PDF(Pubmed)
Abstract：
UNASSIGNED: Firearm violence is a major public health problem in the US. However, relatively little research has focused particular attention on firearm violence in rural areas, and few studies have used research designs that draw on exogenous variation in the prevalence of firearms to estimate the association between firearm presence and shootings.
UNASSIGNED: To investigate the association between the start of deer hunting season and shootings in rural counties in the US.
UNASSIGNED: In this cohort study, data from all rural US counties in states with available data on the timing of deer hunting season were matched with data on shootings from the Gun Violence Archive from January 1, 2014, to December 31, 2021.
UNASSIGNED: Shootings in the first 3 weeks of deer hunting season were compared with the week prior to the start of deer hunting season.
UNASSIGNED: The main outcome was daily total shootings. The association between the start of deer hunting season and shootings was estimated using Poisson regression models to analyze change within counties while controlling for relevant calendar year, month of year, and seasonal effects.
UNASSIGNED: The sample included 854 rural counties with a mean (SD) population of 16 416 (18 329) per county and 5.4 (13.3) annual shootings per 100 000 people. The county fixed-effects specification analyzing the association between deer hunting season and shootings showed that relative to the week prior to deer hunting season, the incidence rate ratio for total shootings was 1.49 (95% CI, 1.13-1.95) for the first week of deer hunting season and 1.41 (95% CI, 1.02-1.94) for the second week of deer hunting season. Estimates remained consistent when excluding hunting accidents and were most pronounced in states with more hunting licenses per capita.
UNASSIGNED: In this cohort study of the association between the start of deer hunting season and firearm violence, results showed that the start of deer hunting season was associated with a substantial increase in shootings. The findings highlight the role of firearm prevalence in gun violence and suggest the need for focused policies designed to reduce firearm violence in areas with substantial hunting activity during the first weeks of deer hunting season.
UNASSIGNED: To investigate the association between the start of deer hunting season and shootings in rural counties in the US.
UNASSIGNED: In this cohort study, data from all rural US counties in states with available data on the timing of deer hunting season were matched with data on shootings from the Gun Violence Archive from January 1, 2014, to December 31, 2021.
UNASSIGNED: Shootings in the first 3 weeks of deer hunting season were compared with the week prior to the start of deer hunting season.
UNASSIGNED: The main outcome was daily total shootings. The association between the start of deer hunting season and shootings was estimated using Poisson regression models to analyze change within counties while controlling for relevant calendar year, month of year, and seasonal effects.
UNASSIGNED: The sample included 854 rural counties with a mean (SD) population of 16 416 (18 329) per county and 5.4 (13.3) annual shootings per 100 000 people. The county fixed-effects specification analyzing the association between deer hunting season and shootings showed that relative to the week prior to deer hunting season, the incidence rate ratio for total shootings was 1.49 (95% CI, 1.13-1.95) for the first week of deer hunting season and 1.41 (95% CI, 1.02-1.94) for the second week of deer hunting season. Estimates remained consistent when excluding hunting accidents and were most pronounced in states with more hunting licenses per capita.
UNASSIGNED: In this cohort study of the association between the start of deer hunting season and firearm violence, results showed that the start of deer hunting season was associated with a substantial increase in shootings. The findings highlight the role of firearm prevalence in gun violence and suggest the need for focused policies designed to reduce firearm violence in areas with substantial hunting activity during the first weeks of deer hunting season.
摘要：
枪支暴力是美国的主要公共卫生问题。然而,相对较少的研究特别关注农村地区的枪支暴力，并且很少有研究使用研究设计来利用枪支流行的外源变化来估计枪支存在与枪击之间的关联。
■调查鹿狩猎季节的开始与美国农村县枪击事件之间的关联。
■在这项队列研究中，从2014年1月1日至2021年12月31日，来自美国各州所有农村县的数据以及有关鹿狩猎季节时间的可用数据与枪支暴力档案馆的枪击数据相匹配。
■将鹿狩猎季节的前3周的射击与鹿狩猎季节开始之前的一周进行了比较。
■主要结果是每天的总枪击事件。使用泊松回归模型估计鹿狩猎季节开始与枪击之间的关联，以分析县内部的变化，同时控制相关日历年，年月,和季节性影响。
■样本包括854个农村县，每个县的平均（SD）人口为16416（18329），每10万人的年枪击事件为5.4（13.3）。县固定效应规范分析了鹿狩猎季节与枪击事件之间的关联，结果表明，相对于鹿狩猎季节之前的一周，猎鹿季节第一周总枪击事件发生率为1.49(95%CI,1.13-1.95),猎鹿季节第二周总枪击事件发生率为1.41(95%CI,1.02-1.94).在排除狩猎事故时，估计数保持一致，在人均狩猎许可证较多的州最为明显。
■在这项关于鹿狩猎季节开始与枪支暴力之间关联的队列研究中，结果表明，鹿狩猎季节的开始与枪击事件的大量增加有关。调查结果强调了枪支流行在枪支暴力中的作用，并建议需要采取有针对性的政策，以减少在鹿狩猎季节的头几周内进行大量狩猎活动的地区的枪支暴力。
■调查鹿狩猎季节的开始与美国农村县枪击事件之间的关联。
■在这项队列研究中，从2014年1月1日至2021年12月31日，来自美国各州所有农村县的数据以及有关鹿狩猎季节时间的可用数据与枪支暴力档案馆的枪击数据相匹配。
■将鹿狩猎季节的前3周的射击与鹿狩猎季节开始之前的一周进行了比较。
■主要结果是每天的总枪击事件。使用泊松回归模型估计鹿狩猎季节开始与枪击之间的关联，以分析县内部的变化，同时控制相关日历年，年月,和季节性影响。
■样本包括854个农村县，每个县的平均（SD）人口为16416（18329），每10万人的年枪击事件为5.4（13.3）。县固定效应规范分析了鹿狩猎季节与枪击事件之间的关联，结果表明，相对于鹿狩猎季节之前的一周，猎鹿季节第一周总枪击事件发生率为1.49(95%CI,1.13-1.95),猎鹿季节第二周总枪击事件发生率为1.41(95%CI,1.02-1.94).在排除狩猎事故时，估计数保持一致，在人均狩猎许可证较多的州最为明显。
■在这项关于鹿狩猎季节开始与枪支暴力之间关联的队列研究中，结果表明，鹿狩猎季节的开始与枪击事件的大量增加有关。调查结果强调了枪支流行在枪支暴力中的作用，并建议需要采取有针对性的政策，以减少在鹿狩猎季节的头几周内进行大量狩猎活动的地区的枪支暴力。
