demography

人口统计学
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    喜马拉雅山高耸的山峰坐落在迷人的山地目的地,尤其是在印度。每个目的地都旨在为游客提供独特的体验和令人叹为观止的景观。了解编织这些目的地魅力并吸引来自不同背景的游客的因素的挂毯仍然很有趣。
    这项研究深入研究了喜马拉雅山目的地选择的社会人口统计挂毯,解开人口特征的复杂相互作用,社会影响,以及塑造游客选择的个人动机。
    这项研究旨在回答为什么不同的游客有不同的旅行选择,以及这些选择背后的驱动因素是什么。结果表明,无论受访者的社会人口统计学差异如何,目的地选择因素都是相似的;然而,对于一些因素,结果是相反的。
    该研究对决策者和最后讨论的研究的局限性都有影响。
    UNASSIGNED: The towering peaks of the Himalayas lie in troves of captivating hill destinations, especially in India. Each destination aims to provide tourists with unique experiences and breath-taking landscapes. Understanding the tapestry of factors that weave the allure of these destinations and draw visitors from diverse backgrounds remains intriguing.
    UNASSIGNED: This study delves into the socio-demographic tapestry of Himalayan hill destination selection, unraveling the complex interplay of demographic characteristics, social influences, and individual motivations that shape tourists\' choices.
    UNASSIGNED: This study aims to answer why different tourists have different travel choices and what factors are the drivers behind such choices. The results show that destination selection factors are similar irrespective of respondents\' socio-demographic variabilities; however, for a few factors, the results are reversed.
    UNASSIGNED: The study has implications for policymakers and the limitations of the research discussed at the end.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这份报告介绍了韩国中风人口的最新统计数据,来自韩国国立卫生研究院(CRCS-K-NIH)的中风临床研究合作,一个全面的,全国范围内,多中心笔划注册表。韩国队列,与西方人口不同,显示男性与女性的比例为1.5,这归因于韩国女性的较低风险因素。男女平均年龄分别为67岁和73岁,分别。高血压是最常见的危险因素(67%)。与全球趋势一致,但糖尿病(35%)和吸烟(21%)的患病率较高。房颤的患病率(19%)低于西方人群,在一般人群中提出有效的预防策略。观察到大动脉粥样硬化的高发生率(38%),可能是由于东亚人普遍的颅内动脉疾病和先进的成像技术。静脉溶栓率有所下降,从2017-2019年的12%到2021年的10%,门到针和门到穿刺时间没有改善,由于2019年冠状病毒病的大流行而恶化。虽然阿司匹林加氯吡格雷用于非心源性卒中和直接口服抗凝药用于心房颤动已得到确认,非心房颤动心源性卒中急性期直接口服抗凝药的应用需要进一步研究.早期神经系统恶化的发生率(13%)和3个月时复发性中风的累积发生率(3%)与全球数字一致。3个月的有利结果(63%)在国际上具有可比性,然而,3个月时的依赖性缺乏改善,凸显了在急性卒中护理方面需要改进的必要性.
