weather station provided detailed data on environmental conditions such as rainfall and heat, with measurements taken every 15 minutes.
    RESULTS: Our cohort comprised 83 participants (42 women and 41 men), with an average age of 33 years. We observed a positive correlation between step count and maximum wet bulb globe temperature (estimate 0.06, SE 0.02; P=.008). Although there was a negative correlation between minimum nighttime temperatures and heat index with sleep duration, these were not statistically significant. No significant correlations were found in other applied models. A cautionary heat index level was recorded on 194 (95.1%) of 204 days. Heavy rainfall (>20 mm/day) occurred on 16 (7.8%) out of 204 days. Despite 10 (21%) out of 47 devices failing, data completeness was high for sleep and step count (mean 82.6%, SD 21.3% and mean 86.1%, SD 18.9%, respectively), but low for heart rate (mean 7%, SD 14%), with adult women showing significantly higher data completeness for heart rate than men (2-sided t test: P=.003; Mann-Whitney U test: P=.001). Body shell temperature data achieved 36.2% (SD 24.5%) completeness.
    CONCLUSIONS: Our study provides a nuanced understanding of the health impacts of weather exposures in rural Kenya. Our study\'s application of wearables reveals a significant correlation between physical activity levels and high temperature stress, contrasting with other studies suggesting decreased activity in hotter conditions. This discrepancy invites further investigation into the unique socioenvironmental dynamics at play, particularly in sub-Saharan African contexts. Moreover, the nonsignificant trends observed in sleep disruption due to heat expose the need for localized climate change mitigation strategies, considering the vital role of sleep in health. These findings emphasize the need for context-specific research to inform policy and practice in regions susceptible to the adverse health effects of climate change.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:慢性肺病是感染艾滋病毒的非洲儿童发病的主要原因;然而,HIV相关慢性肺病(HCLD)的微生物决定因素仍然知之甚少.我们进行了一项病例对照研究,以调查在抗逆转录病毒治疗(ART)上建立的肺炎球菌结合疫苗(PCV)初治儿童(HCLD)和无HCLD(HCLD-)的呼吸道微生物的患病率和密度。
    方法:从HCLD收集的鼻咽拭子(定义为支气管扩张后无可逆性的用力呼气量/秒<-1.0)和年龄-,Site-,在津巴布韦和马拉维(BREATHE试验-NCT02426112)招募的年龄在6-19岁之间的参与者进行了94种肺炎球菌血清型和12种细菌的检测,包括肺炎链球菌(SP),金黄色葡萄球菌(SA),流感嗜血杆菌(HI),卡他莫拉氏菌(MC),和八种病毒,包括人鼻病毒(HRV),呼吸道合胞病毒A或B,和人类偏肺病毒,使用纳米流体qPCR(以前称为Fluidigm的标准BioTools)。Fisher精确检验和logistic回归分析用于组间比较和与常见呼吸道微生物相关的危险因素。分别。
    结果:共有345名参与者(287HCLD+,58HCLD-;中位年龄,15.5年[IQR=12.8-18],女性,52%)包括在最终分析中。SP的患病率(40%[116/287]与21%[12/58],p=0.005)和HRV(7%[21/287]与0%[0/58],p=0.032)与HCLD-参与者相比,HCLD+参与者更高。在SP呈阳性的参与者中(116HCLD+和12HCLD-),66%[85/128]检测到非PCV-13血清型。总的来说,PCV-13血清型(4,19A,19F:各16%[7/43])和NVT13和21(各9%[8/85])占主导地位。HI的密度(2×104基因组当量[GE/ml]与3×102GE/ml,p=0.006)和MC(1×104GE/mlvs.1×103GE/ml,p=0.031)在HCLD+中高于HCLD-。HCLD+组的细菌共检测(≥2种细菌)较高(36%[114/287]vs.(19%[11/58]),(p=0.014),SP和HI共检测(HCLD+:30%[86/287]与HCLD-:12%[7/58],p=0.005)占优势。仅在HCLD+参与者中检测到病毒(主要是HRV)。最后,既往有结核病治疗史的参与者更有可能携带SP(校正比值比(AOR):1.9[1.1-3.2],p=0.021)或HI(AOR:2.0[1.2-3.3],p=0.011),而那些使用ART≥2年的人不太可能携带HI(aOR:0.3[0.1-0.8],p=0.005)和MC(aOR:0.4[0.1-0.9],p=0.039)。
    结论:HCLD+患儿更容易被SP和HRV定植,鼻咽部HI和MC细菌负荷较高。SP的作用,HI,和HRV在CLD发病机制中,包括它们如何影响急性加重的风险,应该进一步研究。
    背景:BREATHE试验(ClinicalTrials.gov标识符:NCT02426112,注册日期:2015年4月24日)。
    BACKGROUND: Chronic lung disease is a major cause of morbidity in African children with HIV infection; however, the microbial determinants of HIV-associated chronic lung disease (HCLD) remain poorly understood. We conducted a case-control study to investigate the prevalence and densities of respiratory microbes among pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV)-naive children with (HCLD +) and without HCLD (HCLD-) established on antiretroviral treatment (ART).
