Trajectory

轨迹
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:重症哮喘患者易患肺功能下降(LFD),但可靠预测LFD加速的生物标志物尚未被完全识别.
    目的:在本研究中,我们探索了预定义LFD组中的计算机断层扫描(CT)成像特征,以确定与重度哮喘患者以前发生LFD相关的变量.
    方法:我们获得了102例重度哮喘患者的吸气和呼气CT图像,并得出了两个气道结构参数(壁厚[WT]和水力直径[Dh])和两个实质变量(功能性小气道疾病[fSAD]和肺气肿[Emph])。我们回顾性计算了1秒内用力呼气量的年度变化,并根据确定的值对参与者进行分组。四种成像指标,在LFD组之间比较了几种生物标志物的水平.
    结果:与肺功能变化最小或轻度下降的患者相比,LFD增强的重度哮喘患者的WT和Dh明显降低,调整吸烟状况后。相反,根据LFD,基于CT的Emph和fSAD百分比没有显着差异。此外,与其他患者相比,在LFD增强的重度哮喘患者中,呼出气一氧化氮(FeNO)水平和血液基质金属蛋白酶-9/TIMP金属肽酶抑制剂1的比值显著较高.
    结论:在严重哮喘患者中,FeNO增加的CT扫描中,较低的WT可能代表气道炎症增加,与LFD增强显著相关。因此,主动管理计划可能有助于减轻WT较低和FeNO较高的重度哮喘患者的LFD。
    BACKGROUND: Severe asthma patients are susceptible to lung function decline (LFD), but biomarkers that reliably predict an accelerated LFD have not been fully recognized.
    OBJECTIVE: In this study, we explored the computed tomography (CT) imaging features within pre-defined LFD groups to identify variables associated with previous LFD occurrences in severe asthma patients.
    METHODS: We obtained inspiratory and expiratory CT image of 102 severe asthma patients and derived two airway structural parameters (wall thickness [WT] and hydraulic diameter [Dh]) and two parenchymal variables (functional small airway disease [fSAD] and emphysema [Emph]). We retrospectively calculated the annual changes in forced expiratory volume in 1 second and grouped participants by their values determined. The four-imaging metrics, along with levels of several biomarkers were compared among LFD groups.
    RESULTS: Severe asthma patients with enhanced LFD exhibited significantly lower WT and smaller Dh compared to those with minimal change or slight decline in lung function, after an adjustment of smoking status. Conversely, CT-based percentages of Emph and fSAD did not significantly differ according to LFD. Furthermore, fractional exhaled nitric oxide (FeNO) level and the blood matrix metalloproteinase-9/TIMP metallopeptidase inhibitor 1 ratio were significantly higher in severe asthma patients with enhanced LFD compared to those in the others.
    CONCLUSIONS: Lower WT on CT scans with increased FeNO that may represent increased airway inflammation significantly correlated with enhanced LFD in severe asthma patients. Consequently, active management plans may help to attenuate LFD for severe asthma patients with lower WT and high FeNO.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究探讨了自闭症谱系中有孩子的父亲的心理健康之旅。对于这些父亲来说,随着时间的推移,人们对心理健康知之甚少。这项研究跨越了从4岁到14岁儿童的六个时间点,跟踪父亲的心理健康。这项研究有三个目的:(1)报告在10年儿童发展过程中父亲的心理困扰的估计;(2)随着时间的推移确定心理困扰的单独过程;(3)确定与这些课程相关的早期风险因素。这项研究使用了281名自闭症儿童父亲的数据,他们参加了澳大利亚儿童的纵向研究。使用统计方法,根据父亲在10年儿童发育过程中的心理困扰得分对父亲进行分组,结果显示,两组最好地解释了这些数据;这包括一组父亲,他们在儿童发育的10年里经历了低水平的心理困扰(84%),和另一组父亲在这段时间内经历了更高的心理困扰(16%)。进一步的分析表明,患有持续医疗状况且与伴侣的父母间冲突程度较高的父亲更有可能处于心理困扰加剧的人群中。这些发现表明,几乎六分之一的父亲在整个孩子的幼儿期和青春期早期处理持续的心理困扰。这项研究主张采取干预措施,重点是改善父亲的身体健康和夫妻关系,从长远来看可以积极影响父亲的心理健康。