    This report presents the latest statistics on the stroke population in South Korea, sourced from the Clinical Research Collaborations for Stroke in Korea-National Institute for Health (CRCS-K-NIH), a comprehensive, nationwide, multicenter stroke registry. The Korean cohort, unlike western populations, shows a male-to-female ratio of 1.5, attributed to lower risk factors in Korean women. The average ages for men and women are 67 and 73 years, respectively. Hypertension is the most common risk factor (67%), consistent with global trends, but there is a higher prevalence of diabetes (35%) and smoking (21%). The prevalence of atrial fibrillation (19%) is lower than in western populations, suggesting effective prevention strategies in the general population. A high incidence of large artery atherosclerosis (38%) is observed, likely due to prevalent intracranial arterial disease in East Asians and advanced imaging techniques. There has been a decrease in intravenous thrombolysis rates, from 12% in 2017-2019 to 10% in 2021, with no improvements in door-to-needle and door-to-puncture times, worsened by the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic. While the use of aspirin plus clopidogrel for non-cardioembolic stroke and direct oral anticoagulants for atrial fibrillation is well-established, the application of direct oral anticoagulants for non-atrial fibrillation cardioembolic strokes in the acute phase requires further research. The incidence of early neurological deterioration (13%) and the cumulative incidence of recurrent stroke at 3 months (3%) align with global figures. Favorable outcomes at 3 months (63%) are comparable internationally, yet the lack of improvement in dependency at 3 months highlights the need for advancements in acute stroke care.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目标:同义代表人们觉得别人喜欢他们的程度,并鼓励他们认为人们喜欢他们的活动。目前,没有关于献血者同型的数据,关于(i)人们对英国典型献血者的代表性和(ii)当前献血者与该原型的同型程度,非捐赠者,团体血液服务希望鼓励(少数民族),那些在政策变更后现在有资格的人(例如,与男性发生性关系的男性:MSM)和接受者。我们的目标是填补这些知识空白。
    方法:我们调查了英国普通人群MSM,长期受血者,目前的捐助者,非捐赠者和少数民族(n=785)评估原型捐赠者在种族方面的看法,年龄,性别,社会阶层,教育水平和政治意识形态。同性恋被索引为年龄,性别和种族。
    结果:典型的英国献血者被认为是白人,中年,中产阶级,受过大学教育和左翼教育。目前的捐赠者和MSM更倾向于这个原型,而接受者和少数民族的同性恋程度最低。较高的同质性与承诺捐赠的可能性增加有关。
    结论:英国供体的原型将其定义为白色活性。这个,在某种程度上,可以解释为什么少数民族不太可能成为捐赠者。除了传统的招聘策略,血液服务部门需要考虑更广泛的结构变化,例如工作人员的种族多样性以及与当地社区共同设计捐赠空间。
    OBJECTIVE: Homophily represents the extent to which people feel others are like them and encourages the uptake of activities they feel people like them do. Currently, there are no data on blood donor homophily with respect to (i) people\'s representation of the average prototypical UK blood donor and (ii) the degree of homophily with this prototype for current donors, non-donors, groups blood services wish to encourage (ethnic minorities), those who are now eligible following policy changes (e.g., men-who-have-sex-with-men: MSM) and recipients. We aim to fill these gaps in knowledge.
    METHODS: We surveyed the UK general population MSM, long-term blood recipients, current donors, non-donors and ethnic minorities (n = 785) to assess perceptions of the prototypical donor in terms of ethnicity, age, gender, social class, educational level and political ideology. Homophily was indexed with respect to age, gender and ethnicity.
    RESULTS: The prototypical UK blood donor is perceived as White, middle-aged, middle-class, college-level educated and left-wing. Current donors and MSM are more homophilous with this prototype, whereas recipients and ethnic minorities have the lowest homophily. Higher levels of homophily are associated with an increased likelihood of committing to donate.