    METHODS: Nasopharyngeal swabs collected from HCLD + (defined as forced-expiratory-volume/second < -1.0 without reversibility postbronchodilation) and age-, site-, and duration-of-ART-matched HCLD- participants aged between 6-19 years enrolled in Zimbabwe and Malawi (BREATHE trial-NCT02426112) were tested for 94 pneumococcal serotypes together with twelve bacteria, including Streptococcus pneumoniae (SP), Staphylococcus aureus (SA), Haemophilus influenzae (HI), Moraxella catarrhalis (MC), and eight viruses, including human rhinovirus (HRV), respiratory syncytial virus A or B, and human metapneumovirus, using nanofluidic qPCR (Standard BioTools formerly known as Fluidigm). Fisher\'s exact test and logistic regression analysis were used for between-group comparisons and risk factors associated with common respiratory microbes, respectively.
    RESULTS: A total of 345 participants (287 HCLD + , 58 HCLD-; median age, 15.5 years [IQR = 12.8-18], females, 52%) were included in the final analysis. The prevalence of SP (40%[116/287] vs. 21%[12/58], p = 0.005) and HRV (7%[21/287] vs. 0%[0/58], p = 0.032) were higher in HCLD + participants compared to HCLD- participants. Of the participants positive for SP (116 HCLD + & 12 HCLD-), 66% [85/128] had non-PCV-13 serotypes detected. Overall, PCV-13 serotypes (4, 19A, 19F: 16% [7/43] each) and NVT 13 and 21 (9% [8/85] each) predominated. The densities of HI (2 × 104 genomic equivalents [GE/ml] vs. 3 × 102 GE/ml, p = 0.006) and MC (1 × 104 GE/ml vs. 1 × 103 GE/ml, p = 0.031) were higher in HCLD + compared to HCLD-. Bacterial codetection (≥ any 2 bacteria) was higher in the HCLD + group (36% [114/287] vs. (19% [11/58]), (p = 0.014), with SP and HI codetection (HCLD + : 30% [86/287] vs. HCLD-: 12% [7/58], p = 0.005) predominating. Viruses (predominantly HRV) were detected only in HCLD + participants. Lastly, participants with a history of previous tuberculosis treatment were more likely to carry SP (adjusted odds ratio (aOR): 1.9 [1.1 -3.2], p = 0.021) or HI (aOR: 2.0 [1.2 - 3.3], p = 0.011), while those who used ART for ≥ 2 years were less likely to carry HI (aOR: 0.3 [0.1 - 0.8], p = 0.005) and MC (aOR: 0.4 [0.1 - 0.9], p = 0.039).
    CONCLUSIONS: Children with HCLD + were more likely to be colonized by SP and HRV and had higher HI and MC bacterial loads in their nasopharynx. The role of SP, HI, and HRV in the pathogenesis of CLD, including how they influence the risk of acute exacerbations, should be studied further.
    BACKGROUND: The BREATHE trial (ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT02426112 , registered date: 24 April 2015).
