关键词: Applied computing Economics Energy Modelling Social sciences

来  源:   DOI:10.1016/j.isci.2024.110020   PDF(Pubmed)

Abstract:
Our society is marked by a tension between short-term objectives, such as economic growth, and long-term sustainability goals, including mitigating resource depletion. In such a competitive setting, it is crucial to ascertain whether a system can maintain long-term viability and, if so, how. This article aims to enhance the understanding of this issue by analyzing how sustainability concerns change over time by means of a game, and the effect of this variation on the final status of a system. Leveraging insights from the game, we implement an agent-based model to elicit the tension between short-term objectives and sustainability, emphasizing the influence of individual actions on the overall system. The simulation results suggest that the likelihood of a collapse is contingent upon the availability of resources and the manner in which information regarding these resources is gathered and utilized. Finally, the paper proposes practical suggestions for managing this kind of system.
摘要:
我们的社会的特点是短期目标之间的紧张关系,比如经济增长,和长期可持续发展目标,包括缓解资源枯竭。在这样一个竞争激烈的环境中,至关重要的是要确定一个系统是否能保持长期的生存能力,如果是,how.本文旨在通过分析可持续发展问题如何通过游戏随着时间的推移而变化,从而增强对这一问题的理解。以及这种变化对系统最终状态的影响。利用游戏的洞察力,我们实施基于代理的模型来引发短期目标和可持续性之间的紧张关系,强调个体行为对整个系统的影响。模拟结果表明,崩溃的可能性取决于资源的可用性以及收集和利用有关这些资源的信息的方式。最后,本文提出了管理这种系统的实践建议。
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