%0 Journal Article
%T Correlation between mumps and meteorological factors in Xiamen City, China: A modelling study.
%A Huang JF
%A Zhao ZY
%A Lu WK
%A Rui J
%A Deng B
%A Liu WK
%A Yang TL
%A Li ZY
%A Li PH
%A Liu C
%A Luo L
%A Zhao B
%A Wang YF
%A Li Q
%A Wang MZ
%A Chen T
%J Infect Dis Model
%V 7
%N 2
%D Jun 2022
%M 35573860
暂无%R 10.1016/j.idm.2022.04.004
%X <B>UNASSIGNED: </B>Mumps is a seasonal infectious disease, always occurring in winter and spring. In this study, we aim to analyze its epidemiological characteristics, transmissibility, and its correlation with meteorological variables.<BR><B>UNASSIGNED: </B>A seasonal Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious/Asymptomatic-Recovered model and a next-generation matrix method were applied to estimate the time-dependent reproduction number (R t ).<BR><B>UNASSIGNED: </B>The seasonal double peak of annual incidence was mainly in May to July and November to December. There was high transmission at the median of R t  = 1.091 (ranged: 0 to 4.393). R t was seasonally distributed mainly from February to April and from September to November. Correlations were found between temperature (Pearson correlation coefficient [r] ranged: from 0.101 to 0.115), average relative humidity (r = 0.070), average local pressure (r = -0.066), and the number of new cases. In addition, average local pressure (r = 0.188), average wind speed (r = 0.111), air temperature (r ranged: -0.128 to -0.150), average relative humidity (r = -0.203) and sunshine duration (r = -0.075) were all correlated with R t .<BR><B>UNASSIGNED: </B>A relatively high level of transmissibility has been found in Xiamen City, leading to a continuous epidemic of mumps. Meteorological factors, especially air temperature and relative humidity, may be more closely associated with mumps than other factors.