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在过去的两年里,非洲国家的公共卫生从业人员积极抗击2019年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行,致死率相对较低.这场大流行迫使医疗保健专业人员重新思考和重新设计自己国家的医疗保健系统。
    使用以非洲为中心的PEN-3框架和字母样式,这篇评论的目的是描述积极的,存在主义,以及与非洲医疗保健系统相关的负面社会文化价值观。该评论还强调了影响公众对非洲医疗保健系统及其卫生机构信任的社会文化因素,以及如何系统地将其非殖民化可能会减少对外国的依赖并增强有效的本地解决方案。
    我们,作为非洲公共卫生从业人员,在这篇评论中提出三个关键点。首先,非洲公共卫生从业人员在资源不足的医疗保健系统中发展了韧性。其次,非洲社会的口头传统及其副产品(社交媒体)是人们联系和分享他们对任何主题的了解的手段(新冠肺炎)。第三,非洲领导人尤其对他们国家的医疗保健系统高度不信任做出了贡献,而支持工业化国家的医疗保健系统。
    本评论的结论是对鼓励非洲公共卫生从业人员培养韧性的影响,在这场COVID-19大流行期间,这种韧性有助于数百万非洲人的健康。
    UNASSIGNED: Over the past two years, public health practitioners in African countries have worked actively to combat the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic with relatively low fatality rates. This pandemic has forced healthcare professionals to re-think and redesign the healthcare system within their own country.
    UNASSIGNED: Using the Afrocentric PEN-3 framework and a letter style, the purpose of this commentary was to describe the positive, existential, and negative socio-cultural values associated with African healthcare systems. The commentary also highlights socio-cultural factors affecting public trust in African healthcare systems and their health agencies and how systematically decolonizing them may decrease foreign reliance and empower efficient locally based solutions.
    UNASSIGNED: We, as African public health practitioners, make three key points in this commentary. First, African public health practitioners have developed resilience within under-resourced healthcare systems. Secondly, oral tradition in African societies and its byproduct (social media) is the means through which people connect and share what they know about any topics (COVID-19). Thirdly, African leaders have particularly contributed to the high level of distrust in their countries\' healthcare systems in favor of the healthcare systems of industrialized countries.
    UNASSIGNED: This commentary concludes with implications for encouraging African public health practitioners to cultivate the resilience that has led to contributing to the wellness of millions of Africans during this COVID-19 pandemic.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:确定卢萨卡地区HIV是否改变了高血糖与活动性结核病之间的关系,赞比亚。
    方法:在卢萨卡三个地区的新诊断成人结核病病例和人群对照中进行病例对照研究。高血糖症通过招募时测量的随机血糖(RBG)浓度来确定;活动性结核病通过临床诊断,和血清学结果的艾滋病毒状况。多变量逻辑回归用于探索HIV的主要关联和效应修饰。
    结果:3843例肺结核患者中RBG浓度≥11.1mmol/L的患病率为1.4%,6977例对照组为1.5%。总的来说,与RBG浓度≥11.1-<11.1mmol/L相比,活动性结核病的校正比值比为1.60(95%CI0.91-2.82)。患有和未患有HIV的患者中相应的调整后比值比分别为5.47(95%CI1.29-23.21)和1.17(95%CI0.61-2.27);HIV效果修饰的p值=0.042。关于子群分析,与RBG浓度≥11.1-<11.1mmol/L相比,涂片/Xpert阳性结核的校正比值比为2.97(95%CI1.49-5.90)。
    结论:总体而言,未发现高血糖与活动性肺结核之间有关联的证据,尽管在HIV和/或涂片/Xpert阳性结核病患者中,有相关证据.区分糖尿病引起的高血糖症和结核病感染继发的应激诱发的高血糖症对于更好地理解这些发现很重要。
    OBJECTIVE: To determine if HIV modifies the association between hyperglycaemia and active tuberculosis in Lusaka, Zambia.
    METHODS: A case-control study among newly-diagnosed adult tuberculosis cases and population controls in three areas of Lusaka. Hyperglycaemia is determined by random blood glucose (RBG) concentration measured at the time of recruitment; active tuberculosis disease by clinical diagnosis, and HIV status by serological result. Multivariable logistic regression is used to explore the primary association and effect modification by HIV.
