METHODS: We retrospectively enrolled cases of singleton normal fetuses with PHM pregnancies at West China Second University Hospital, Sichuan University, from 2005 to 2017. Other cases were identified from PubMed databases during 1975 to 2021 for the cohort study. Cox proportional hazards models were applied to evaluate risk factors for GTN progression based on the patient\'s clinical characteristics.
RESULTS: Overall, 36 cases of singleton normal fetuses with PHM pregnancies were enrolled. After a median follow-up of 4.0 (0.8-12.0) months, nine (25.0%) patients progressed to GTN. Gestational age at pregnancy termination (hazard ratio [HR] 0.88; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.78-0.99, p = 0.032), hyperthyroidism (HR 5.75; 95% CI, 1.16-28.50, p = 0.032), and reasons for pregnancy termination (medical indications vs. patients\' choice; HR 0.25; 95% CI, 0.06-0.99, p = 0.049) were significantly correlated with GTN progression. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of gestational age at pregnancy termination to predict non-progression to GTN was 0.784 (95% CI, 0.615-0.903, p < 0.001). A clinically significant cutoff value, that is, gestational age of 24 weeks, was determined by comprehensively considering the cutoff values of AUC and clinical significance of gestational age.
CONCLUSIONS: Compared to gestational age of pregnancy termination <24 weeks, ≥24 weeks was a protective factor for GTN. Therefore, there is enough evidence to continue pregnancy, except for uncontrolled severe complications, without increasing the risk of GTN progression.
方法:我们在华西大学第二医院回顾性登记了单胎正常胎儿合并PHM妊娠的病例,四川大学,从2005年到2017年。其他病例在1975年至2021年期间从PubMed数据库中确定用于队列研究。Cox比例风险模型用于根据患者的临床特征评估GTN进展的危险因素。
结果:总体而言,纳入36例PHM妊娠的单胎正常胎儿。中位随访4.0(0.8-12.0)个月后,9例(25.0%)患者进展为GTN。终止妊娠时的妊娠年龄(风险比[HR]0.88;95%置信区间[CI]0.78-0.99,p=0.032),甲状腺功能亢进(HR5.75;95%CI,1.16-28.50,p=0.032),和终止妊娠的原因(医学适应症与患者选择;HR0.25;95%CI,0.06-0.99,p=0.049)与GTN进展显著相关.终止妊娠时预测GTN未进展的孕龄受试者工作特征曲线(AUC)下面积为0.784(95%CI,0.615-0.903,p<0.001)。具有临床意义的临界值,也就是说,胎龄24周,通过综合考虑AUC的临界值和胎龄的临床意义来确定。
结论:与终止妊娠的孕龄<24周相比,≥24周是GTN的保护因素。因此,有足够的证据继续怀孕,除了不受控制的严重并发症,不会增加GTN进展的风险。