    UNASSIGNED: This study explores the mental health journey of fathers with children on the autism spectrum. Little is known about mental health over time for these fathers. This research spans six-timepoints from when children were aged 4 to 14 years, to track fathers\' mental health. This study had three aims: (1) report estimates of fathers\' psychological distress across 10 years of child development; (2) identify separate courses of psychological distress over time; and (3) identify early risk factors associated with these courses. This study used data from 281 fathers of children on the autism spectrum who took part in the Longitudinal Study of Australian Children. Using a statistical method to group fathers based on their psychological distress scores over 10 years of child development, the results showed that two groups best explained the data; this included a group of fathers who experienced low levels of psychological distress over the 10 years of child development (84%), and another group of fathers who experienced heightened psychological distress across this time (16%). Further analysis showed that fathers who had an ongoing medical condition and higher levels of interparental conflict with their partners were more likely to be in the heightened psychological distress group. These findings show that almost one in six fathers deal with persistent psychological distress throughout their child\'s early childhood and into early adolescence. This study advocates for interventions focusing on improving fathers\' physical health and the couple relationship as ways to positively impact fathers\' mental health in the long run.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:本研究旨在探讨抑郁轨迹与无残疾生存(DFS)的关系。
    方法:这项前瞻性队列研究使用了中国健康与退休纵向研究的数据,2011-2015。使用流行病学研究中心抑郁量表-10评估抑郁症状。使用日常生活活动(ADL)和工具性ADL评估残疾。通过潜在混合模型识别和分类抑郁症状的轨迹。使用Logistic回归模型来检查抑郁轨迹与DFS之间的关联。
    结果:共包括8373名45岁及以上的参与者。我们确定了抑郁症状的四个不同轨迹:“没有抑郁症状”,\'减少抑郁症状\',\'增加抑郁症状\',和“持续性抑郁症状”。与无抑郁症状轨迹的参与者相比,那些抑郁症状逐渐减少的人,增加的抑郁症状和持续的抑郁症状的轨迹有残疾或死亡的风险增加,多重调整风险比(95%置信区间)为1.75(1.45-2.12),2.05(1.77-2.38)和3.50(2.77-4.42)。
    结论:我们的研究表明,在中国中老年人中,有抑郁症状轨迹的个体残疾或死亡的风险增加.我们的发现强调了早期预防的重要性,在临床护理中识别和干预抑郁症,以促进健康老龄化。
    BACKGROUND: This study aims to examine the association of depressive trajectories with disability-free-survival (DFS).
    METHODS: This prospective cohort study used data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study, 2011-2015. Depressive symptoms were assessed using the Centre for Epidemiology Studies Depression Scale-10. Disability was assessed using activities of daily living (ADLs) and instrumental ADLs. Trajectories of depressive symptoms were identified and classified by latent mixture modelling. Logistic regression models were used to examine the association between depressive trajectories and DFS.
    RESULTS: A total of 8373 participants aged 45 years and older were included. We identified four distinct trajectories of depressive symptoms: \'no depressive symptoms\', \'decreasing depressive symptoms\', \'increasing depressive symptoms\', and \'persistent depressive symptoms\'. Compared to participants in the no depressive symptom trajectory, those in the decreasing depressive symptoms, increasing depressive symptoms and persistent depressive symptoms trajectories had an increased risk of disability or mortality, with multiple-adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of 1.75 (1.45-2.12), 2.05 (1.77-2.38) and 3.50 (2.77-4.42).
