PDF(Pubmed)
Abstract：
More than 1000 years, the Meiyu-Baiu have shaped the uniqueness of natural resources, civilization and culture in the Yangtze River Basin of China and the main islands of Japan. In recent decades, frequent rainstorms and droughts have seemingly diminished the misty features of traditional Meiyu-Baiu rainfall. However, there is still no consensus on whether their traditional nature is suspended. In this study, we quantitatively demonstrate that the Meiyu-Baiu almost completely lost their traditional features during 1961-2023, ∼80% of which can be attributed to anthropogenic warming. Furthermore, in a warmer future, the traditional Meiyu-Baiu will be more unlikely to appear. This study underscores the urgency in adapting to climate shift because destructive extremes are measurably taking the place of mild and maternal rains.
摘要：
超过1000年,梅雨-白乌塑造了自然资源的独特性，中国长江流域和日本主要岛屿的文明和文化。近几十年来,频繁的暴雨和干旱似乎减少了传统梅雨-白乌降雨的模糊特征。然而,对于它们的传统性质是否被暂停，仍然没有达成共识。在这项研究中,我们定量证明，在1961-2023年期间，梅雨-拜乌几乎完全失去了传统特征，其中80%可归因于人为变暖。此外，在更温暖的未来，传统的美玉-白玉将更不可能出现。这项研究强调了适应气候变化的紧迫性，因为破坏性的极端现象正在明显地取代轻度降雨和孕产妇降雨。