    CONCLUSIONS: The prototype of the UK donor defined this as a White activity. This, in part, may explain why ethnic minorities are less likely to be donors. As well as traditional recruitment strategies, blood services need to consider broader structural changes such as the ethnic diversity of staff and co-designing donor spaces with local communities.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    生活史的权衡是进化人口学的中心原则之一。权衡取舍,描绘个体生活史特征之间的负协方差,可能源于遗传限制,或来自每个人必须在体细胞和生殖功能之间的零和博弈中分配的有限资源。虽然理论预测权衡是无处不在的,实证研究往往未能在野生种群中检测到这种负协方差。改善权衡发现的一种方法是考虑环境背景,因为权衡表达可能取决于环境条件。然而,当前的方法通常搜索性状之间的固定协方差,从而忽略了他们的上下文依赖。这里,我们提出了一个分层的多变量“协方差反应范数”模型,改编自马丁(2023)使用人口统计数据来帮助检测生活史权衡表达中的上下文依赖性。该方法允许性状之间的表型相关性连续变化。我们在模拟数据上验证了该模型,以进行个人内部和代际权衡。然后,我们将其应用于黄腹土拨鼠(Marmotaflaviventer)和Soay绵羊(Ovisaries)的经验数据集,作为概念证明,表明通过应用我们的方法可以获得新的见解,例如仅在特定环境中检测权衡。我们讨论了其应用于许多现有长期人口数据集的潜力,以及它如何提高我们对权衡表达的理解,和一般的生活史理论。
    Life history trade-offs are one of the central tenets of evolutionary demography. Trade-offs, depicting negative covariances between individuals\' life history traits, can arise from genetic constraints, or from a finite amount of resources that each individual has to allocate in a zero-sum game between somatic and reproductive functions. While theory predicts that trade-offs are ubiquitous, empirical studies have often failed to detect such negative covariances in wild populations. One way to improve the detection of trade-offs is by accounting for the environmental context, as trade-off expression may depend on environmental conditions. However, current methodologies usually search for fixed covariances between traits, thereby ignoring their context dependence. Here, we present a hierarchical multivariate \'covariance reaction norm\' model, adapted from Martin (2023), to help detect context dependence in the expression of life-history trade-offs using demographic data. The method allows continuous variation in the phenotypic correlation between traits. We validate the model on simulated data for both intraindividual and intergenerational trade-offs. We then apply it to empirical datasets of yellow-bellied marmots (Marmota flaviventer) and Soay sheep (Ovis aries) as a proof-of-concept showing that new insights can be gained by applying our methodology, such as detecting trade-offs only in specific environments. We discuss its potential for application to many of the existing long-term demographic datasets and how it could improve our understanding of trade-off expression in particular, and life history theory in general.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    冠状病毒大流行影响了澳大利亚的寻求健康行为和获得初级保健的机会。我们调查了在大流行期间与意向参加和参加宫颈筛查相关的因素,主要在维多利亚,澳大利亚。
    我们使用了Compass-PLUS的问卷和出勤数据(2020年8月至2022年11月),基于人乳头瘤病毒和基于细胞学的筛查的Compass随机对照试验的一项子研究。数据仅限于HPV筛查部门,以便与国家计划具有可比性。我们调查了总体和年轻(25-39岁)和年龄较大(≥40岁)的队列的关联,在意向出席/出席之间,和社会人口统计学,焦虑相关分数,并同意在大流行期间进行筛查的信念(例如,筛查的重要性,工作量增加,在家工作,感染风险)。
    在2226名参与者中,在有癌症家族史(p=0.030)或生活在大城市以外地区(p=0.024)的人群中,积极参加筛查的可能性更大.出勤率的增加与年龄的增加有关(p<0.001),既往常规宫颈筛查史[6年内2次筛查与无筛查的校正相对危险度(aRR):1.23(95CI1.09,1.40);p<0.001],与全职工作相比,兼职工作或退休[aRR:1.08(1.02,1.14);aRR:1.12(1.03,1.22);分别]。较低的出勤率与表明筛查去优先次序(p趋势<0.05)和较高的近期焦虑的陈述的一致性增加有关。特别是在较老的队列中(p趋势=0.002)。
    筛查优先级降低和近期焦虑加剧可能部分解释了大流行期间宫颈筛查率低于预期的迹象。重要的是要进行错过的HPV筛查,以防止长期癌症诊断的可能增加。
    UNASSIGNED: The coronavirus pandemic impacted health-seeking behaviour and access to primary care in Australia. We investigated factors associated with intention-to-attend and attendance of cervical screening during the pandemic, mainly in Victoria, Australia.