    CONCLUSIONS: Our study shows that among middle-aged and older Chinese adults, individuals with a trajectory of depressive symptoms are at increased risk of disability or mortality. Our findings underscore the importance of early prevention, identification and intervention of depression in clinical care to promote healthy ageing.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:脓毒症是一种异质性综合征。本研究旨在使用血浆皮质醇轨迹识别新的脓毒症子表型。
    方法:本回顾性研究纳入2020年3月至2022年7月复旦大学附属中山医院重症监护室收治的脓毒症患者。使用基于组的皮质醇轨迹模型将脓毒症患者分类为不同的子表型。临床特点,生物标志物,和结果在亚表型之间进行比较。
    结果:共纳入258例脓毒症患者,其中186人是男性。患者分为两个轨迹组:皮质醇较低组(n=217)表现出持续较低且缓慢下降的皮质醇水平,而较高皮质醇组(n=41)的水平相对较高。28天死亡率(65.9%vs.16.1%,P<0.001)和90天死亡率(65.9%vs.19.8%,P<0.001)高皮质醇组明显高于低皮质醇组。多变量Cox回归分析显示轨迹子表型(HR=5.292;95%CI2.218-12.626;P<0.001),APACHEII(HR=1.109;95%CI1.030-1.193;P=0.006),SOFA(HR=1.161;95%CI1.045-1.291;P=0.006),和IL-1β(HR=1.001;95%CI1.000-1.002;P=0.007)是28天死亡率的独立危险因素。此外,轨迹子表型(HR=4.571;95%CI1.980-10.551;P<0.001),APACHEII(HR=1.108;95%CI1.043-1.177;P=0.001),SOFA(HR=1.270;95%CI1.130-1.428;P<0.001),和IL-1β(HR=1.001;95%CI1.000-1.001;P=0.015)也是90天死亡率的独立危险因素。
    结论:本研究在脓毒症患者中发现了两种新的皮质醇轨迹亚型。轨迹与死亡率有关,为脓毒症分类提供新的见解。
    BACKGROUND: Sepsis is a heterogeneous syndrome. This study aimed to identify new sepsis sub-phenotypes using plasma cortisol trajectory.
    METHODS: This retrospective study included patients with sepsis admitted to the intensive care unit of Zhongshan Hospital Fudan University between March 2020 and July 2022. A group-based cortisol trajectory model was used to classify septic patients into different sub-phenotypes. The clinical characteristics, biomarkers, and outcomes were compared between sub-phenotypes.
    RESULTS: A total of 258 patients with sepsis were included, of whom 186 were male. Patients were divided into two trajectory groups: the lower-cortisol group (n = 217) exhibited consistently low and slowly declining cortisol levels, while the higher-cortisol group (n = 41) showed relatively higher levels in comparison. The 28-day mortality (65.9% vs.16.1%, P < 0.001) and 90-day mortality (65.9% vs. 19.8%, P < 0.001) of the higher-cortisol group were significantly higher than the lower-cortisol group. Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that the trajectory sub-phenotype (HR = 5.292; 95% CI 2.218-12.626; P < 0.001), APACHE II (HR = 1.109; 95% CI 1.030-1.193; P = 0.006), SOFA (HR = 1.161; 95% CI 1.045-1.291; P = 0.006), and IL-1β (HR = 1.001; 95% CI 1.000-1.002; P = 0.007) were independent risk factors for 28-day mortality. Besides, the trajectory sub-phenotype (HR = 4.571; 95% CI 1.980-10.551; P < 0.001), APACHE II (HR = 1.108; 95% CI 1.043-1.177; P = 0.001), SOFA (HR = 1.270; 95% CI 1.130-1.428; P < 0.001), and IL-1β (HR = 1.001; 95% CI 1.000-1.001; P = 0.015) were also independent risk factors for 90-day mortality.