    RESULTS: The prevalence of RBG concentration ≥ 11.1 mmol/L among 3843 tuberculosis cases was 1.4% and among 6977 controls was 1.5%. Overall, the adjusted odds ratio of active tuberculosis was 1.60 (95% CI 0.91-2.82) comparing those with RBG concentration ≥ 11.1- < 11.1 mmol/L. The corresponding adjusted odds ratio among those with and without HIV was 5.47 (95% CI 1.29-23.21) and 1.17 (95% CI 0.61-2.27) respectively; p-value for effect modification by HIV = 0.042. On subgroup analysis, the adjusted odds ratio of smear/Xpert-positive tuberculosis was 2.97 (95% CI 1.49-5.90) comparing RBG concentration ≥ 11.1- < 11.1 mmol/L.
    CONCLUSIONS: Overall, no evidence of association between hyperglycaemia and active tuberculosis was found, though among those with HIV and/or smear/Xpert-positive tuberculosis there was evidence of association. Differentiation of hyperglycaemia caused by diabetes mellitus and stress-induced hyperglycaemia secondary to tuberculosis infection is important for a better understanding of these findings.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    尽管基因组规模的数据生成对于系统发育变得越来越容易处理,公共存储库中有大量的单基因片段数据,这些数据仍在生成中。因此,与使用完整的有丝分裂基因组相比,我们研究了单个线粒体基因是否适合用于系统发育重建。对南部非洲矮人变色龙(Bradypodion)进行了几乎完整的分类单元采样,我们估计并比较了完整的有丝分裂基因组的系统发育和由单个线粒体基因和这些基因的各种组合产生的拓扑结构。我们的结果表明,由单基因(ND2,ND4,ND5,COI,和COIII)类似于完整的有丝分裂体,表明这些基因可能是产生线粒体系统发育的可靠标记,而不是产生完整的有丝分裂基因组。相比之下,通常用于爬行动物系统学的16S的短片段,产生了与完整的有丝分裂体非常不同的拓扑结构,其与ND2的串联削弱了ND2的分辨率。因此,我们建议在未来的系统发育工作中避免使用此16S片段。
    Although genome-scale data generation is becoming more tractable for phylogenetics, there are large quantities of single gene fragment data in public repositories and such data are still being generated. We therefore investigated whether single mitochondrial genes are suitable proxies for phylogenetic reconstruction as compared to the application of full mitogenomes. With near complete taxon sampling for the southern African dwarf chameleons (Bradypodion), we estimated and compared phylogenies for the complete mitogenome with topologies generated from individual mitochondrial genes and various combinations of these genes. Our results show that the topologies produced by single genes (ND2, ND4, ND5, COI, and COIII) were analogous to the complete mitogenome, suggesting that these genes may be reliable markers for generating mitochondrial phylogenies in lieu of generating entire mitogenomes. In contrast, the short fragment of 16S commonly used in herpetological systematics, produced a topology quite dissimilar to the complete mitogenome and its concatenation with ND2 weakened the resolution of ND2. We therefore recommend the avoidance of this 16S fragment in future phylogenetic work.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    由于长期的殖民历史和随后的发展和经济挑战,许多非洲国家一直在努力制定适当的政策,系统,和相关的基础设施,以满足其公民的健康和社会需求。随着COVID-19大流行威胁着人类的生命和生计,人们对非洲国家应对此类健康灾难的卫生政策和系统的准备和准备情况表示关注。更具体地说,可以询问有关心理健康政策和相关系统的准备甚至存在的问题,以帮助非洲的个人和社区应对COVID-19和其他突发卫生事件的后果。在这篇文章中,我们分析了四个非洲国家的现有精神卫生政策,关注这些立法规定使心理学专业人员能够应对COVID-19带来的心理社会问题的能力。我们使用Walt和Gilson的政策三角框架来构建我们对现有心理健康政策的分析。根据这个概念框架,我们回顾了不同因素在塑造和影响这些心理健康政策中所起的作用.我们进一步探讨与现有立法和精神卫生政策相关的挑战和机遇。我们还反思了从四个国家中的每个国家获得的有关心理学家在处理相关的心理社会问题方面所扮演的角色的报告。根据我们的政策分析和国家报告,我们强调了这些政策的优势和差距,并就如何加强这些国家的精神卫生政策以应对COVID-19和未来的突发卫生事件提出了建议。
