METHODS: Significant predictors were identified through a retrospective review of all blunt trauma patients admitted to a Level 1 trauma center from 2005 to 2010 with an admission CT of the abdomen/pelvis and diagnosed with any mesenteric injury. The Bowel Injury Prediction Score (BIPS) was calculated based on the following three elements with a point given for each outcome: white blood cell count of 17.0 or greater, abdominal tenderness, and CT scan grade for mesenteric injury of 4 or higher.
RESULTS: A total of 18,927 blunt trauma patients were admitted during the study period. Of these, 380 had a mesenteric injury, 110 met inclusion criteria, 60 had a surgical intervention, and 43 had BHVI. Of the 110 study patients, 43 (39%) had an immediate operation, 17 (16%) had a delayed operation (>4 hours), and 50 (46%) had no surgical intervention. The median BIPS for the immediate and delayed group was 2, while for the no-surgery group, the score was 0. Patients with a BIPS of 2 or greater were 19 times more likely to have a BHVI than patients with a BIPS of less than 2 (odds ratio, 19.2; 95% confidence interval, 6.78-54.36; p < 0.001).
CONCLUSIONS: Three predictors (admission CT scan grade of mesenteric injury, white blood cell count, and abdominal tenderness) were used to create a new bowel injury score, with a score of 2 or greater being strongly associated with BHVI. Prospective validation of these retrospective findings is warranted to fully assess the accuracy of the BIPS.
METHODS: Prognostic study, level III.