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Abstract：
Historical death registration was conducted primarily to assess the presence of plague. The Liber Mortuorum of Milan was one of Europe\'s first registers with many socio-demographical details. In this work, we consider 1480 to make spatial and temporal analyses of the event of death to find possible explanations about the events\' distribution and the events\' trend over time. The spatial analyses involved Moran\'s I, the LISA, and the heatmaps; the temporal analysis applied the Durbin-Watson test. All the analyses were conducted separately on all subjects (1813), children (765), and adults (1046). Contrade (districts) were considered for spatial analysis. Moran\'s I and the Durbin Watson test were significant on all subjects and children\'s analyses, and the LISA showed the same results for those groups. Children may significantly impact the distribution of death and the trend over time. At least half of the children were 0 years old, and survival in the very first childhood period was closely linked to the family, so that it could be a proxy of the conditions of an area.
摘要：
进行历史死亡登记主要是为了评估鼠疫的存在。米兰的LiberMortuorum是欧洲最早的具有许多社会人口统计学细节的登记册之一。在这项工作中,我们考虑1480对死亡事件进行空间和时间分析，以找到关于事件的分布和事件随时间的趋势的可能解释。空间分析涉及Moran\'sI，LISA,和热图；时间分析应用了Durbin-Watson测试。所有分析分别对所有受试者进行(1813)，儿童（765），成人（1046）考虑了Contrade（地区）进行空间分析。莫兰的I和德宾·沃森测试对所有受试者和儿童的分析都很重要，LISA对这些组显示了相同的结果。随着时间的推移，儿童可能会显著影响死亡的分布和趋势。至少一半的孩子是0岁，第一个童年时期的生存与家庭密切相关，所以它可以代表一个地区的条件。