    As a result of a long colonial history and subsequent developmental and economic challenges, many African countries have struggled to put in place adequate policies, systems, and associated infrastructures to address the health and social needs of their citizens. With the COVID-19 pandemic threatening human lives and livelihoods, concerns are raised about the preparedness and readiness of health policies and systems in African countries to deal with these kinds of health calamities. More particularly, questions can be asked about the preparedness or even existence of mental health policies and associated systems to help individuals and communities in Africa to deal with the consequences of COVID-19 and other health emergencies. In this article, we analyse the existing mental health policies of four African countries paying attention to the capacity of these legislative provisions to enable psychology professionals to deal with psychosocial problems brought about by COVID-19. We use Walt and Gilson\'s Policy Triangle Framework to frame our analysis of the existing mental health policies. In line with this conceptual framework, we review the role played by the different factors in shaping and influencing these mental health policies. We further explore the challenges and opportunities associated with existing legislation and mental health policies. We also reflect on the reports obtained from each of the four countries about the role that psychologists are playing to deal with the associated psychosocial problems. Based on our policy analysis and country reports, we highlight strengths and gaps in these policies and give recommendations on how mental health policies in these countries can be strengthened to respond to COVID-19 and future health emergencies.
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    文章类型: Case Reports
    结论:世界范围内已报道了人类囊虫病的孤立发生率,但它仍然是墨西哥等流行地区的主要公共卫生问题,非洲,东南亚,东欧,和南美洲。囊虫病最常见于骨骼肌,皮下组织,大脑,和眼睛。乳房是囊虫病的罕见表现部位。由于其罕见的发生,乳腺囊虫病最初通常被误认为是其他常见的乳腺病变,如囊肿,脓肿,恶性肿瘤和纤维腺瘤。我们报告了一名南非年轻妇女的乳腺囊虫病。
    CONCLUSIONS: Isolated incidences of human cysticercosis have been reported world-wide, but it remains a major public health concern in endemic areas such as Mexico, Africa, South-East Asia, Eastern Europe, and South America. Cysticercosis most commonly involves the skeletal muscle, subcutaneous tissue, brain, and eyes. The breast is an uncommon site of presentation for cysticercosis. Due to its rare occurrence, breast cysticercosis is often initially mistaken for other common breast lesions such as cysts, abscess, malignant tumours and fibroadenomas. We report a case of breast cysticercosis in a young South African woman.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:在卒中发生的血管危险因素中,高血压是最重要的。认识上的巨大差距,检测,治疗,高血压的控制率助长了撒哈拉以南非洲中风的流行。
    目的:为了量化未治疗的贡献,治疗但不受控制,并控制了加纳和尼日利亚的高血压对中风的发生。
    方法:中风调查研究和教育网络(SIREN)是一项在加纳和尼日利亚的16个研究地点进行的病例对照研究。病例为急性卒中(n=3684),年龄和性别匹配的无卒中对照(n=3684)。我们评估了未经治疗的高血压的关联,治疗但不受控制的高血压,血压控制在<140/90mmHg,有卒中发生的风险。我们评估了与卒中发生相关的高血压治疗控制状态的校正比值比和人群归因风险。
    结果:没有高血压的频率,未经治疗的高血压,中风病例中治疗但未控制的高血压和控制的高血压为4.0%,47.7%,37.1%,9.2%和40.7%,34.9%,15.9%,在无中风对照组中,分别为7.7%,p<0.0001。未经治疗的高血压的aOR和PAR(95%CI)为6.58(5.15-8.41)和35.4%(33.4-37.4);治疗但未控制的高血压为9.95(7.60-13.02)和35.9%(34.2-37.5);控制的高血压分别为5.37(3.90-7.41)和8.5%(7.6-9.5)。未经治疗的高血压对脑内出血的发生贡献了47.5%的PAR,对缺血性中风的发生贡献为29.5%。未经治疗的高血压对中风发生的aOR在<50年内为13.31(7.64-23.19);在50-64年内为7.14(4.51-11.31);在65年或更长时间为3.48(2.28-5.30)。
    结论:未经治疗的高血压和经治疗但不受控制的高血压对非洲土著人群中风发生的贡献是巨大的。实施有针对性的干预措施,解决高血压预防和治疗方面的差距,涉及当地居民,医疗保健提供者,和政策制定者,可以大大减轻非洲不断升级的中风负担。
    BACKGROUND: Hypertension is preeminent among the vascular risk factors for stroke occurrence. The wide gaps in awareness, detection, treatment, and control rates of hypertension are fueling an epidemic of stroke in sub-Saharan Africa.
