Meta-analysis of proportions (random effect model) including 19 RCTs (1287 patients from 16 Asian and 3 European studies including 487 ACLF, 231 AAH and 569 cirrhotic patients) evaluating survival at day-28, day-90, 6 months, one year, and/or occurrence of sepsis as major outcomes.
In patients with decompensated cirrhosis, G-CSF administration was associated with a reduction in the weight-adjusted risk of mortality of 9% at day-90 (OR=0.33; 95%CI: 0.18-0.58; p = 0.0002), 16% at 6 months (OR=0.31; 95%CI: 0.15-0.62; p = 0.0009), 26% at one year (OR=0.21; 95%CI:0.12-0.38, p<0.0001) and a weight-adjusted 28% risk reduction for sepsis (OR=0.28; 95%CI: 0.16-0.49; p<0.0001). Only Asian studies were positive. In AAH, G-CSF was associated with an 18% reduction in weight-adjusted mortality risk at day-28 (OR=0.31; 95%CI:0.11-0.83, p = 0.021), 32% at day-90 (OR=0.20; 95%CI:0.09-0.46, p<0.0001) and a weight-adjusted 42% risk reduction for sepsis (OR=0.17; 95%CI: 0.08-0.38; p<0.0001). Only Asian studies, in which corticosteroids were not given systematically in case of severe AAH, were positive. In patients with ACLF, the results on mortality at day-28 were heterogeneous, and GCSF had no beneficial effect on sepsis or survival at day-90.
G-CSF may be effective in patients with decompensated cirrhosis or AAH by reducing the occurrence of sepsis and mortality. Further meta-analyses of individual data, or new, powerful and methodologically flawless therapeutic trials, are warranted to confirm these results, which harbor wide divergences between Asian and European RCTs.
方法:包括19项RCT的比例(随机效应模型)的荟萃分析(来自16项亚洲和3项欧洲研究的1287例患者,包括487项ACLF,231AAH和569例肝硬化患者)评估第28天,第90天,6个月的生存率,一年,和/或以败血症为主要结果。
结果:在失代偿期肝硬化患者中,G-CSF给药与90天体重调整后死亡风险降低9%相关(OR=0.33;95CI:0.18-0.58;p=0.0002),6个月时为16%(OR=0.31;95CI:0.15-0.62;p=0.0009),1年为26%(OR=0.21;95CI:0.12-0.38,p<0.0001),体重调整后脓毒症风险降低28%(OR=0.28;95CI:0.16-0.49;p<0.0001)。只有亚洲研究是积极的。在AAH,G-CSF与第28天体重调整后的死亡风险降低18%相关(OR=0.31;95CI:0.11-0.83,p=0.021),90天时32%(OR=0.20;95CI:0.09-0.46,p<0.0001),体重调整后脓毒症风险降低42%(OR=0.17;95CI:0.08-0.38;p<0.0001)。只有亚洲研究,在严重AAH的情况下,没有系统地给予皮质类固醇,是积极的。在ACLF患者中,第28天死亡率的结果是异质的,GCSF在第90天对脓毒症或存活没有有益作用。
结论:G-CSF可有效降低失代偿期肝硬化或AAH患者败血症的发生率和死亡率。个人数据的进一步荟萃分析,或新的,强大且方法完美的治疗试验,有必要确认这些结果,亚洲和欧洲RCT之间存在很大差异。