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Abstract：
The circular economy (CE) is reasoned to organize complex systems supporting sustainable resilience by distinguishing between waste materials and economic growth. This is crucial to the electronic waste (e-waste) industry of developed countries, and e-waste operation management has become their top priority because e-waste contains toxic materials and valuable sources of elements. In the UK, although London Metropolitan city boasts an ambitious sustainable resilience target underlying the context of CE, practical implementation has yet to be feasible, with few investigations detailing if and how the existing target implications enable industrial and social-ecological sectors to continue their performance functionalities in the face of undesired disruptions. In this paper, a dynamic Bayesian Network (dynamic BN) approach is developed to address a range of potential risks. The existing London e-waste operation management is considered as an application of study for sustainable resilience development. Through the utilization of dynamic BN, a comprehensive analysis yields a Resilience Index (RI) of 0.5424, coupled with a StdDev of 0.01350. These metrics offer a profound insight into the intricate workings of a sustainable system and its capacity to swiftly rebound from unexpected shocks and disturbances. This newfound understanding equips policymakers with the knowledge needed to navigate the complexities of sustainable e-waste management effectively. The implications drawn from these in-depth analyses furnish policymakers with invaluable information, enabling them to make judicious decisions that advance the cause of sustainable e-waste management. The findings underscore that the absorptive capacity of a sustainable and resilient e-waste operation management system stands as the foremost defense mechanism against unforeseen challenges. Furthermore, it becomes evident that two pivotal factors, namely \"diversifying the supply chain\" and \"enhancing supply chain transparency,\" play pivotal roles in augmenting the sustainability and resilience of e-waste operation management within the context of London\'s ambitious sustainability targets. These factors are instrumental in steering the trajectory of e-waste management towards a more sustainable and resilient future, aligning with London\'s aspirations for a greener and more eco-conscious future.
摘要：
循环经济（CE）的理由是通过区分废料和经济增长来组织支持可持续复原力的复杂系统。这对发达国家的电子废弃物(e-waste)行业至关重要,电子废物运营管理已成为他们的首要任务，因为电子废物含有有毒物质和宝贵的元素来源。在英国,尽管伦敦大都会城市在CE的背景下拥有雄心勃勃的可持续复原力目标，实际实施尚未可行，很少有调查详细说明现有的目标影响是否以及如何使工业和社会生态部门在不希望的中断面前继续其绩效功能。在本文中,开发了一种动态贝叶斯网络(动态BN)方法来解决一系列潜在风险。现有的伦敦电子废物运营管理被认为是可持续韧性发展研究的应用。通过利用动态BN，综合分析得出弹性指数（RI）为0.5424，StdDev为0.01350。这些指标为可持续系统的复杂运作及其从意外冲击和干扰中迅速反弹的能力提供了深刻的见解。这种新发现的理解为政策制定者提供了有效应对可持续电子废物管理复杂性所需的知识。从这些深入分析中得出的含义为决策者提供了宝贵的信息，使他们能够做出明智的决定，推进可持续电子废物管理的事业。研究结果强调，可持续和有弹性的电子废物运营管理系统的吸收能力是应对不可预见挑战的首要防御机制。此外，很明显，两个关键因素，即“供应链多元化”和“提高供应链透明度”，“在伦敦雄心勃勃的可持续发展目标的背景下，在增强电子废物运营管理的可持续性和弹性方面发挥关键作用。这些因素有助于引导电子废物管理走向更可持续和更具弹性的未来。与伦敦对更绿色和更具生态意识的未来的愿望保持一致。
