Abstract:
The term \"real risk\" and variations of this term are commonly used in everyday speech and writing, and in the scientific literature. There are mainly two types of use: i) in statements about what the real risk related to an activity is and ii) in statements about the risk related to an activity being real. The former type of use has been extensively discussed in the literature, whereas the latter type has received less attention. In the present study, we review both types of use and analyze and discuss potential meanings of type ii) statements. We conclude that it is reasonable to interpret a statement about the risk being real as reflecting a judgement that there is some risk and that the knowledge supporting this statement is relatively strong. However, such a statement does not convey whether the risk is small or large and needs to be supplemented by a characterization of the risk.
摘要:
术语“实际风险”及其变体通常用于日常演讲和写作中,在科学文献中。主要有两种使用类型:i)在关于与活动相关的实际风险的陈述中,以及ii)在关于与活动相关的风险的陈述中。前一种使用类型已在文献中广泛讨论,而后一种类型受到的关注较少。在本研究中,我们回顾了这两种类型的使用,并分析和讨论了类型ii)语句的潜在含义。我们得出的结论是,将关于风险真实的陈述解释为反映出存在一定风险的判断是合理的,并且支持该陈述的知识相对较强。然而,这样的陈述并不能表达风险是小还是大,需要通过对风险的定性来补充。