PDF(Pubmed)
Abstract：
People tend to misestimate their future emotions. This phenomenon is thought to be associated with information accessibility. However, few studies have demonstrated the impact of context-specific information accessibility on affective forecasting. This research investigated the effects of information accessibility on affective forecasting in career context (i.e., occupational engagement was seen as information accessibility), during which surprise or not surprise context was played simultaneously. We found that affective forecasting appeared stably across emotional response types. Specifically, there was an underestimation in interest appraisals and an overestimation in satisfaction. These biases were influenced by occupational engagement, which only worked in career interest appraisals. High occupational engagement made people estimate their future emotions more accurately and overcome their forecasting bias. Surprisingness was then manipulated further to explain whether it could impact the effect of occupational engagement on affective forecasting. The emotional responses in both prediction and experience were affected by surprisingness, thus causing no affective forecasting biases. These results suggest the role of occupational engagement in affective forecasting and provide evidence supporting the information accessibility model about the mechanism in affective forecasting.
摘要：
人们倾向于错误估计他们未来的情绪。这种现象被认为与信息可访问性有关。然而,很少有研究证明上下文特定信息可访问性对情感预测的影响。这项研究调查了职业背景下信息可访问性对情感预测的影响(即，职业参与被视为信息可访问性)，在此期间，同时播放惊喜或不惊喜的上下文。我们发现，情感预测在不同的情绪反应类型中表现稳定。具体来说,在利息评估中存在低估和满意度的高估。这些偏见受到职业参与的影响，只适用于职业兴趣评估。高度的职业投入使人们更准确地估计他们未来的情绪，并克服他们的预测偏差。然后进一步操纵惊讶，以解释它是否会影响职业敬业度对情感预测的影响。预测和经验中的情绪反应都受到惊讶的影响，因此不会造成情感预测偏差。这些结果表明了职业参与在情感预测中的作用，并提供了有关情感预测机制的信息可及性模型的证据。
