%0 Journal Article
%T Quantitative targets in DND and ICPD-PA: the prospects for West Africa.
%J Afr Popul Dev Bull
%V 0
%N 0
%D Jun-Jul 1999
%M 12349457
暂无%X This article presents an overview of the population estimates and projections of the UN for total fertility rates (TFRs), contraceptive prevalence rates, infant mortality rates (IMRs), and life expectancy at birth (LEAB) in West Africa.  Countries with a good potential to reach a TFR of 4 children or less within 10-15 years are Cote d'Ivoire, Ghana, Nigeria, and perhaps Gambia and Guinea, while the TFRs of countries such as Niger and Mali will remain above 5 in the coming decade.  Low contraceptive prevalence is one of the reasons behind the slow progress in attaining low fertility levels in the subregion.  When basing the data on this indicator, it appears that only Ghana and Cape Verde will attain the target of 20% by the year 2000 and 40% by the year 2010. Moreover, IMRs will continue to decline, but none of the West African countries will reach the quantitative objectives set in the Dakar/Ngor Declaration (DND) and in the International Conference on Population and Development Programme of Action (ICPD-PA).  Similarly, considerable improvements will be seen in the LEAB during the next decade, but, with the exception of Cape Verde and Ghana, none of the other countries are expected to come close to the goals set in the DND and ICPD-PA.