PDF(Pubmed)
Abstract：
The natural disasters faced by modern urban systems are complex, with multiple disaster-causing factors coexisting and secondary disasters occurring concurrently. With emergency management moving towards smart, natural disaster response has shifted from emergency-centered response to pre-disaster prevention. How to improve the government\'s natural disaster emergency preparedness has become an important issue that needs to be addressed. Based on the TOE (Technology-Organization-Environment) framework, the fsQCA method was used to explore the improvement path of emergency preparedness capacity of 10 pilot units in China to deal with natural disasters in 2020. Analyze the group effects and interrelationships of technology level, simultaneous supporting facilities, organizational construction, financial investment, external pressure, and social repercussions. The results show that: there exist four conditional groupings of high emergency preparedness in two modes. Two modes are organization-environment dual-drive and technology-organization-environment triple-drive, which have multiple concurrencies and follow the principle of consistent results. There are substitution effects in the conditional groupings of high emergency preparedness. There are causal asymmetries in the conditional groupings of high emergency preparedness and non-high emergency preparedness. This study aims to explore the smart emergency preparedness of ten pilot and to provide ideas for the overall development of \"smart emergency response\" and the improvement of emergency preparedness for natural disasters.
摘要：
现代城市系统面临的自然灾害错综复杂,多种致灾因素并存，次生灾害同时发生。随着应急管理走向智能化，自然灾害的应对已经从以紧急情况为中心的应对转变为灾前预防。如何提高政府的自然灾害应急准备工作已成为一个需要解决的重要问题。基于TOE(技术-组织-环境)框架，运用fsQCA方法,探索2020年我国10个试点单位应对自然灾害应急准备能力的提升路径。分析技术水平的群体效应和相互关系，同时配套设施,组织建设,金融投资,外部压力,和社会影响。结果表明：在两种模式下，存在四个有条件的高应急准备分组。两种模式是组织-环境双驱动和技术-组织-环境三驱动，具有多个并发性，并遵循结果一致的原则。在高应急准备的条件分组中存在替代效应。高度应急准备和非高度应急准备的条件分组存在因果不对称。本研究旨在探索十大试点智慧应急准备,为“智慧应急响应”的整体发展和自然灾害应急准备工作的完善提供思路。