    UNASSIGNED: We used questionnaire and attendance data (Aug 2020-Nov 2022) from Compass-PLUS, a sub-study of the Compass randomized-controlled trial of Human Papillomavirus-based vs cytology-based screening. Data was restricted to the HPV-screening arm for comparability to the national program. We investigated associations overall and for younger (25-39 years) and older (≥40 years) cohorts, between intention-to-attend/attendance, and socio-demographics, anxiety-related scores, and agreement with beliefs about screening during the pandemic (e.g. importance of screening, increased workload, working from home, risk of infection).
    UNASSIGNED: Among 2,226 participants, positive intention to attend screening was more likely among those with a family history of cancer (p = 0.030) or living outside major cities (p = 0.024). Increased attendance was associated with increasing age (p < 0.001), prior regular cervical screening history [adjusted relative risk (aRR) for 2 screens in 6 years vs none: 1.23 (95 %CI 1.09,1.40); p < 0.001], and part-time employment or retirement compared to full-time employment [aRR:1.08 (1.02,1.14); aRR:1.12 (1.03, 1.22); respectively]. Lower attendance was related to increased agreement with statements indicating screening de-prioritisation (p-trend < 0.05) and higher recent anxiety, specifically in the older cohort (p-trend = 0.002).
    UNASSIGNED: Reduced priority of screening and heightened recent anxiety may partly explain indications of lower-than-expected cervical screening rates during the pandemic. It is important that catch-up of missed HPV screens is performed to prevent a possible increase in cancer diagnoses in the long term.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    美国各地区的生育率水平和按年龄划分的生育时间表的形状差异很大,一些州的生育率峰值相对较早,而另一些则相对较晚。结构性制度或经济因素部分解释了这些异质模式,但是人格的区域差异也可能导致生育率的区域差异。这里,我们评估了外向性的变化,令人愉快,尽责,神经质,在美国州一级衡量的经验的开放性与水平有关,定时,以及社会人口统计学以外各州的生育率背景,投票行为,和宗教。一般来说,同意和尽责程度较高的州有更传统的生育模式,神经质和开放性水平较高的州有更多非传统的生育模式,即使在控制了已确定的生育率相关因素(r~|.50|)之后。人格是一个被忽视的关联,可以用来理解生育率差异的存在和持续存在。
    Levels of fertility and the shape of the age-specific fertility schedule vary substantially across U.S. regions with some states having peak fertility relatively early and others relatively late. Structural institutions or economic factors partly explain these heterogeneous patterns, but regional differences in personality might also contribute to regional differences in fertility. Here, we evaluated whether variation in extraversion, agreeableness, conscientiousness, neuroticism, and openness to experience measured at the U.S. state-level was associated with the level, timing, and context of fertility across states above and beyond sociodemographics, voting behavior, and religiosity. Generally, states with higher levels of agreeableness and conscientiousness had more traditional fertility patterns, and states with higher levels of neuroticism and openness had more nontraditional fertility patterns, even after controlling for established correlates of fertility (r ~ |.50|). Personality is an overlooked correlate that can be leveraged to understand the existence and persistence of fertility differentials.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:分析海湾合作委员会国家的生育率趋势及其与社会经济因素的关系,以便政策制定者可以将研究结果用于未来的医疗保健计划。
    方法:总人口,粗死亡率,预期寿命,识字率,人类发展指数(HDI)女性就业,失业率,城市化,人均国内生产总值(GDP)和通货膨胀被选为TFR趋势的可能预测因子。这些数据是为2021年全球疾病负担研究和世界银行等其他官方数据库收集的,联合国开发计划署和海湾合作委员会(GCC)6个国家的数据世界。计算了标准偏差和百分比变化的平均值,以评估1980-2021年TFR和所有其他变量的趋势。
    结果:与1980年相比,2021年所有6个国家的生育率都有所下降。下降幅度最大的是阿拉伯联合酋长国(75.5%),最低的是科威特(60.9%)。从1980年到2021年,总人口,预期寿命,HDI,识字率,GDP,城市化,所有海湾合作委员会国家的女性劳动力都有所增加。总人口,预期寿命,城市化,女性劳动力,GDP和HDI与TFR呈显著负相关(p<0.01)。巴林识字率与TFR呈显著负相关,科威特,沙特阿拉伯,卡塔尔。
    结论:GCC国家的TFR正在下降。看似合理的原因包括倾向于推迟婚姻和过高的生活费用。决策者需要对这些趋势和关联进行评估,以便他们确定干预的优先领域,分配资源并制定相应的发展计划,以确保该地区的战略进展。
    OBJECTIVE: To analyze the fertility rate trends in the GCC countries and their association with socioeconomic factors so that policymakers may use the study findings for future healthcare plans.
