{Reference Type}: Journal Article
{Title}: On the early detecting of the COVID-19 outbreak.
{Author}: Aba Oud M;Almuqrin M;
{Journal}: J Infect Dev Ctries
{Volume}: 15
{Issue}: 11
{Year}: 11 2021 30
{Factor}: 2.552
{DOI}: 10.3855/jidc.13914
{Abstract}: This paper aims to measure the performance of early detection methods, which are usually used for infectious diseases.<BR>By using real data of confirmed Coronavirus cases from the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Italy, the moving epidemic method (MEM) and the moving average cumulative sums (Mov. Avg Cusum) methods are used in our simulation study.<BR>Our results suggested that the CUSUM method outperforms the MEM in detecting the start of the Coronavirus outbreak.