%0 Journal Article %T External validation of the PE-SARD bleeding score for early major bleeding in patients with acute pulmonary embolism: From the COMMAND VTE Registry-2. %A Nishimoto Y %A Yamashita Y %A Morimoto T %A Chatani R %A Kaneda K %A Ikeda N %A Kobayashi Y %A Ikeda S %A Kim K %A Inoko M %A Takase T %A Tsuji S %A Oi M %A Takada T %A Otsui K %A Sakamoto J %A Ogihara Y %A Inoue T %A Usami S %A Chen PM %A Togi K %A Koitabashi N %A Hiramori S %A Doi K %A Mabuchi H %A Tsuyuki Y %A Murata K %A Takabayashi K %A Nakai H %A Sueta D %A Shioyama W %A Dohke T %A Nishikawa R %A Sato Y %A Watanabe T %A Yamada T %A Fukunami M %A Kimura T %A %J J Thromb Haemost %V 0 %N 0 %D 2024 Jun 27 %M 38944241 %F 16.036 %R 10.1016/j.jtha.2024.06.011 %X BACKGROUND: There is no established risk score for anticoagulant-related bleeding during the acute phase in patients with pulmonary embolism (PE). The Syncope, Anemia, Renal Dysfunction (PE-SARD) bleeding score was developed to predict early major bleeding, but has not yet been fully externally validated.
OBJECTIVE: To externally validate the PE-SARD bleeding score.
METHODS: Using the COMMAND VTE Registry-2 database, which enrolled 5197 consecutive acute symptomatic venous thromboembolism patients among 31 centers in Japan between January 2015 and August 2020, we identified acute PE patients. We divided those into 3 groups by the score: high-risk (>2.5 points), intermediate-risk (1-2.5 points), and low-risk (0 points). The discriminating and calibration performances of the score for 30-day major bleeding were assessed. Subgroup analyses based on active cancer were also performed.
RESULTS: Of 2781 eligible patients, the high-risk group accounted for 557 patients (20%), intermediate-risk group for 1412 (51%), and low-risk group for 812 (29%). Major bleeding occurred in 121 patients within 30 days. The cumulative 30-day incidence of major bleeding substantially increased in the higher risk categories by the score (high-risk group: 8.2% [95%CI, 5.9%-10.5%], intermediate-risk group: 4.6% [95%CI, 3.5%-5.7%], and low-risk group: 1.8% [95%CI, 0.8%-2.7%]). The discriminating power of the score was modest with a C-statistic of 0.65 (95%CI, 0.61-0.70) with a good calibration performance with a score of <4 points except for in active cancer patients.
CONCLUSIONS: The PE-SARD bleeding score had a modest discriminating performance with a limited calibration performance in acute PE patients without active cancer.