    METHODS: Total population, crude death rate, life expectancy, literacy rate, human development index (HDI), female employment, unemployment rate, urbanisation, gross domestic product (GDP) per capita and inflation were chosen as possible predictors of TFR trends. The data were collected for the Global Burden of Disease 2021 study and other official databases such as the World Bank, the United Nations Development Program and Our World in Data for the 6 Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries. Mean with standard deviation and percentage change was calculated to assess trends of TFR and all other variables from 1980-2021.
    RESULTS: The fertility rate declined in all 6 countries in 2021 compared to 1980. The highest decline was found in the United Arab Emirates (75.5%), while the lowest was in Kuwait (60.9%). From 1980-2021, total population, life expectancy, HDI, literacy rate, GDP, urbanisation, and female labor force increased in all GCC countries. The total population, life expectancy, urbanisation, female labor force, GDP and HDI were negatively and significantly correlated with TFR (p<0.01). The literacy rate showed a negative and significant correlation with TFR in Bahrain, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar.
    CONCLUSIONS: The TFR is declining in GCC countries. The plausible causes include the inclination towards postponement of marriages and excessive costs of living. These trends and associations need to be evaluated by policymakers so that they identify priority areas for interventions, allocate resources and formulate developmental plans accordingly to ensure strategic progress of the region.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:为了(I)评估患病率,发病率,以及2021年严重牙周炎和无牙症的负担,以及(ii)预测2050年的发病率。
    方法:患病率,发病率,全球收集了2021年严重牙周炎和软骨病的残疾年份(YLDs),覆盖204个国家,七个超级区域,和21个地区来自2021年全球疾病负担(GBD)研究。患病率,发病率,使用以社会人口统计学指数为主要协变量的混合效应模型,预计到2050年由于牙周炎和牙本质症而导致的YLD。
    结果:2021年,超过10亿人受到严重牙周炎的影响(106695万人;95%UI:896.55-1234.84),全球年龄标准化患病率为12.50%(10.53-14.49)。南亚的患病率最高,为17.57%(14.73;20.14)。Edentulism影响了全球3.53亿人(300.60-416.20),导致年龄标准化患病率为4.11%(3.50;4.83)。在拉丁美洲和加勒比地区发现了最高的非端主义患病率,为7.39%(6.44;8.39)。到2050年,预计将有超过15亿人(44.32%)患有严重的牙周炎,超过6.6亿(+84.40%)无牙。同年,全球19.67%(13023万)的无牙人口将位于中国。严重牙周炎预计会上升一个位置,和文图主义九个位置,到2050年,全球影响YLD的最具影响力的4级疾病/病症之一。
    结论:严重牙周炎和无牙症仍然是2021年的主要公共卫生挑战,受影响的个体数量预计在未来几十年将显著增加。
    OBJECTIVE: To (i) assess the prevalence, incidence, and burden of severe periodontitis and edentulism in 2021, and (ii) forecast their rates in 2050.
    METHODS: Prevalence, incidence, and Years Lived with Disability (YLDs) for severe periodontitis and edentulism in 2021 were gathered globally, covering 204 countries, seven super regions, and 21 regions from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 study. Prevalence, incidence, and YLDs due to periodontitis and edentulism to 2050 were projected using mixed-effects models with the socio-demographic index as the main covariate.
