关键词: Affective forecasting Future thinking Information processing Intensity bias Prospection Psychopathology

Mesh : Humans Cognition Forecasting Judgment

来  源:   DOI:10.1016/j.cpr.2024.102392

Abstract:
Affective forecasting - estimations of future emotional reactions - is an important aspect of future thinking that informs judgement and decision making. Biases in affective forecasting have been noted generally and with people with emotional disturbances specifically. Still, the role of affective forecasting within models of psychopathology has received little attention. Given the state of the literature, a scoping review method was adopted to summarize and synthesize the methodological approaches used in measuring affective forecasting within the context of psychopathology and the scope of the evidence on this association. Three databases were searched for research published on or before November 13th, 2023. Original quantitative research that examined affective forecasting and its association with psychopathology was reviewed. Data were charted using a form designed for this study. Overall, the review highlights the heterogeneity in operationalization of affective forecasting. The majority of the evidence supports an association between severity of psychopathology and intensity of affective forecasts, with notable exceptions, which are discussed within the scope of methodology and operationalization of affective forecasting. This remains an important process to investigate in information processing models of psychopathology to elucidate its role in the development and maintenance of psychopathology and potential as a target for intervention.
摘要:
情感预测-对未来情绪反应的估计-是未来思维的重要方面,可以为判断和决策提供依据。普遍注意到情感预测中的偏见,特别是有情感障碍的人。尽管如此,情感预测在精神病理学模型中的作用很少受到关注。鉴于文学的现状,采用范围审查方法来总结和综合在精神病理学背景下测量情感预测的方法学方法以及有关这种关联的证据范围。搜索了三个数据库,以查找11月13日或之前发表的研究报告,2023年。回顾了研究情感预测及其与精神病理学关联的原始定量研究。使用为这项研究设计的表格绘制数据。总的来说,这篇综述强调了情感预测可操作性的异质性。大多数证据支持精神病理学的严重程度和情感预测的强度之间的关联,除了值得注意的例外,在情感预测的方法论和可操作性的范围内进行了讨论。这仍然是在精神病理学的信息处理模型中进行研究的重要过程,以阐明其在精神病理学的发展和维持中的作用以及作为干预目标的潜力。
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