    OBJECTIVE: To quantify the contribution of untreated, treated but uncontrolled, and controlled hypertension to stroke occurrence in Ghana and Nigeria.
    METHODS: The Stroke Investigative Research and Educational Network (SIREN) is a case-control study across 16 study sites in Ghana and Nigeria. Cases were acute stroke (n = 3684) with age- and sex-matched stroke-free controls (n = 3684). We evaluated the associations of untreated hypertension, treated but uncontrolled hypertension, and controlled hypertension at BP of <140/90 mmHg with risk of stroke occurrence. We assessed the adjusted odds ratio and population-attributable risk of hypertension treatment control status associated with stroke occurrence.
    RESULTS: The frequencies of no hypertension, untreated hypertension, treated but uncontrolled hypertension and controlled hypertension among stroke cases were 4.0%, 47.7%, 37.1%, and 9.2% vs 40.7%, 34.9%, 15.9%, and 7.7% respectively among stroke-free controls, p < 0.0001. The aOR and PAR (95% CI) for untreated hypertension were 6.58 (5.15-8.41) and 35.4% (33.4-37.4); treated but uncontrolled hypertension was 9.95 (7.60-13.02) and 35.9% (34.2-37.5); and controlled hypertension 5.37 (3.90-7.41) and 8.5% (7.6-9.5) respectively. Untreated hypertension contributed a PAR of 47.5% to the occurrence of intracerebral hemorrhage vs 29.5% for ischemic stroke. The aOR of untreated hypertension for stroke occurrence was 13.31 (7.64-23.19) for <50 years; 7.14 (4.51-11.31) for 50-64 years; and 3.48 (2.28-5.30) for 65 years or more.
    CONCLUSIONS: The contribution of untreated hypertension and treated but uncontrolled hypertension to stroke occurrence among indigenous Africans is substantial. Implementing targeted interventions that address gaps in hypertension prevention and treatment, involving the local population, healthcare providers, and policymakers, can potentially substantially reduce the escalating burden of strokes in Africa.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    COVID-19大流行导致非洲未免疫和免疫不足的儿童人数激增。大多数未接种疫苗(或零剂量)的儿童生活在难以到达的农村地区,城市贫民窟,和受冲突影响的社区,这些社区通常没有保健设施或难以获得保健设施。在这些设置中,人们主要依靠非正规卫生部门提供基本卫生服务。因此,减少零剂量儿童,至关重要的是,将免疫服务从卫生设施扩展到非正规卫生部门,以满足服务不足地区儿童的免疫需求。在这篇透视文章中,我们提出了一个框架,通过非正规卫生部门扩大免疫服务,作为扩大覆盖面和公平性的大型追赶计划的支柱之一。在像尼日利亚这样的非洲国家,埃塞俄比亚,坦桑尼亚,刚果民主共和国,专利药品供应商是一个重要的非正规卫生部门提供者群体,因此,他们可以参与提供免疫服务。轴辐式模型可用于将专利药品供应商集成到免疫系统中。轴辐式模型是组织设计的框架,其中中央设施(集线器)提供的服务由辅助站点(辐条)补充,以优化对护理的访问。系统思维方法应该指导设计,实施,并对该模型进行了评估。
    The COVID-19 pandemic caused a surge in the number of unimmunized and under-immunized children in Africa. The majority of unimmunized (or zero-dose) children live in hard-to-reach rural areas, urban slums, and communities affected by conflict where health facilities are usually unavailable or difficult to access. In these settings, people mostly rely on the informal health sector for essential health services. Therefore, to reduce zero-dose children, it is critical to expand immunization services beyond health facilities to the informal health sector to meet the immunization needs of children in underserved places. In this perspective article, we propose a framework for the expansion of immunization services through the informal health sector as one of the pillars for the big catch-up plan to improve coverage and equity. In African countries like Nigeria, Ethiopia, Tanzania, and the Democratic Republic of Congo, patent medicine vendors serve