    CONCLUSIONS: This study identified two novel cortisol trajectory sub-phenotypes in patients with sepsis. The trajectories were associated with mortality, providing new insights into sepsis classification.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的/背景妊娠期糖尿病是一种常见的妊娠并发症,影响全球约14%的妊娠,并可能导致不良的孕产妇和新生儿结局。本研究旨在调查妊娠期糖尿病患者的妊娠期体重增加轨迹,并为制定有效的体重管理策略提供信息。方法回顾性分析1421例妊娠期糖尿病孕妇的人口学和产前检查资料。定量数据比较采用卡方检验,费希尔的精确检验,t检验,和单向方差分析。采用基于组的轨迹模型来识别妊娠糖尿病患者的妊娠体重增加轨迹。结果孕前体重指数和妊娠期糖尿病类型对妊娠期体重增加有显著影响(p<0.05)。基于组的轨迹建模确定了三种不同的妊娠体重增加轨迹。妊娠糖尿病患者在整个妊娠期间表现出持续的体重增加,而怀孕前超重或肥胖的女性更有可能遵循低速生长轨迹。快速增长轨迹组的女性更倾向于剖腹产,更有可能生下巨大的婴儿。结论我们的研究强调了识别和区分孕妇不同妊娠期体重增加轨迹的重要性。从而确定高危人群,这对于改善母亲和新生儿的健康状况至关重要。
    Aims/Background Gestational diabetes mellitus is a common pregnancy complication that affects approximately 14% of pregnancies worldwide and can lead to adverse maternal and neonatal outcomes. This study aimed to investigate the trajectories of gestational weight gain among gestational diabetes mellitus patients and to inform the development of effective weight management strategies. Methods Demographic and antenatal examination data from 1421 pregnant women diagnosed with gestational diabetes mellitus were retrospectively analysed. Quantitative data comparisons were performed using Chi-square tests, Fisher\'s exact test, t-tests, and one-way analysis of variance. Group-based trajectory modelling was employed to identify the trajectories of gestational weight gain among patients with gestational diabetes mellitus. Results This study revealed that pre-pregnancy body mass index and types of gestational diabetes mellitus significantly influence gestational weight gain (p < 0.05). Group-based trajectory modelling identified three distinct gestational weight gain trajectories. Patients with gestational diabetes mellitus demonstrated a continuous weight gain throughout pregnancy, while women who were overweight or obese before pregnancy were more likely to follow a low-speed growth trajectory. Women in the rapid growth trajectory group were more inclined to deliver by caesarean section and were more likely to give birth to macrosomic infants. Conclusion Our research underscores the importance of identifying and distinguishing between different gestational weight gain trajectories in pregnant women, thereby identifying high-risk groups, which is crucial for improving the health conditions of both mothers and newborns.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这篇综述系统地研究了过去十年中有关为立体定向神经外科应用量身定制的多种路径规划算法的最新研究。我们的全面调查涉及彻底搜索GoogleScholar的学术论文,PubMed,IEEEXplore,还有Scopus,利用严格的纳入和排除标准。筛选和选择过程是由一个由三名医学生组成的多学科小组精心进行的,具有路径规划技术和医疗机器人专业知识的机器人专家,和董事会认证的神经外科医生。对每篇入选的论文进行了详细的回顾,本综述对研究结果进行了综合和报道.本文围绕三种不同类型的干预工具进行组织:直针,可操纵针头,和同心管机器人。我们提供了适用于单目标和多目标场景的各种路径规划算法的深入分析。多目标计划技术仅针对直工具进行讨论,因为尚无有关可操纵针和同心管机器人的多目标计划的公开工作。此外,我们讨论使用的成像模式,路径规划过程中考虑的关键解剖结构,以及将其转化为临床人体研究的研究现状。据我们所知,作为这篇系统综述的结论,这是过去十年中发表的第一篇综述论文,报告了针对不同类型的微创神经外科手术工具的各种路径规划技术。此外,这项审查概述了未来的趋势,并确定了该领域现有的技术差距。通过强调这些方面,我们的目标是提供一个全面的概述,可以指导未来的研究和发展的路径规划的立体定向神经外科,最终有助于推进更安全、更有效的神经外科手术。
    This review systematically examines the recent research from the past decade on diverse path-planning algorithms tailored for stereotactic neurosurgery applications. Our comprehensive investigation involved a thorough search of scholarly papers from Google Scholar, PubMed, IEEE Xplore, and Scopus, utilizing stringent inclusion and exclusion criteria. The screening and selection process was meticulously conducted by a multidisciplinary team comprising three medical students, robotic experts with specialized knowledge in path-planning techniques and medical robotics, and a