%0 Journal Article %T Development and validation of a biomarker index for HCC treatment response. %A Liang J %A Li PY %A Norman J %A Lauzon M %A Yeo YH %A Trivedi H %A Ayoub WS %A Kuo A %A Friedman ML %A Sankar K %A Gong J %A Osipov A %A Hendifar A %A Todo T %A Kim I %A Voidonikolas G %A Brennan TV %A Wisel SA %A Steggarda J %A Kosari K %A Saouaf R %A Nissen N %A Yao F %A Mehta N %A Yang JD %J Hepatol Commun %V 8 %N 7 %D 2024 Jul 1 %M 38896084 %F 5.701 %R 10.1097/HC9.0000000000000466 %X BACKGROUND: Serum AFP-L3%, AFP, and DCP are useful biomarkers for HCC detection, but their utility in assessing treatment response remains unknown. We aim to evaluate the accuracy of a biomarker model in the detection of posttreatment viable tumors.
METHODS: For model derivation, recipients with HCC undergoing liver transplant from 2018 to 2022 who had biomarkers collected within 3 months before transplant were included. We developed a generalized linear model for detecting posttreatment viable tumors with the 3 biomarkers as covariates, which we termed the "LAD Score." An independent cohort of 117 patients with HCC was used for external validation.
RESULTS: Among 205 recipients of transplant, 70.2% had evidence of viable tumor on explant. The median LAD score was higher among patients with viable versus nonviable tumors (1.06 vs. 0.465, p < 0.001). The LAD score had a sensitivity of 55.6% and a specificity of 85.1% at the cutoff of 0.927, which was more accurate than imaging for detecting posttreatment viable tumors (AUROC 0.736 vs. 0.643, respectively; p = 0.045). The superior performance of the LAD score over imaging is primarily driven by its greater accuracy in detecting tumors <2 cm in diameter (AUROC of the LAD score 0.721 vs. imaging 0.595, p = 0.02). In the validation data set, the LAD score had an AUROC of 0.832 (95% CI: 0.753, 0.911) with a sensitivity of 72.5% and a specificity of 89.4% at the cutoff of 0.927.
CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest the utility of LAD score in treatment response assessment after locoregional therapy for HCC, particularly in detecting small tumors. A larger prospective study is in progress to validate its accuracy and evaluate its performance in recurrence monitoring.