METHODS: This prospective observational study included participants with ALS taking nutrition orally. TP was evaluated using the Iowa Oral Performance Instrument. Need for gastrostomy as determined by a multidisciplinary team during a 12-month follow up period was recorded. Associations between TP and need for gastrostomy placement were performed. ROC curve analysis determined the optimal cut-off value of TP to predict gastrostomy.
RESULTS: Of 208 screened participants, 119 were included. Gastrostomy was indicated in 45% (53), in a 12-month follow up period. TP of ≤20 kPA was a strong predictor of gastrostomy indication (OR 11.8, CI 95% [4.61, 34.7], p < .001). The association persisted even after adjustment for weight loss, pneumonia, prolonged feeding duration, Revised ALS Functional Rating Scale score, and American Speech-Language-Hearing Association scale score (OR 4.51, CI 95% [1.50, 14.9], p = .009). By receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, 20 kPA represented the optimal cut-off value (sensitivity 0.75, specificity 0.89).
CONCLUSIONS: TP is a strong independent predictor of gastrostomy indication in the subsequent 12 months in patients with ALS, with good sensitivity and specificity at a cutoff value of ≤20 kPA, suggesting that it may be a promising biomarker in clinical practice.
方法:这项前瞻性观察性研究包括接受口服营养的ALS患者。使用Iowa口腔性能仪器评估TP。记录了由多学科小组在12个月的随访期内确定的对胃造口术的需求。进行了TP与胃造口术需要之间的关联。ROC曲线分析确定了TP预测胃造瘘术的最佳临界值。
结果:在经过筛选的208名参与者中,119包括在内。胃造口术占45%(53),在12个月的随访期。TP≤20kPA是胃造口术指征的强预测因子(OR11.8,CI95%[4.61,34.7],p<.001)。即使在调整了减肥后,这种关联仍然存在,肺炎,延长喂食时间,修订后的ALS功能评定量表评分,和美国言语-语言-听力协会量表评分(OR4.51,CI95%[1.50,14.9],p=.009)。通过接收机工作特性曲线分析,20kPA代表最佳临界值(灵敏度0.75,特异性0.89)。
结论:TP是ALS患者随后12个月胃造瘘术指征的独立预测指标,在≤20kPA的截止值下具有良好的敏感性和特异性,这表明它可能是临床实践中一个有前途的生物标志物。