board-certified neurosurgeon. Each selected paper was reviewed in detail, and the findings were synthesized and reported in this review. The paper is organized around three different types of intervention tools: straight needles, steerable needles, and concentric tube robots. We provide an in-depth analysis of various path-planning algorithms applicable to both single and multi-target scenarios. Multi-target planning techniques are only discussed for straight tools as there is no published work on multi-target planning for steerable needles and concentric tube robots. Additionally, we discuss the imaging modalities employed, the critical anatomical structures considered during path planning, and the current status of research regarding its translation to clinical human studies. To the best of our knowledge and as a conclusion from this systematic review, this is the first review paper published in the last decade that reports various path-planning techniques for different types of tools for minimally invasive neurosurgical applications. Furthermore, this review outlines future trends and identifies existing technology gaps within the field. By highlighting these aspects, we aim to provide a comprehensive overview that can guide future research and development in path planning for stereotactic neurosurgery, ultimately contributing to the advancement of safer and more effective neurosurgical procedures.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:抑郁症在接受化疗的肺癌患者中普遍存在,疲劳-疼痛-失眠的症状群可能会影响他们的抑郁。识别具有不同抑郁轨迹的患者的特征可以帮助开发更有针对性的干预措施。这项研究旨在确定抑郁症和疲劳-疼痛-失眠症状群的轨迹,并探讨与抑郁轨迹类别相关的预测因素。
    方法:在这项纵向研究中,187名正在接受化疗的肺癌患者被招募并在第一次(T1)进行评估,秒(T2),和第四(T3)个月,使用患者健康问卷-9(PHQ-9),简短疼痛清单(BPI),简要疲劳清单(BFI),雅典失眠量表(AIS)。使用生长混合模型(GMM)和潜在类别分析(LCA)来识别疲劳-疼痛-失眠症状群和抑郁症的不同轨迹。采用二元logistic回归分析不同抑郁轨迹的预测因素。
    结果:GMM确定了两个抑郁轨迹:高抑郁下降轨迹(40.64%)和低抑郁上升轨迹(59.36%)。LCA显示,48.66%的患者可能是高症状群轨迹的成员。二元逻辑回归分析表明,有饮酒史,更高的症状群负担,失业,较低的月收入预示着抑郁症的高下降轨迹。
    结论:肺癌化疗患者的抑郁和疲劳-疼痛-失眠症状群表现出两种不同的轨迹。在处理这些患者的抑郁症时,建议加强症状管理,特别注意有饮酒史的人,失业,和较低的月收入。
    BACKGROUND: Depression is prevalent among lung cancer patients undergoing chemotherapy, and the symptom cluster of fatigue-pain-insomnia may influence their depression. Identifying characteristics of patients with different depression trajectories can aid in developing more targeted interventions. This study aimed to identify the trajectories of depression and the fatigue-pain-insomnia symptom cluster, and to explore the predictive factors associated with the categories of depression trajectories.
    METHODS: In this longitudinal study, 187 lung cancer patients who were undergoing chemotherapy were recruited and assessed at the first (T1), second(T2), and fourth(T3) months using the Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9), the Brief Pain Inventory (BPI), the Brief Fatigue Inventory (BFI), and the Athens Insomnia Scale (AIS). Growth Mixture Model (GMM) and Latent Class Analysis (LCA) were used to identify the different trajectories of the fatigue-pain-insomnia symptom cluster and depression. Binary logistic regression was utilized to analyze the predictive factors of different depressive trajectories.
    RESULTS: GMM identified two depressive trajectories: a high decreasing depression trajectory (40.64%) and a low increasing depression trajectory (59.36%). LCA showed that 48.66% of patients were likely members of the high symptom cluster trajectory. Binary logistic regression analysis indicated that having a history of alcohol consumption, a higher symptom cluster burden, unemployed, and a lower monthly income predicted a high decreasing depression trajectory.