as an important informal health sector provider group, and thus, they can be engaged to provide immunization services. A hub-and-spoke model can be used to integrate patent medicine vendors into the immunization system. A hub-and-spoke model is a framework for organization design where services that are provided by a central facility (hub) are complimented by secondary sites (spokes) to optimize access to care. Systems thinking approach should guide the design, implementation, and evaluation of this model.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:抗菌素耐药性(AMR)仍然是一个重大的全球健康威胁,尤其影响低收入和中等收入国家(LMICs)。这些地区经常面临有限的医疗资源和先进的诊断工具。因此,迫切需要可以加强AMR监测和管理的创新方法。机器学习(ML)虽然在这些设置中没有得到充分利用,提出了一个有希望的途径。这项研究利用了来自英格兰的全基因组测序数据训练的ML模型,在这些数据更容易获得的地方,来预测大肠杆菌中的AMR,针对环丙沙星等关键抗生素,氨苄青霉素,和头孢噻肟.我们工作的关键部分涉及使用来自非洲的独立数据集验证这些模型,特别是来自乌干达,尼日利亚,坦桑尼亚,以确定它们在低收入国家的适用性和有效性。
    结果:模型性能因抗生素而异。支持向量机在预测环丙沙星耐药性方面表现出色(准确率为87%,F1得分:0.57),头孢噻肟光梯度升压机(92%精度,F1得分:0.42),和氨苄青霉素的梯度提升(58%的准确率,F1得分:0.66)。用非洲的数据验证,Logistic回归显示氨苄青霉素的准确性高(94%,F1得分:0.97),而随机森林和光梯度升压机对环丙沙星有效(50%的准确度,F1评分:0.56)和头孢噻肟(准确率为45%,F1得分:0.54),分别。鉴定了这些抗生素的与AMR相关的关键突变。
    结论:随着AMR的威胁不断增加,这些模型的成功应用,特别是来自LMIC的基因组数据集,这标志着改善AMR预测以支持大型AMR监测计划的有希望的途径。因此,这项工作不仅扩展了我们目前对AMR遗传基础的理解,而且提供了一个强大的方法论框架,可以指导未来在对抗AMR方面的研究和应用。
    BACKGROUND: Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) remains a significant global health threat particularly impacting low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). These regions often grapple with limited healthcare resources and access to advanced diagnostic tools. Consequently, there is a pressing need for innovative approaches that can enhance AMR surveillance and management. Machine learning (ML) though underutilized in these settings, presents a promising avenue. This study leverages ML models trained on whole-genome sequencing data from England, where such data is more readily available, to predict AMR in E. coli, targeting key antibiotics such as ciprofloxacin, ampicillin, and cefotaxime. A crucial part of our work involved the validation of these models using an independent dataset from Africa, specifically from Uganda, Nigeria, and Tanzania, to ascertain their applicability and effectiveness in LMICs.
    RESULTS: Model performance varied across antibiotics. The Support Vector Machine excelled in predicting ciprofloxacin resistance (87% accuracy, F1 Score: 0.57), Light Gradient Boosting Machine for cefotaxime (92% accuracy, F1 Score: 0.42), and Gradient Boosting for ampicillin (58% accuracy, F1 Score: 0.66). In validation with data from Africa, Logistic Regression showed high accuracy for ampicillin (94%, F1 Score: 0.97), while Random Forest and Light Gradient Boosting Machine were effective for ciprofloxacin (50% accuracy, F1 Score: 0.56) and cefotaxime (45% accuracy, F1 Score:0.54), respectively. Key mutations associated with AMR were identified for these antibiotics.
    CONCLUSIONS: As the threat of AMR continues to rise, the successful application of these models, particularly on genomic datasets from LMICs, signals a promising avenue for improving AMR prediction to support large AMR surveillance programs. This work thus not only expands our current understanding of the genetic underpinnings of AMR but also provides a robust methodological framework that can guide future research and applications in the fight against AMR.
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