%0 Journal Article %T GFR decline predicts total mortality and mediates the effect of tryptophan metabolism on death risk in type 2 diabetes. %A Lamacchia O %A Menzaghi C %A Copetti M %A Mastroianno M %A Corsano C %A Prehn C %A Adamski J %A Fontana A %A Trischitta V %A De Cosmo S %J J Clin Endocrinol Metab %V 0 %N 0 %D 2024 Aug 13 %M 39136240 %F 6.134 %R 10.1210/clinem/dgae551 %X BACKGROUND: The independent role of glomerular filtration rate (GFR) decline in shaping the risk of mortality in people with type 2 diabetes has only been partially addressed.
OBJECTIVE: The objective of the study was twofold: i) to investigate the association between all-cause mortality and eGFR changes over time; ii) to understand whether renal dysfunction mediates the effect of tryptophan metabolism on death risk.
METHODS: Prospective study with an average follow-up of 14.8 years.
METHODS: Research Hospital.
METHODS: The aggregate Gargano Mortality Study included 962 patients with type 2 diabetes who had at least three eGFR recordings and at least 1.5 years of follow-up.
METHODS: This was an observational study, with no intervention.
METHODS: Rate of all-cause mortality.
RESULTS: Age and sex adjusted annual incident rate of mortality was 2.75 events per 100 person-years. The median annual rate of decline of eGFR was 1.3 ml/min per 1.73 m2 per year (range -3.7; 7.8). The decline of kidney function was strongly and independently associated with the risk of death. Serum kynurenine-to-tryptophan ratio (KTR) was associated with both eGFR decline and all-cause mortality. Causal mediation analysis showed that 24.3% of the association between KTR and mortality was mediated by eGFR decline.
CONCLUSIONS: In patients with type 2 diabetes, eGFR decline is independently associated with the risk of all-cause mortality and mediates a significant proportion of the association between tryptophan metabolism and death.