    CONCLUSIONS: Depression and fatigue-pain-insomnia symptom cluster in lung cancer chemotherapy patients exhibited two distinct trajectories. When managing depression in these patients, it is recommended to strengthen symptom management and pay particular attention to individuals with a history of alcohol consumption, unemployed, and a lower monthly income.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:在美国,成年人中使用多物质一直是一个公共卫生问题,并与不良后果有关。这项研究旨在确定多物质使用的纵向轨迹,并测试内在化和外在化问题是否可以预测它。
    方法:18岁及以上成年人(N=15076)的数据来自烟草与健康研究的Waves1-5人群评估(2013-2019)。进行基于组的轨迹建模以识别多物质使用的轨迹。检查的物质包括使用香烟,电子烟,酒精过量,大麻,止痛药,和可卡因在过去的30天里从所有的波。进行了加权多项逻辑回归,以调查内在化和外在化问题与多物质使用轨迹之间的关联。控制人口变量。
    结果:确定了五个轨迹组:(1)没有到最小的多物质使用风险(45.6%);(2)多物质使用-低风险(10.7%);(3)香烟领先的多物质使用-高风险(23.5%);(4)香烟-大麻共同领先的多物质使用-高风险(12.3%);(5)与第1组相比,较高的内在化问题预测了第3组[相对风险比(RRR)范围:1.07-1.17]和第4组(RRR范围:1.04-1.21)的成员资格。与第1组相比,更高的外部化问题预测了第5组的成员资格(RRR范围:1.01-1.10)。
    结论:预防工作应考虑内在化问题和高风险多物质使用的相关轨迹(例如,香烟主导和香烟大麻共同主导)以及高风险多物质使用的外部化问题和相关轨迹(例如,大麻领先),在设计干预措施以防止多物质使用时。
    OBJECTIVE: Polysubstance use among adults has been a public health concern in the U.S. and is associated with adverse consequences. This study aimed to identify the longitudinal trajectory of polysubstance use and test whether internalizing and externalizing problems predict it.
    METHODS: Data of adults aged 18 and older (N = 15076) were extracted from the Waves 1-5 Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health Study (2013-2019). Group-Based Trajectory Modeling was performed to identify the trajectory of polysubstance use. Examined substances included use of cigarettes, e-cigarettes, excessive alcohol, cannabis, painkillers, and cocaine in past 30 days from all waves. Weighted multinomial logistic regressions were conducted to investigate the associations between internalizing and externalizing problems and the trajectory of polysubstance use, controlling for demographic variables.
    RESULTS: Five trajectory groups were identified: (1) No to minimal polysubstance use risk (45.6 %); (2) Polysubstance use-low risk (10.7 %); (3) Cigarette-leading polysubstance use-high risk (23.5 %); (4) Cigarette-cannabis co-leading polysubstance use-high risk (12.3 %); and (5) Cannabis-leading polysubstance use-high risk (7.8 %). Compared with Group 1, higher internalizing problems predicted the membership of Group 3 [Relative risk ratio (RRR) range: 1.07-1.17] and Group 4 (RRR range: 1.04-1.21). Compared with Group 1, higher externalizing problems predicted the membership of Group 5 (RRR range: 1.01-1.10).
    CONCLUSIONS: Prevention efforts should consider internalizing problems and associated trajectories of high-risk polysubstance use (e.g., cigarette-leading and cigarette-cannabis co-leading) as well as externalizing problems and associated trajectories of high-risk polysubstance use (e.g., cannabis-leading), when designing interventions to prevent polysubstance use.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    肾移植(KT)患者的最佳目标血压尚不清楚。我们纳入了KNOW-KT的808名KT患者作为发现集,和来自KOTRY的1,294名KT患者作为验证集。主要暴露是KT后1年的基线收缩压(SBP)和随时间变化的SBP。患者分为五组:SBP<110;110-119;120-129;130-139;和≥140mmHg。SBP轨迹分为递减,稳定,越来越多的群体。主要结果是eGFR降低≥50%的复合肾脏结局或死亡审查的移植物丢失。与110-119mmHg组相比,两者都是最低的(调整后的危险比[AHR],2.43)和最高SBP(AHR,2.25)与较高的复合肾脏结局风险相关。在时变模型中,也是最低的(AHR,3.02)和最高SBP(AHR,3.60)与较高的风险相关。在轨迹模型中,与稳定的SBP轨迹相比,增加的SBP轨迹与更高的风险相关(AHR,2.26).这种关联在验证集中是一致的。总之,SBP≥140mmHg和SBP轨迹增加与KT患者同种异体移植功能障碍和失败的风险较高相关。
