Abstract：
This study examines the dynamic relationship between global value chain integration, and carbon emissions, in 57 developing economies from 2000 to 2018. Our results show a multipart link between GVC involvement and carbon emissions. Specifically, forward participation, which involves domestic content in foreign exports, offers the potential to reduce emissions, whereas backward participation, defined by foreign content in domestic exports, typically increases emissions. This imbalance draws attention to the dual nature of using mineral resources, which can contribute to and mitigate environmental damage depending on the extent of GVC engagement. The NARDL model employed in the study also reveals the dynamic and nonlinear responses of carbon emissions to variations in the utilization of mineral resources within GVCs. Our findings show that positive shocks to mineral resources use within GVCs negatively influence carbon emissions, while adverse shocks have less impact. The results have significant policy implications, indicating that developing nations should prioritize environmental sustainability while planning their GVC participation. This entails promoting value-added mining resource use initiatives and pushing for strict environmental regulations in GVCs. Our results also highlight the significance of implementing customized measures to mitigate economic activity\'s asymmetric and nonlinear impacts on environmental quality. It enlightens policymakers in developing nations on balancing environmental conservation and economic growth in a global economy that is becoming more interconnected.
摘要：
本研究考察了全球价值链整合之间的动态关系，和碳排放，从2000年到2018年，57个发展中经济体。我们的结果表明，GVC参与与碳排放之间存在多部分联系。具体来说,前瞻性参与,这涉及外国出口中的国内内容，提供了减少排放的潜力，而落后的参与，由国内出口中的外国含量定义，通常会增加排放。这种不平衡引起人们对矿产资源利用的双重性质的重视,根据全球价值链的参与程度，这可能有助于和减轻环境损害。研究中采用的NARDL模型还揭示了碳排放对GVC内矿产资源利用变化的动态和非线性响应。我们的研究结果表明，全球价值链中矿产资源使用的积极冲击会对碳排放产生负面影响，而不利的冲击影响较小。研究结果具有重大的政策意义，这表明发展中国家在规划全球价值链参与时应该优先考虑环境可持续性。这需要促进增值采矿资源使用计划，并推动全球价值链中严格的环境法规。我们的结果还强调了实施定制措施以减轻经济活动对环境质量的不对称和非线性影响的重要性。它启发发展中国家的决策者在日益相互联系的全球经济中平衡环境保护和经济增长。