    RESULTS: In 2021, over 1 billion people were affected by severe periodontitis (1066.95 million; 95% UI: 896.55-1234.84), with a global age-standardized prevalence of 12.50% (10.53-14.49). South Asia had the highest prevalence rate, at 17.57% (14.73; 20.14). Edentulism affected 353 million people globally (300.60-416.20), resulting in an age-standardized prevalence of 4.11% (3.50; 4.83). The highest edentulism prevalence was found in Latin America and the Caribbean, at 7.39% (6.44; 8.39). By 2050, more than 1.5 billion people (+44.32%) are projected to have severe periodontitis, and over 660 million (+84.40%) to be edentulous. In the same year, 19.67% (130.23 million) of the edentulous people worldwide will be located in China. Severe periodontitis is expected to move up one position, and edentulism nine positions, among the most impactful Level 4 diseases/conditions affecting YLDs worldwide by 2050.
    CONCLUSIONS: Severe periodontitis and edentulism remain major public health challenges in 2021, with the number of affected individuals projected to rise significantly in the coming decades.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在过去的半个世纪中,登革热病毒病的发病率在全球范围内有所增加,2019年和2023年报告的病例数最高。我们分析了气候,流行病学,和系统学数据来调查柬埔寨登革热二十年的驱动因素,一个研究不足的地方性环境。使用适合19年数据集的流行病学模型,我们首先证明,仅由气候驱动的传播不足以解释整个时间序列中的三种流行病。然后,我们使用小波分解来突出流行年份各省之间登革热周期中增强的年度和多年同步性,表明气候在空间和时间上均匀化动力学中的作用。假设报告的病例对应于有症状的继发感染,接下来,我们使用年龄结构化的催化模型来估计登革热感染随时间的下降力,这提高了柬埔寨报告病例的平均年龄。2019年流行病中>70岁老年人的报告病例最好解释,同时也允许老年患者多型免疫减弱和重复有症状的感染。我们通过对2019年至2022年之间进行测序的192种登革热病毒(DENV)基因组的系统发育分析来支持这项工作,该分析记录了DENV-2CosmopolitanGenotypes-II在柬埔寨的出现。这个谱系证明了整个地理区域的系统发育同质性,与入侵行为一致,并且与地方性DENV-1表现出的高系统发育多样性相反。最后,我们模拟一个年龄结构,登革热动力学的机制模型,以证明逃避先前存在的多型免疫的抗原独特谱系的扩展如何有效地再现我们数据中目睹的老年感染。
    The incidence of dengue virus disease has increased globally across the past half-century, with highest number of cases ever reported in 2019 and again in 2023. We analyzed climatological, epidemiological, and phylogenomic data to investigate drivers of two decades of dengue in Cambodia, an understudied endemic setting. Using epidemiological models fit to a 19-y dataset, we first demonstrate that climate-driven transmission alone is insufficient to explain three epidemics across the time series. We then use wavelet decomposition to highlight enhanced annual and multiannual synchronicity in dengue cycles between provinces in epidemic years, suggesting a role for climate in homogenizing dynamics across space and time. Assuming reported cases correspond to symptomatic secondary infections, we next use an age-structured catalytic model to estimate a declining force of infection for dengue through time, which elevates the mean age of reported cases in Cambodia. Reported cases in >70-y-old individuals in the 2019 epidemic are best explained when also allowing for waning multitypic immunity and repeat symptomatic infections in older patients. We support this work with phylogenetic analysis of 192 dengue virus (DENV) genomes that we sequenced between 2019 and 2022, which document emergence of DENV-2 Cosmopolitan Genotype-II into Cambodia. This lineage demonstrates phylogenetic homogeneity across wide geographic areas, consistent with invasion behavior and in contrast to high phylogenetic diversity exhibited by endemic DENV-1. Finally, we simulate an age-structured, mechanistic model of dengue dynamics to demonstrate how expansion of an antigenically distinct lineage that evades preexisting multitypic immunity effectively reproduces the older-age infections witnessed in our data.