METHODS: A Dutch national cohort of 10.8 million adults aged ≥30 years was followed from 2013 until 2019. Annual average concentrations of air pollutants (ultra-fine particles (UFP), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), fine particles (PM2.5 and PM10) and elemental carbon (EC)) were estimated at the home address at baseline, using land-use regression models. The outcome variables were mortality due to amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), Parkinson\'s disease, non-vascular dementia, Alzheimer\'s disease, and multiple sclerosis (MS). Hazard ratios (HR) were estimated using Cox models, adjusting for individual and area-level socio-economic status covariates.
RESULTS: We had a follow-up of 71 million person-years. The adjusted HRs for non-vascular dementia were significantly increased for NO2 (1.03; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.02-1.05) and PM2.5 (1.02; 95%CI 1.01-1.03) per interquartile range (IQR; 6.52 and 1.47 μg/m3, respectively). The association with PM2.5 was also positive for ALS (1.02; 95%CI 0.97-1.07). These associations remained positive in sensitivity analyses and two-pollutant models. UFP was not associated with any outcome. No association with air pollution was found for Parkinson\'s disease and MS. Inverse associations were found for Alzheimer\'s disease.
CONCLUSIONS: Our findings, using a cohort of more than 10 million people, provide further support for associations between long-term exposure to air pollutants (PM2.5 and particularly NO2) and mortality of non-vascular dementia. No associations were found for Parkinson and MS and an inverse association was observed for Alzheimer\'s disease.
方法:从2013年到2019年,对1,080万年龄≥30岁的成年人进行了调查。空气污染物的年平均浓度(超细颗粒(UFP),二氧化氮(NO2),细颗粒(PM2.5和PM10)和元素碳(EC)的估计在家庭地址的基线,利用土地利用回归模型。结果变量为肌萎缩侧索硬化症(ALS)导致的死亡率,帕金森病,非血管性痴呆,老年痴呆症,和多发性硬化症(MS)。使用Cox模型估计危险比(HR),针对个人和地区层面的社会经济地位协变量进行调整。
结果:我们进行了7100万人年的随访。非血管性痴呆的校正HR在每四分位数范围内的NO2(1.03;95%置信区间(CI)1.02-1.05)和PM2.5(1.02;95CI1.01-1.03)(IQR;分别为6.52和1.47μg/m3)显着增加。与PM2.5的相关性也与ALS呈正相关(1.02;95CI0.97-1.07)。在敏感性分析和双污染物模型中,这些关联仍然是积极的。UFP与任何结果无关。帕金森病和MS未发现与空气污染有关。发现了阿尔茨海默病的反向关联。
结论:我们的发现,使用超过1000万人的队列,为长期暴露于空气污染物(PM2.5,特别是NO2)与非血管性痴呆死亡率之间的关联提供进一步支持.未发现帕金森病和MS的相关性,而阿尔茨海默病的相关性呈负相关。