    The optimal target blood pressure for kidney transplant (KT) patients remains unclear. We included 808 KT patients from the KNOW-KT as a discovery set, and 1,294 KT patients from the KOTRY as a validation set. The main exposures were baseline systolic blood pressure (SBP) at 1 year after KT and time-varying SBP. Patients were classified into five groups: SBP <110; 110-119; 120-129; 130-139; and ≥140 mmHg. SBP trajectories were classified into decreasing, stable, and increasing groups. Primary outcome was composite kidney outcome of ≥50% decrease in eGFR or death-censored graft loss. Compared with the 110-119 mmHg group, both the lowest (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 2.43) and the highest SBP (aHR, 2.25) were associated with a higher risk of composite kidney outcome. In time-varying model, also the lowest (aHR, 3.02) and the highest SBP (aHR, 3.60) were associated with a higher risk. In the trajectory model, an increasing SBP trajectory was associated with a higher risk than a stable SBP trajectory (aHR, 2.26). This associations were consistent in the validation set. In conclusion, SBP ≥140 mmHg and an increasing SBP trajectory were associated with a higher risk of allograft dysfunction and failure in KT patients.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    尽管慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)或缺血性心脏病(IHD)与生活方式因素或空气污染因素(下文称为LAFs)之间的关联已确立,目前尚不清楚LAFs对IHD和COPD多发病轨迹的影响(下文称为ICM).因此,这项研究调查了LAFs对ICM从健康到IHD或COPD的轨迹的影响,ICM,全因死亡。
    一组339,213名来自英国生物银行的37-73岁无IHD和COPD的参与者被纳入。多状态模型用于分析高危因素的影响,包括当前吸烟或因疾病或医生建议而戒烟,目前过度饮酒,缺乏身体活动,不健康的体形,以及ICM轨迹上空气动力学直径≤2.5μm(PM2.5)的颗粒物污染过多。
    在13.74年的中位随访期间,46,398名参与者患有IHD或COPD(以下称为IOC),3949开发的ICM,35,691人死于任何原因。所有五个高风险因素在这些转变中起着至关重要但不同的作用。每个单因素增加的风险比(95%置信区间)为1.29(1.27-1.3),1.38(1.33-1.44),和1.69(1.56-1.84)从基线过渡到国际奥委会,从国际奥委会到ICM,从基线到ICM和1.19(1.17-1.21),1.18(1.15-1.21),从基线到全因死亡的死亡风险为1.12(1.05-1.19),从国际奥委会到全因死亡,从ICM到全因死亡,分别。
    我们的研究表明,与发病结果相比,LAFs对发病结果的影响更大。这些发现为制定管理ICM轨迹的策略提供了证据。
    UNASSIGNED: Although associations between chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) or ischaemic heart disease (IHD) and lifestyle factors or air pollution factors (referred as LAFs below) are well-established, it is unclear the influences of LAFs on the trajectory of IHD and COPD multimorbidity (referred as ICM below). Therefore, this study investigated the influences of LAFs on the trajectory of ICM from healthy to IHD or COPD, to ICM, and to all-cause death.
    UNASSIGNED: A cohort of 339,213 participants from the UK Biobank aged 37-73 who were free of IHD and COPD were included. A multi-state model was used to analyse the influences of high-risk factors including current smoking or quitting due to illness or physician\'s advice, current excessive alcohol drinking, physical inactivity, unhealthy body shape, and excessive air pollution with particulates matter with an aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5 μm (PM2.5) on ICM trajectory.
    UNASSIGNED: During a median follow-up of 13.74 years, 46,398 participants developed IHD or COPD (referred as IOC below), 3949 developed ICM, and 35,691 died from any cause. All five high-risk factors played crucial but different roles in these transitions. The hazard ratios (95 % confidence intervals) per one-factor increase were 1.29 (1.27-1.3), 1.38 (1.33-1.44), and 1.69 (1.56-1.84) for transitions from baseline to IOC, from IOC to ICM, and from baseline to ICM and 1.19 (1.17-1.21), 1.18 (1.15-1.21), and 1.12 (1.05-1.19) for mortality risk from baseline to all-cause death, from IOC to all-cause death, and from ICM to all-cause death, respectively.
    UNASSIGNED: Our study revealed that LAFs have a stronger impact on morbidity outcomes than on morbidity outcomes. These findings provide evidence to develop strategies for managing the trajectory of ICM.
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