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    海鸟被吹捧为汞污染的优良生物指标。我们利用灰面海燕(Pterodromagouldi)羽毛来评估新西兰奥克兰地区成年(2020-2021)和雏鸡(2019-2021)繁殖的总汞(THg)浓度的年际差异。对于成年人来说,我们还将羽毛THg与鸟类年龄(3-37岁以上)和繁殖结果(即,非饲养员,鸡蛋失败了,小鸡饲养)记录在那个季节,即,2020年和2021年。雏鸡羽毛THg的年际差异与大量稳定同位素相匹配(δ13C,δ15N)以绘制成虫觅食行为对鸡羽毛THg值的影响。在调查的年份中,成年羽毛THg水平相似,即平均值±标准差38.2±12.8(2020),和39.5±14.7(2021)ugg-1(一些海鸟记录的最高THg值)。轻微的,但是随着年龄的增长,THg的积累显着减少,但是羽毛THg对育种结果没有显着影响。鸡羽THg浓度的年际差异为7.78±1.6(2019年),4.23±1.45(2020)和6.97±4.41(2021)μgg-1,(p<0.01);并与显着较低的δ13C值相关,即-17.2±0.4‰(2019年),-17.8±0.3‰(2020年)和-17.6±0.2‰(2021年)。这表明2020年雏鸡的较低羽毛THg值是由于更多的海洋,而不是货架边缘,那一年被小鸡吃掉的猎物。小鸡羽毛中的δ15N值在年份中保持一致,即15.2±1.2‰(2019年),15.2±0.2‰(2020年)和15.3‰(±0.4)。由于这些年际差异,我们建议使用灰面海燕小鸡监测成年人身上的汞污染。小鸡也受到毛利人社区的文化收获,提供伙伴关系机会,为毛利人社区和科学家创造互利的信息流。
    Seabirds have been touted as excellent bioindicators of mercury pollution. We utilised grey-faced petrel (Pterodroma gouldi) feathers to assess interannual differences in total mercury (THg) concentrations in adults (2020-2021) and chicks (2019-2021) breeding in the Auckland region of New Zealand. For adults, we also correlated feather THg with bird age (3-37+ years) and breeding outcome (i.e., Non breeder, Egg failed, Chick reared) recorded for that season i.e., 2020 and 2021. Interannual differences in chick feather THg were matched with bulk stable isotopes (δ13C, δ15N) to map the influence of adult foraging behaviour on chick feather THg values. Adult feather THg levels were similar across the years investigated i.e., mean ± S.D. 38.2 ± 12.8 (2020), and 39.5 ± 14.7 (2021) ug g-1 (some of the highest THg values recorded for seabirds). A slight, but significant decrease in THg accumulation was evident as age increased but feather THg had no significant influence on breeding outcome. Interannual differences in chick feather THg concentrations were 7.78 ± 1.6 (2019), 4.23 ± 1.45 (2020) and 6.97 ± 4.41 (2021) μg g-1, (p < 0.01); and correlated with a significantly lower δ13C value i.e., -17.2 ± 0.4 ‰ (2019), -17.8 ± 0.3 ‰ (2020) and -17.6 ± 0.2 ‰ (2021). This suggests that the lower feather THg values in 2020 chicks resulted from more oceanic, rather than shelf-edge, prey being consumed by chicks that year. Values of δ15N in chick feathers remained consistent among years i.e., 15.2 ± 1.2 ‰ (2019), 15.2 ± 0.2 ‰ (2020) and 15.3 ‰ (± 0.4). Due to these interannual differences, we recommend using grey-faced petrel chicks to monitor Hg pollution over adults. Chicks are also subject to cultural harvests by Māori communities, offering partnership opportunities to generate mutually beneficial information streams for Māori communities and scientists alike.
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